成人小说亚洲一区二区三区,亚洲国产精品一区二区三区,国产精品成人精品久久久,久久综合一区二区三区,精品无码av一区二区,国产一级a毛一级a看免费视频,欧洲uv免费在线区一二区,亚洲国产欧美中日韩成人综合视频,国产熟女一区二区三区五月婷小说,亚洲一区波多野结衣在线

立即打開
中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩被夸大

中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩被夸大

Nin-Hai Tseng 2012-10-25
中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)可能將出現(xiàn)轉(zhuǎn)變,而非下滑。未來數(shù)年,中國(guó)欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展將提速,而大城市的發(fā)展將降溫,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)整體而言仍然擁有巨大的發(fā)展?jié)摿?。但是,政府需要采取更多舉措,才能真正釋放這種潛力。

????隨著中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)減速,很多人開始擔(dān)憂,這個(gè)世界第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的增長(zhǎng)是否已接近尾聲。中國(guó)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局(the National Bureau of Statistics)上周發(fā)布數(shù)據(jù)稱,最近一個(gè)季度,中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值增長(zhǎng)7.4%,增長(zhǎng)勢(shì)頭良好。但同時(shí)可以看到的是,增速已連續(xù)第七個(gè)季度下滑。經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們普遍都預(yù)計(jì)到了這樣的狀況,但仍有理由相信中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩勢(shì)頭不會(huì)持久,至少不會(huì)像一些人預(yù)計(jì)的那么嚴(yán)重。

????鑒于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的好壞直接影響到美國(guó)和世界其他地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),這一話題如今顯得特別重要。在美國(guó)總統(tǒng)大選第三場(chǎng)辯論,也是最后一場(chǎng)辯論中,我們看到了這一話題的意義重大。大多數(shù)人原本以為會(huì)在辯論中聽到總統(tǒng)候選人痛斥中國(guó),但這一幕并未出現(xiàn)?;蛟S奧巴馬和羅姆尼已意識(shí)到,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的崛起對(duì)于美國(guó)可能利大于弊。

????中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)在上海、北京等大城市或許已見頂。但舊金山聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行(San Francisco Federal Reserve)的兩位經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家稱,在中國(guó)看起來無限廣闊的農(nóng)村地區(qū),經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)還有很大空間。伊斯雷爾?馬爾金和馬克?施皮格爾在上周發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告中提出了一個(gè)很有意思的命題,為什么投資者應(yīng)當(dāng)樂觀看待中國(guó)?

????歷史告訴我們,一個(gè)國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)不能永遠(yuǎn)保持高速增長(zhǎng)。研究顯示,到某一時(shí)刻,通常當(dāng)人均收入達(dá)到17,000美元左右時(shí),經(jīng)濟(jì)增速就會(huì)開始以每年約2%的速度下滑,因?yàn)楣べY上漲侵蝕了這個(gè)國(guó)家相比其他經(jīng)濟(jì)體的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。以美國(guó)為例,它損失的很多制造業(yè)工作都流向了亞洲、拉丁美洲和其他工資低很多的地方。2011年,美國(guó)人均收入達(dá)到48,442美元。中國(guó)人均收入遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)落后這個(gè)數(shù)字,僅為5,445美元,但很快就會(huì)接近經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們聲稱經(jīng)濟(jì)將見頂?shù)?7,000美元關(guān)口。

????不過,中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)歷程早已證明它的與眾不同。正如馬爾金和施皮格爾指出的那樣,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)已持續(xù)高增長(zhǎng)達(dá)30多年——遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超出其他經(jīng)濟(jì)體高增長(zhǎng)平均持續(xù)不超過10年的紀(jì)錄。

????而且,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展還相當(dāng)不平衡。因此,未來一些年,中國(guó)欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)將提速,而大城市的發(fā)展將降溫。根據(jù)亞洲其他經(jīng)濟(jì)體這些年來的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式,研究者們建立了一個(gè)演變模型:中國(guó)較發(fā)達(dá)省份的經(jīng)濟(jì)增速在本十年末將降至5.5%,而欠發(fā)達(dá)省份將上升至7.5%——更接近經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家普遍認(rèn)為需要保持就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)和社會(huì)穩(wěn)定的8%增速。

????雖然所有這些都可能會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn),但研究人員還是給出了一項(xiàng)警告。中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的很大一部分一直來自于受出口推動(dòng)的制造業(yè)和其他行業(yè)。因此,沿海省份通常發(fā)展快很多,而內(nèi)陸地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展落后。那些希望加快經(jīng)濟(jì)增速的地區(qū)需要建設(shè)像沿海省份那樣良好的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、物流和銜接出口市場(chǎng)。

