成人小说亚洲一区二区三区,亚洲国产精品一区二区三区,国产精品成人精品久久久,久久综合一区二区三区,精品无码av一区二区,国产一级a毛一级a看免费视频,欧洲uv免费在线区一二区,亚洲国产欧美中日韩成人综合视频,国产熟女一区二区三区五月婷小说,亚洲一区波多野结衣在线

立即打開
China to dominate in 2030? Maybe not.

China to dominate in 2030? Maybe not.

Nin-Hai Tseng 2010年08月19日

????Now that Japan has been knocked out by China as the world's second-biggest economy, the next question is: When will it dominate the U.S.? The Asian powerhouse could unseat the U.S. from the top spot as early as 2030, experts say, reconfirming China's growing influence on economies in every corner of the globe.

????But a lot could happen over the next 20 years. Japan has been the world's second-largest economy for most of the past four decades. At one point, there was even speculation that Japan would eventually unseat the United States -- in the 1980s, Japan edged very close, but not close enough.

????But unlike Japan, which has an older, smaller population and an economy that saw lackluster growth for more than a decade, China has plenty more room to grow. Its potential lies in the fact that about one-fifth of the world lives there and virtually every major company looking to increase market share, from General Electric (GE, Fortune 500) to Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), has a strategy to somehow reach those consumers.

????But what does it really mean for China to be the No. 2 economy in the world, let alone the No. 1? And what could practically stand in the way of China eventually becoming the world's biggest economy?

The all-important demographics

????For one, says Nicholas Lardy, senior fellow with the Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, China's demographics are vastly changing, potentially constraining its supply of workers. Although its population is about four to five times bigger than the U.S., its prime working age population of 20 to 35 year-olds is beginning to shrink as the country continues enforcing its policy limiting couples to one child. What's more, the vast majority of the population living in rural areas is either very old or very young. The huge cost of growth is predicted to only continue to go up as demand rises for everything from cleaner air and water.

????The fact that China's economy is driven so heavily on investments and exports will eventually catch up with the country's leaders sooner rather than later. While China's exports have remained strong amid uncertainties of the global economy -- in July, exports rose 38.1% to $145.5 billion, and the trade surplus with the U.S. widened by 46% to $28.7 billion -- demand for Chinese goods will likely drop off considerably with lackluster U.S. growth and debt problems in parts of Europe.

????And if we look at the value of China's GDP, it's clear that the country isn't necessarily richer. It's just a lot bigger. For the three months ending in June, Japan's economy was valued at $1.29 trillion. China came in higher at $1.34 trillion. But they are still dwarfed by the U.S. economy, which had a GDP of $3.5 during the same period.

????Yet citizens of the U.S. and Japan are still the richest in the world. America boasted an income per capita of $42,240 last year, while Japan came close at $37,800. For its size, China has made incredible strides in raising individual incomes, but it lags far behind at nearly $3,600. Even if China trumps the U.S. economy in the next two decades, income per capita will definitely still trail behind.

Growing influence

????This is not to downplay China's progress or its huge rising global influence. China reaches far, wide and, in some cases, deep into many places and many sectors. Parts of Africa and Latin America, including Colombia and Peru, have seen commodity prices surge on demand from China for its natural resources. Even developed nations, such as Australia and Canada, have seen steady growth from China's appetite for everything from coal to oil. It also holds huge amounts of foreign reserves and a large chunk of U.S. debt.

????The International Monetary Fund predicts China will grow steadily in the foreseeable future -- 10.5% in 2010 and 9.6% in 2011. The great debate (if only other nations were so lucky) is whether it will continue to grow at around 10% or will it drift down to 8%.

????Whether or not China surpasses the U.S. economy may not be the point of the country's extraordinary growth story. Indeed, milestones are memorable, but how China grows will be the far bigger story than who it overtakes.

????Update: An earlier version of this story incorrectly compared the U.S.'s 2009 GDP of $14.6 trillion with the GDP of China and Japan during the second quarter. The correct comparison is with the U.S.'s second-quarter GDP of $3.5 trillion.

掃碼打開財富Plus App
国产极品白嫩精品| 国产精品一区二区视色| 成人免费无码精品国产电影| 香蕉视频在线观看国产| 国产偷窥熟女高潮精品视频免费| 国产仑乱老女人露脸的怀孕的| 中文字幕亚洲欧美日韩在线不卡| 国产无遮挡色视频在线观看| 国产一级片内射视频播放| 亚洲欧美日韩综合网站色aa| 欧美黑人粗暴多交高潮水最多| 在线中文字幕第一页| 久久久久久精品免费免费英国| AV天堂永久资源网AV天堂| 国产精品久久久久久久hd| 中文字幕在线精品| 亚洲精品无码永久在线观看| 久久精品国产亚洲AV麻豆蜜芽| 日本熟妇色XXXXX日本免费看| 亚洲中文字幕在线精品2021| 国产精品拍天天在线| 精午夜亚洲精品国产| 中字幕一区二区三区乱码| 99精品国产在热久久婷婷| 欧美人与动牲交a免费观看| 深夜国产在线观看| 97亚洲欧美国产中字99| 日本强好片久久久久久AAA| 中文字幕在线精品视频入口一区| 亚洲欧美日韩国产综合点击进入| 看一级毛片一区二区三区免费| 国产精品美女久久久久av爽| 国语自产自拍秒拍在线视频| 免费三级网站国产性自爱拍偷| 毛片免费视频肛交颜射免费视频| 亚洲啪AV永久无码精品放毛片| 日韩中文字幕无码精品视频| 欧美精品在线视频中文| 精品无码国产一区二区三区16| 人妻免费久久久久久久了| 日欧精品卡2卡3卡4卡|