????馬克?赫德重出江湖

????2014年，迎來70歲生日的拉里?埃里森依然意氣風發(fā)。他的美洲杯(America's Cup)帆船隊奇跡般地在舊金山灣守住了冠軍。在佛羅里達州馬里布和夏威夷拉奈島等地投資的房地產(chǎn)項目使他成為自特德?特納以來最有意思的地主。然而，埃里森執(zhí)掌的軟件制造商甲骨文公司(Oracle)卻表現(xiàn)平庸，在Salesforce.com和Workday等后起之秀面前節(jié)節(jié)敗退。于埃里森而言，這是把CEO權(quán)杖交給聯(lián)席總裁馬克?赫德的絕佳時機。雖然赫德在3年前因卷入丑聞離開惠普公司(HP)，但在以記性差著稱的硅谷，人們恐怕早就忘了那檔子事了。

????概率：81%。

????Mark Hurd will ride again

????Larry Ellison turns 70 in 2014, and he's riding high. His America's Cup team pulled off a miraculous defense in San Francisco Bay. His real estate projects (from Malibu, Fla., to Lanai, Hawaii) make him the most interesting landowner since Ted Turner. Yet Ellison's company, software maker Oracle (ORCL, Fortune 500), is stuck in neutral, losing ground to upstarts like Salesforce.com (CRM) and Workday (WDAY). It's a perfect time for Ellison to hand the CEO reins to his co-president, Mark Hurd, whose scandalous departure from HP (HPQ, Fortune 500) three years ago is all but forgotten in the land of short-term memory, Silicon Valley.

????Odds: 81%.