????但更為重要的是,中國(guó)的未來很大程度上將取決于政府能不能將更多的錢放進(jìn)消費(fèi)者口袋,減少對(duì)投資和出口的投入,從而緩解收入差異問題。中國(guó)官員探討如何重新平衡經(jīng)濟(jì)這個(gè)問題已經(jīng)有很多年了。雖然政府在努力增加從醫(yī)療到教育等眾多方面的支出,貧富差距仍然在持續(xù)擴(kuò)大,日益成為拖累經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的因素。

????As China's economy slows, many have wondered if record growth in the world's second-largest economy has approached the beginning of the end. During the latest quarter, China's gross domestic product rose 7.4%, still a healthy clip but also the seventh straight quarter of decline, the National Bureau of Statistics reported last week. Economists widely expected this, but there's reason to believe that the slowdown won't be permanent or at least not as severe as some think.

????The topic is especially important today, given that the health of China's economy impacts growth in the U.S. and the rest of the world. We saw the relevance Monday night during the third and final Presidential debate. The all-out China bashing that most had expected never really materialized. Perhaps President Obama and Governor Romney got the memo that China's economic rise probably does more good than harm to America.

????China's growth might have peaked in bigger cities, such as Shanghai and Beijing. However, there's plenty of room for development across the country's seemingly endless swaths of rural lands, according to two economists at the San Francisco Federal Reserve. In a report released last week, Israel Malkin and Mark Spiegel build an interesting case for why investors should be bullish on China.

????History has shown that countries don't usually grow at rapid rates forever. At some point, typically when income per capita reaches about $17,000, growth on average starts to decline about 2% a year as higher wages gnaw at a country's ability to compete with other economies, studies show. Think of the U.S., which has lost countless manufacturing jobs to Asia, Latin America and other places where pay is a lot lower. As of 2011, income per capita in the U.S. was $48,442. While China lags far behind at $5,445, it will soon approach the $17,000 threshold at which economists say growth has peaked.

????But China's growth story has already proven to be quite different. As Malkin and Spiegel point out, it has seen rapid growth for over 30 years – far exceeding other economies where record growth on average lasts for no more than 10 years.

????What's more, development in China is deeply uneven. So in the years ahead, growth across less developed parts of the country could pick up where development in bigger cities cool off. Based on the way other Asian economies have expanded over the years, the researchers created a model for how this could play out: Whereas China's more developed provinces may slow to 5.5% by the close of the decade, growth in the country's less-developed provinces is expected to rise to 7.5% -- closer to the 8% rate that economists widely say is needed to maintain jobs growth and therefore social stability.

????While all this could pan out, the researchers point out a caveat. Much of China's growth has been from manufacturing and other industries driven by exports. As a result, coastal provinces have generally developed much more quickly while the country's inland regions languish behind. For these areas to see faster growth, they'll need the kind of infrastructure and access to shipping and export markets that coastal provinces have enjoyed.

????More importantly, though, China's future will rest largely on how well its government can ease income disparities by putting more money in the pockets of consumers and less on investment and exports. Officials have talked about rebalancing the economy for years. And while government efforts are under way to boost spending on everything from healthcare to education, the growing divide between rich and poor persists and has increasingly contributed to the pullback on growth.

掃描二維碼下載財(cái)富APP
1区2区日韩欧美国产| 日韩精品国产自在欧美| 久久久中日AB精品综合,| 一级a性色生活片久久无少妇| 成人国产亚洲精品A区天堂| 亚洲欧洲日韩国产AⅤ在线| 图片区小说区区亚洲五月| 亚洲成a人片在线观看久| 性欧美VIDEOFREE高清| 两个奶头被吃高潮视频| 一区二区视频日韩免费| 亚洲国产精品国语在线| 亚洲乱妇熟女爽到高潮的片| 国产成人精品女人久久久91亚洲精华| 亚洲AV无码乱观看明星换脸VA| 精品国产偷窥丝袜在线拍国语| 日韩a片免费无码完整版电影| 青青青在线香蕉国产精品| 亚洲欧美综合国产不卡| 午夜高清国产拍精品福利| 国产精品边做奶水狂喷无码| 久久亚洲AV成人无码动态图| 综合色区亚洲熟女妇p | 久久久久亚洲AV成人网人人软件| 男人桶女人18禁止网站| 国产蜜桃一区二区三区在线观看 -| 人妻中文字幕无码在线a| 亚洲AV中文无码乱人伦在线咪咕| 狠狠色噜噜狠狠狠狠97| 女人下边被添全过视频| 国产黄a一级二级三级看三区| 久久精品免费一区二区三区| 91精品人妻色诱久久av| 在线视频一区二区免费| 天天躁日日躁狠狠躁视频2021| 亚洲AV无码一区二区三区少妇o| 国产在线无码视频一区| AV无码国产精品性色aⅴ| 久久人妻少妇p| 日韩精品国产自在欧美| 午夜三级在线视频国语版|