成人小说亚洲一区二区三区,亚洲国产精品一区二区三区,国产精品成人精品久久久,久久综合一区二区三区,精品无码av一区二区,国产一级a毛一级a看免费视频,欧洲uv免费在线区一二区,亚洲国产欧美中日韩成人综合视频,国产熟女一区二区三区五月婷小说,亚洲一区波多野结衣在线

立即打開
China to dominate in 2030? Maybe not.

China to dominate in 2030? Maybe not.

Nin-Hai Tseng 2010年08月19日

????Now that Japan has been knocked out by China as the world's second-biggest economy, the next question is: When will it dominate the U.S.? The Asian powerhouse could unseat the U.S. from the top spot as early as 2030, experts say, reconfirming China's growing influence on economies in every corner of the globe.

????But a lot could happen over the next 20 years. Japan has been the world's second-largest economy for most of the past four decades. At one point, there was even speculation that Japan would eventually unseat the United States -- in the 1980s, Japan edged very close, but not close enough.

????But unlike Japan, which has an older, smaller population and an economy that saw lackluster growth for more than a decade, China has plenty more room to grow. Its potential lies in the fact that about one-fifth of the world lives there and virtually every major company looking to increase market share, from General Electric (GE, Fortune 500) to Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), has a strategy to somehow reach those consumers.

????But what does it really mean for China to be the No. 2 economy in the world, let alone the No. 1? And what could practically stand in the way of China eventually becoming the world's biggest economy?

The all-important demographics

????For one, says Nicholas Lardy, senior fellow with the Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, China's demographics are vastly changing, potentially constraining its supply of workers. Although its population is about four to five times bigger than the U.S., its prime working age population of 20 to 35 year-olds is beginning to shrink as the country continues enforcing its policy limiting couples to one child. What's more, the vast majority of the population living in rural areas is either very old or very young. The huge cost of growth is predicted to only continue to go up as demand rises for everything from cleaner air and water.

????The fact that China's economy is driven so heavily on investments and exports will eventually catch up with the country's leaders sooner rather than later. While China's exports have remained strong amid uncertainties of the global economy -- in July, exports rose 38.1% to $145.5 billion, and the trade surplus with the U.S. widened by 46% to $28.7 billion -- demand for Chinese goods will likely drop off considerably with lackluster U.S. growth and debt problems in parts of Europe.

????And if we look at the value of China's GDP, it's clear that the country isn't necessarily richer. It's just a lot bigger. For the three months ending in June, Japan's economy was valued at $1.29 trillion. China came in higher at $1.34 trillion. But they are still dwarfed by the U.S. economy, which had a GDP of $3.5 during the same period.

????Yet citizens of the U.S. and Japan are still the richest in the world. America boasted an income per capita of $42,240 last year, while Japan came close at $37,800. For its size, China has made incredible strides in raising individual incomes, but it lags far behind at nearly $3,600. Even if China trumps the U.S. economy in the next two decades, income per capita will definitely still trail behind.

Growing influence

????This is not to downplay China's progress or its huge rising global influence. China reaches far, wide and, in some cases, deep into many places and many sectors. Parts of Africa and Latin America, including Colombia and Peru, have seen commodity prices surge on demand from China for its natural resources. Even developed nations, such as Australia and Canada, have seen steady growth from China's appetite for everything from coal to oil. It also holds huge amounts of foreign reserves and a large chunk of U.S. debt.

????The International Monetary Fund predicts China will grow steadily in the foreseeable future -- 10.5% in 2010 and 9.6% in 2011. The great debate (if only other nations were so lucky) is whether it will continue to grow at around 10% or will it drift down to 8%.

????Whether or not China surpasses the U.S. economy may not be the point of the country's extraordinary growth story. Indeed, milestones are memorable, but how China grows will be the far bigger story than who it overtakes.

????Update: An earlier version of this story incorrectly compared the U.S.'s 2009 GDP of $14.6 trillion with the GDP of China and Japan during the second quarter. The correct comparison is with the U.S.'s second-quarter GDP of $3.5 trillion.

掃碼打開財富Plus App
久久久久精品国产AV免费| 国产欧美日韩另类精彩视频| 久久久久亚洲国产AV麻豆| 久久亚洲AV无码精品久久久| 午夜亚洲国产理论片二级港台二级| 久精品国产欧美亚洲色aⅴ大片| 国产目拍亚洲精品一区二区| 久久久婷婷五月亚洲97号色| 欧美老妇交乱视频在线观看| 在线人成视频播放午夜福利| 99久久麻豆AV一二三区| 与亲女洗澡时伦了毛片| 久久精品一本到东京热| 天天爽夜夜爽人人爽一区二区| 吃奶呻吟打开双腿做受动态图| 网友分享AV无码高潮AV心得| 亚洲国产日韩女人aaaaaa毛片中文在线字幕| 日产精品99久久久久久| 久久精品国产v曰韩v亚洲| 久久久久无码精品国产蜜桃| 亚洲嫩草影院久久精品| 亚洲Aⅴ无码一区二区二三区软件| 久久久久人妻精品一区| 久爱无码精品免费视频| 国产毛片无码专区国产国庆A片在线观看| 亚洲不卡av不卡一区二区| 麻豆成人精品国产免费| 久久久国产精品萌白酱免费| 蜜桃无码av在线观看| 中国无码人妻丰满熟妇啪啪软件| 久久综合精品国产一区二区三区无码| 很多小伙伴都喜欢看短视频| 免费午夜无码片在线观看影院| 午夜国产精品理论片久久影院| 亚洲综合精品第一页| 美女哺乳久久精品免费视频| 少妇热久久久无码精品| 国产a一级毛片爽爽影院无码| 成人小说亚洲一区二区三区| 亚洲AV无码精品色午夜在线观看| 产欧美日韩综合精品一区二区三区|