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比特幣走背字的這些日子

比特幣走背字的這些日子

David Z. Morris 2014年02月14日
逮捕行動(dòng)、價(jià)格暴跌以及幾個(gè)大型比特幣交易所的衰亡都并不意味著數(shù)字加密貨幣即將玩完;相反,這些亂象只是比特幣成長(zhǎng)過(guò)程中必經(jīng)的陣痛而已。未來(lái),唱衰比特幣的論調(diào)會(huì)越來(lái)越少,而比特幣的主流地位也終將得到認(rèn)可。

????但是業(yè)界普遍推測(cè),蘋(píng)果這么做是一種反競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的守門(mén)策略,旨在保護(hù)它自己獨(dú)有的移動(dòng)支付系統(tǒng),而這方面的例子并不少見(jiàn)。從這個(gè)角度看,清除Blockchain就可以理解為是對(duì)比特幣的鼎力支持——畢竟過(guò)去蘋(píng)果也在自己的設(shè)備中封鎖了所有谷歌公司(Google)的服務(wù),從而讓比特幣業(yè)務(wù)留在那些優(yōu)秀的公司手中。不過(guò)同時(shí),比特幣開(kāi)發(fā)者們正在努力開(kāi)發(fā)基于網(wǎng)絡(luò)的解決方案,讓iOS的用戶可以重新進(jìn)行比特幣管理。

????而比特幣所面臨的真正障礙并未改變——主要是監(jiān)管的不確定性和美國(guó)銀行不愿意和比特幣交易所合作。不過(guò)就算施瑞姆被捕后,紐約的監(jiān)管者和銀行們也還是針對(duì)比特幣積極開(kāi)展各種深入調(diào)查,所以這些問(wèn)題可能終有解決的一天。

????不管怎么說(shuō),有一個(gè)最重要的事實(shí)一直沒(méi)有改變。那就是,比特幣是一個(gè)重大創(chuàng)新,它的市場(chǎng)也已走向成熟。盡管很可能其他一些數(shù)字加密貨幣會(huì)在創(chuàng)新上超越比特幣,但數(shù)字加密貨幣的基本模式讓如此眾多的參與者解決了各種問(wèn)題,因此它最后將被廣泛采用會(huì)變成一個(gè)既成事實(shí)。對(duì)網(wǎng)上支付來(lái)說(shuō),它比現(xiàn)在大多數(shù)復(fù)雜的信用卡和自動(dòng)交換中心(ACH)系統(tǒng)要有效得多,也更安全,能大幅削減交易手續(xù)費(fèi),減少欺詐造成的損失。它能實(shí)現(xiàn)真正的點(diǎn)對(duì)點(diǎn)支付,成本則近于零。而且它最終能讓微支付模式成為可能。這是自互聯(lián)網(wǎng)誕生以來(lái)人們就一直在夢(mèng)想的事情,它也為作家和其他內(nèi)容創(chuàng)作者開(kāi)辟了大量潛在的新財(cái)源。

????這一切成為現(xiàn)實(shí)之前,我們肯定還會(huì)看到更多的反復(fù)和起伏。但今后五年間,道德失范、管理失誤和那些保守主義者大喊謝天謝地之類的報(bào)道將越來(lái)越少。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

????譯者:清遠(yuǎn)

????But there has been widespread speculation and ample precedent for the idea that Apple is engaging in anticompetitive gatekeeping, in this case to protect its own proprietary mobile payment systems. From this perspective, the removal of Blockchain can be taken as a perverse stamp of approval for bitcoin -- Apple has also blocked Google (GOOG) services from its devices in the past, putting bitcoin in pretty sterling company. Meanwhile, bitcoin developers are hard at work on web-based solutions to put bitcoin management back in IOS users' hands.

????The real obstacles facing Bitcoin haven't changed -- primarily, regulatory uncertainty and the unwillingness of U.S. banks to work with bitcoin exchanges. But even the day after Shrem's arrest, New York regulators and bankers hosted upbeat fact-finding sessions, so those problems may be on the way to resolution.

????Regardless, the most important things that haven't changed are bitcoin's fundamental innovations and the ripeness of its market. Though there is still the distinct possibility that some other cryptocurrency will out-innovate bitcoin itself, the basic cryptocurrency model solves problems for so many constituents that its eventual adoption is something of a fait accompli. It is vastly more efficient and secure for online payments than the current maze of credit cards and ACH systems, promising to reduce merchant fees and fraud losses. It allows true peer-to-peer payments, with near-zero costs. And it finally enables the micropayments model that has been dreamt of since the dawn of the Internet, opening up potentially huge new revenue streams for writers and other content creators.

????We are sure to see more steps backwards and forwards before all of this comes to fruition. But five years from now, a few ethical faults, management catastrophes, and protectionist Hail Marys will barely merit footnotes.

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