2013年美國(guó)樓市復(fù)蘇五大急先鋒
????我們都想忘掉陷入崩潰的美國(guó)樓市。六年后的今天,房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)不斷復(fù)蘇,擺脫了創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的止贖房屋數(shù)量和螺旋下跌的房?jī)r(jià),讓樓市崩潰的景象變得更為遙遠(yuǎn)。2013年10月份,房屋新建許可證頒發(fā)數(shù)量達(dá)到了五年半以來(lái)的最高點(diǎn),美國(guó)全國(guó)房?jī)r(jià)比上年同期上漲了12.5%(2012年的房?jī)r(jià)漲幅為6%)。其中某些地區(qū)的反彈幅度較大。本文介紹的是2013年復(fù)蘇力度最強(qiáng)的五個(gè)市場(chǎng),感謝房地產(chǎn)網(wǎng)站Trulia、Zillow等房地產(chǎn)專業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)提供的數(shù)據(jù)。 ????舊金山 ????舊金山是科技中心,吸引了一些最優(yōu)秀和最聰明的人。他們中間有些人的薪水高達(dá)百萬(wàn)美元。2005-2011年,舊金山的房?jī)r(jià)下跌了35%左右。但從2011年起,這里的房?jī)r(jià)開(kāi)始迅速上漲。最新的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾/ Case-Shiller房?jī)r(jià)指數(shù)(S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices)顯示,2013年9月份舊金山房?jī)r(jià)同比漲幅達(dá)到了25.7%。 ????雖然尚未完全復(fù)蘇,但舊金山已經(jīng)是美國(guó)房?jī)r(jià)最高的地區(qū)之一,開(kāi)發(fā)商已經(jīng)在考慮套現(xiàn)。Trulia經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家杰德?科爾克表示,2013年舊金山地區(qū)提交的房屋新建申請(qǐng)數(shù)量有望達(dá)到之前幾年的兩倍。 ????奧斯汀 ????美國(guó)樓市崩盤時(shí),德克薩斯州受到的打擊沒(méi)有其他州那么嚴(yán)重;同時(shí),和其他州一樣,德州也出現(xiàn)了房?jī)r(jià)反彈水平居全國(guó)前列的地區(qū),比如說(shuō),奧斯汀。 ????奧斯汀被稱為“硅山”,戴爾(Dell)等科技企業(yè)的總部就設(shè)在這里,這一點(diǎn)有助于為當(dāng)?shù)夭粩嘣鲩L(zhǎng)的樓市提供支撐。一年來(lái),德州中部的房屋銷量上升了8%。和舊金山不同的是,奧斯汀地區(qū)的房?jī)r(jià)相對(duì)來(lái)說(shuō)仍然可以接受。Trulia提供的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,奧斯汀約一半房屋的售價(jià)都在美國(guó)中等收入家庭的承受范圍之內(nèi),而在舊金山,這個(gè)數(shù)字只有14%。 ????加利福尼亞州橘子縣 ????陽(yáng)光明媚的橘子縣是沖浪圣地,也是電視真人秀《橘子郡貴婦的真實(shí)生活》(The Real Housewives of Orange County)的拍攝地。就在四年前,當(dāng)?shù)貑适У盅黑H回權(quán)的房屋數(shù)量還處于歷史最高點(diǎn)。而今,橘子縣的房?jī)r(jià)已從最低點(diǎn)反彈了30%。不過(guò),這個(gè)市場(chǎng)當(dāng)然還有問(wèn)題。受經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退影響,這幾年橘子縣基本上沒(méi)有新建過(guò)住宅,各種價(jià)位的待售房屋因此不斷減少,特別是價(jià)格低于50萬(wàn)美元的住宅。這種情況一定會(huì)造成房?jī)r(jià)上漲,而這種現(xiàn)象在整個(gè)加州都很普遍。對(duì)加州樓市來(lái)說(shuō),這樣的情況有利也有弊。 ????休斯頓 ????人們說(shuō),在德州,所有的東西都會(huì)大一號(hào),樓市反彈也不例外。整體來(lái)看,德州受到的沖擊不像其他地區(qū)那么大。因此,德州樓市反彈的速度也比美國(guó)其他地區(qū)快得多,而這主要得歸功于當(dāng)?shù)氐哪茉葱袠I(yè)。在美國(guó)所有大型都市中,休斯頓的就業(yè)水平率先恢復(fù)到衰退之前,當(dāng)?shù)貥鞘幸矎木蜆I(yè)增長(zhǎng)中受益。2013年10月份,休斯頓房?jī)r(jià)中值同比上漲了8.9%,達(dá)到17.75萬(wàn)美元;平均房?jī)r(jià)也提高了7.9%,達(dá)到了239773美元。 ????丹佛 ????2013年夏季,丹佛的房?jī)r(jià)突破了衰退前的最高點(diǎn)。在能源和科技行業(yè)帶動(dòng)下,一系列行業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)了增長(zhǎng),為丹佛的經(jīng)濟(jì)注入了動(dòng)力,進(jìn)而幫助當(dāng)?shù)貥鞘虚_(kāi)始走強(qiáng)。 ????廣受關(guān)注的美國(guó)樓市健康指數(shù)表明,2013年5月,丹佛的房?jī)r(jià)指數(shù)比基準(zhǔn)月份高140.98%,稍稍超過(guò)2006年8月份140.28%的前高點(diǎn)。繼達(dá)拉斯之后,丹佛也成為美國(guó)首批房?jī)r(jià)創(chuàng)新高的城市之一。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)) ????譯者:Charlie?? |
