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寫(xiě)在達(dá)沃斯論壇之后:世界需要樂(lè)天派

寫(xiě)在達(dá)沃斯論壇之后:世界需要樂(lè)天派

Vineet Nayar 2012-02-03
如果世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇希望解決全球面臨的問(wèn)題,而不只是提出問(wèn)題,就應(yīng)該更加重視與會(huì)的樂(lè)觀主義者們發(fā)出的聲音。

????上周,筆者撰文提出,在世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇(the World Economic Forum)年會(huì)的討論中,應(yīng)該包容發(fā)散性思維,以及有別于多數(shù)派的不同聲音。當(dāng)我靜下來(lái),思考過(guò)去五天在達(dá)沃斯的經(jīng)歷時(shí),我覺(jué)得我們需要進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大我們的隊(duì)伍——將一些“希望的積極倡導(dǎo)者們”也請(qǐng)到我們中間來(lái)。

????丘吉爾曾經(jīng)說(shuō)過(guò):“我寧愿做一個(gè)樂(lè)觀主義者。因?yàn)樽鰟e的人也沒(méi)什么用?!惫P者認(rèn)為,如果世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇仍希望解決世界所面臨的問(wèn)題,而不只是提出問(wèn)題,那就應(yīng)該把這句至理名言作為論壇的口號(hào)。

????我記得年輕時(shí),曾與一位樂(lè)觀了一輩子的世交進(jìn)行過(guò)一次對(duì)話(huà)。他告訴我,半空的杯子,應(yīng)該總被視為半滿(mǎn),甚至在某些情況下,三分之一滿(mǎn)的杯子也應(yīng)該被視為半滿(mǎn)。他說(shuō):“即使杯子里只有一滴水,我也視它為半滿(mǎn)。”我嘲諷他積極的態(tài)度,問(wèn)道:“如果沒(méi)有杯子呢?”他這樣回答我,“總會(huì)有杯子的。”他的話(huà)讓我啞口無(wú)言,若有所悟。

????本周末,我開(kāi)始回顧我在世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇上的記錄,并通過(guò)互聯(lián)網(wǎng)研究世界的情緒和觀點(diǎn)。這時(shí),我想起了朋友的話(huà)。我不得不承認(rèn),看到唱哀調(diào)的推文數(shù)量時(shí),我大吃一驚。如果有“舉手表決”調(diào)查,悲觀論者的數(shù)量可能會(huì)超過(guò)達(dá)沃斯論壇上持樂(lè)觀觀點(diǎn)者的數(shù)量。但是,無(wú)論如何,這種壓倒一切的悲觀主義似乎沒(méi)有任何意義。

????在達(dá)沃斯論壇上,我每到一處都會(huì)看到行動(dòng)和承諾的影子。我首次見(jiàn)證了與會(huì)者在對(duì)待最強(qiáng)硬和最具諷刺意味的觀點(diǎn)時(shí),所表現(xiàn)出來(lái)的膽量。一次次的會(huì)議都在討論重新界定資本主義以及包容性的需求,而比爾?蓋茨卻承諾出資7.5億美元抗擊艾滋病。德國(guó)總理安吉拉?默克爾仍在努力激勵(lì)和恢復(fù)各界對(duì)歐元區(qū)這個(gè)半成品的信心,而經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家、從業(yè)者、學(xué)術(shù)界和商界領(lǐng)袖則齊聚一堂,跨越行業(yè)界限,提出切實(shí)可行的解決方法。

????此外,在創(chuàng)造就業(yè)方面,與會(huì)者也表現(xiàn)出同樣的決心。例如,在跨行業(yè)CEO專(zhuān)題會(huì)議上,大多數(shù)公司都計(jì)劃擴(kuò)大招聘規(guī)模,同時(shí)打造新的人才庫(kù)。與會(huì)者表現(xiàn)出勇于承擔(dān)責(zé)任的態(tài)度,共同面對(duì)困難,并展現(xiàn)出解決問(wèn)題的共同決心。

????另外,我還注意到,在達(dá)沃斯論壇上,另外一種不同的變革正在醞釀之中。因?yàn)槿狈Ω玫谋硎?,我們暫且稱(chēng)它為“信任的復(fù)蘇”。商界與政界領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人強(qiáng)調(diào),在金融危機(jī)之后必須重建公眾的信任。波蘭總統(tǒng)布羅尼斯瓦夫?科莫羅夫斯基著重強(qiáng)調(diào):“這場(chǎng)危機(jī)不僅是一場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī),更是一場(chǎng)信任危機(jī)。我們要做的,就是恢復(fù)信任。”這些言論都是令人鼓舞的跡象,它們都表明,全球越來(lái)越多的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人勇于擔(dān)當(dāng),解決我們目前面臨的問(wèn)題。因此,以“道德困境”和“英明領(lǐng)導(dǎo)力”等為主題的分會(huì)與會(huì)者絡(luò)繹不絕也就不足為奇了。

????Last week, I wrote about the need to include divergent and contrarian views in the conversations taking place at the World Economic Forum annual meeting. As I sit back and reflect on my five days at Davos, I feel that we need to extend the circle further -- to include some "protagonists of hope."

????Churchill once famously said, "I am an optimist. It does not seem too much use being anything else." I believe that these wise words may need to become the rallying call of the WEF, too, if it is to continue contributing answers to the challenges facing the world and not just raising questions.

????I remember a conversation I had as a young man with an eternally optimistic family friend who told me that half-empty cups should always be seen as half full and oftentimes even one-third full. "Even if there is only a single drop of liquid in the cup, I consider it to be half full", he said. "But what if there is no cup?" I asked, mocking his positive outlook. "There is always a cup," he replied, leaving me speechless and much the wiser that day.

????I was reminded of his words as I sat back this weekend to pour over my WEF notes and study the mood and opinions of the world on the web. I must confess I was taken aback, for example, by the number of tweets that talked of gloom and doom. If there were to be a "show of hands" poll, the prophets of doom would have outnumbered the hopeful ones in Davos, too. But, somehow, the overbearing cynicism didn't seem to add up.

????Everywhere I looked while at Davos, there were indicators of action and commitment. For the first time at the conference, I noticed a boldness in how people approached even the toughest and most sacred notions. As session after session attempted to redefine capitalism and the need to be inclusive, Bill Gates pledged $750 million to fight AIDS. And as German Chancellor Angela Merkel worked to shore up and restore confidence on the work-in-progress that is the Eurozone, economists, practitioners, academics, and business leaders huddled across lines to offer pragmatic solutions.

????I saw a similar resolve on the challenge of job creation. For example, in a cross-industry CEO meeting on the topic, it was clear to me that most companies both planned to hire more people and build new sources of talent. There was a sense of urgent commitment in the room, a collective ownership of the problem and a collective resolve to solve it.

????I also noticed a very different kind of revolution take shape in Davos. For want of a better phrase, let's call it a resurgence of trust. Business and political leaders from all walks of life emphasized the need for rebuilding public trust following the financial crisis. Polish President Bronislaw Komorowski underlined it emphatically: "The crisis is not only an economic crisis, but also a crisis of trust. What we shall do is to restore trust." Expressions like these were signs of an encouraging and growing acceptance of responsibility among global leaders for tackling the problems we face. It was not surprising to see sessions on themes like "ethical dilemmas" and "wise leadership" overflowing with attendees.

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