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揭開(kāi)美國(guó)制造業(yè)復(fù)蘇的假象

揭開(kāi)美國(guó)制造業(yè)復(fù)蘇的假象

Tory Newmyer 2012-03-23
近日出爐的一份新報(bào)告聲稱(chēng),人們聽(tīng)到的關(guān)于美國(guó)制造業(yè)重現(xiàn)生機(jī)的所有消息都是錯(cuò)誤的。

????“美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的三分之二屬于非貿(mào)易性的,如果這部分經(jīng)濟(jì)停止運(yùn)行,相關(guān)需求就會(huì)自動(dòng)地由一位美國(guó)的供應(yīng)商來(lái)滿(mǎn)足,”阿特金森說(shuō)。“如果一家理發(fā)店倒閉,我不會(huì)去加拿大理發(fā)。但當(dāng)我們的貿(mào)易性部門(mén)破產(chǎn)、失去市場(chǎng)份額、規(guī)??s減或者產(chǎn)能轉(zhuǎn)移時(shí),這份需求并不一定會(huì)由另一位美國(guó)供應(yīng)商來(lái)填補(bǔ)?!?/p>

????阿特金森表示,由于擔(dān)心制造業(yè)窘境更為真實(shí)的圖景將誘發(fā)保護(hù)主義政策,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們一直不太愿意直面數(shù)據(jù)問(wèn)題。但他補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“應(yīng)對(duì)這種困境的途徑有多種,貿(mào)易保護(hù)主義僅僅只是其中的一種而已?!彼难芯繄F(tuán)隊(duì)青睞一種更為積極主動(dòng)、旨在恢復(fù)美國(guó)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的戰(zhàn)略,具體的措施包括:全面修訂稅收法規(guī);投資公共和私營(yíng)部門(mén)的合作項(xiàng)目,以發(fā)展高科技生產(chǎn)線(xiàn)等等。這項(xiàng)方案的具體細(xì)節(jié)將于今年春天晚些時(shí)候公布。

????譯者:任文科

????"Two-thirds of our economy is non-traded, so if it goes out of business, the demand is automatically supplied by an American supplier," Atkinson says. "If a barbershop goes out of business, I'm not going to Canada to get a haircut. But when our traded sector goes out of business, or loses market share or cuts back or moves a factory, that demand is not necessarily replaced by American supply."

????Atkinson says economists have been slow to grapple with the data problem for fear that the truer picture of the sector's straits will encourage protectionists. But, he adds, "there are multiple paths one could go down as a response to this and that's only one of them." His group favors an aggressive strategy to restore U.S. competitiveness in part by overhauling the tax code and investing in public-private partnerships to develop higher-tech production lines -- an approach it will spell out in greater detail later this spring.

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