????We would all prefer to forget the U.S. housing market crash. Six years later, it has grown more distant as the market continues to recover from record foreclosures and spiraling home prices. In October, permits for future home construction rose to their highest rate in nearly five-and-a-half years; home prices nationwide rose 12.5% in October from a year earlier (by comparison, they grew by 6% in 2012). Some markets have recovered more than others, though. Here's a look at the five strongest recoveries of 2013, thanks to data from Trulia, Zillow, and other housing experts. ????San Francisco ????This tech hub has lured some of the best and brightest, some of whom are now making million-dollar salaries. Home prices in San Francisco declined by about 35% between 2005 and 2011, but prices have risen rapidly since then. In September, prices soared 25.7% from a year earlier, according to the latest S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices. ????Though prices haven't fully recovered, homes in San Francisco are among the most expensive in the country, and builders are looking to cash in. The area is on track to have almost twice as many building permits filed this year as it has had in previous years, says Jed Kolko, economist with Trulia, an online real estate website. ????Austin ????Texas was not hit as hard as others when the housing market crashed, but parts of the state have undergone the strongest recoveries, just the same -- namely, Austin. ????Known as "Silicon Hills," the area is home to Dell and other tech companies that have helped support its growing housing market. Sales in central Texas have risen 8% during the past year. And, unlike San Francisco, the Austin area is still relatively affordable. About half of all homes for sale in Austin are within reach of middle income Americans, compared to 14% in San Francisco, according to Trulia. ????Orange County, Calif. ????The land of sun and surf and Real Housewives suffered record foreclosures just four years ago, but home prices today are up 30% from their lows. The market certainly has its problems, however. Because the recession essentially halted home construction for several years, Orange County is dealing with a shrinking pool of homes for sale at all price points, especially under $500,000. That can surely push prices higher -- a common story throughout California that has both helped and hurt its housing market. ????Houston ????They say everything is bigger in Texas, the housing recovery included. Overall, the state was not hurt as badly as other regions. And so its recovery was much swifter than the rest of the country, thanks largely to its energy industry. Houston was the first major metro region to regain all the jobs it lost in the recession, and its housing market has benefited from the jobs growth. Median home prices rose 8.9% in October from a year earlier, to $177,500, and the average price hit $239,773, up 7.9% during the same period. ????Denver ????Over the summer, home prices in the Mile-High City surpassed pre-recession highs. Growth in an array of industries led by energy and technology has fueled Denver's economy, which, in turn, helped strengthen its housing market. ????In May, a widely watched index that tracks the health of the U.S. housing market showed Denver's home price index level was 140.98% higher than it was in its benchmark month -- close to its previous level of 140.28% from August 2006. It joined Dallas in one of the first instances of any city reaching such new heights. |