????我們都聽說(shuō)過(guò)“每分鐘都有笨蛋呱呱落地”這句話。

????那么，如果我說(shuō)這句話顯然低估了實(shí)際情況，大家會(huì)怎么想呢？美國(guó)衛(wèi)生和公眾服務(wù)部（Department of Human Health and Services）的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，每分鐘有7.6個(gè)美國(guó)人出生，而確鑿證據(jù)表明其中有5個(gè)會(huì)成為理財(cái)方面的“笨蛋”。

????密歇根大學(xué)（University of Michigan）健康和退休研究項(xiàng)目發(fā)現(xiàn)，在50歲及以上的美國(guó)人中，只有約三分之一的人能正確回答三個(gè)簡(jiǎn)單的問(wèn)題：復(fù)利是怎么回事？通脹對(duì)個(gè)人儲(chǔ)蓄和投資收益意味著什么？一只股票和一只共同基金有哪些基本差異？

????一系列經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域研究已經(jīng)表明，美國(guó)人的理財(cái)知識(shí)欠缺程度令人震驚。其中最新一項(xiàng)研究來(lái)自經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家本杰明?基斯、德溫?波普和賈倫?波普，他們的課題是美國(guó)人在金融危機(jī)達(dá)到高峰時(shí)的再融資習(xí)慣。當(dāng)時(shí)，美國(guó)財(cái)政部和美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)正在竭盡全力幫助按揭者進(jìn)行再融資并利用低利率環(huán)境。這篇研究報(bào)告稱：

????“對(duì)有些家庭來(lái)說(shuō)，再融資是最佳方案，而且這方面也不存在障礙。但據(jù)我們估算，在這些家庭中，約有20%并未對(duì)低利率加以利用。據(jù)我們計(jì)算，對(duì)未能再融資的家庭來(lái)說(shuō)，其當(dāng)前貼現(xiàn)損失約為1.15萬(wàn)美元，這在消費(fèi)金融領(lǐng)域算是個(gè)特別大的失算?！?/p>

????由于沒(méi)有進(jìn)行再融資，這些消費(fèi)者的整體損失為54億美元，想必整個(gè)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)也蒙受了同等金額的損失。而且這個(gè)數(shù)字實(shí)際上偏向保守。

????2008年，達(dá)特茅斯學(xué)院（Dartmouth College）金融學(xué)教授肯尼思?弗蘭奇在他的研究中估算，為了“跑贏大市”，美國(guó)投資者每年都要支付約1000億美元的手續(xù)費(fèi)和其他費(fèi)用，卻不愿用這筆錢投資手續(xù)費(fèi)較低，專門跟蹤大盤的指數(shù)基金。2006年，哈佛大學(xué)（Harvard University）經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家約翰?坎貝爾估算，由于在按揭融資方面決策欠妥，住房業(yè)主每年都要損失500億美元以上。類似的研究層出不窮，從發(fā)薪日貸款到信用卡再到退休金融產(chǎn)品，它們的結(jié)論都是：財(cái)務(wù)知識(shí)匱乏讓美國(guó)人多花了數(shù)十億美元。

????曾在奧巴馬政府中任職的凱斯?桑斯坦認(rèn)為，政府政策應(yīng)提醒人們避免這種可預(yù)知的高成本錯(cuò)誤。在桑斯坦看來(lái)，美國(guó)應(yīng)該制定法規(guī)，迫使銀行在利率下降時(shí)讓貸款再融資變得簡(jiǎn)單易行。雖然銀行和按揭投資者不會(huì)非常喜歡這種做法，但有足夠的研究證明，如果我們建立的機(jī)制能讓人們更容易地在財(cái)務(wù)方面做出正確選擇，就會(huì)有更多的人進(jìn)行這樣的選擇。

????對(duì)美國(guó)的退休制度來(lái)說(shuō)，這也是解決問(wèn)題的好辦法。普通美國(guó)民眾每年在退休方面要浪費(fèi)數(shù)十億美元資金，卻不能讓自己未來(lái)的生活更有保障。私營(yíng)公司基本上都已經(jīng)放棄了養(yǎng)老金固定收益計(jì)劃，但這并不是說(shuō)這些公司不再承擔(dān)責(zé)任了，企業(yè)還是應(yīng)該設(shè)法讓員工的退休生活變得盡可能舒適。這就意味著要建立自動(dòng)注冊(cè)和自動(dòng)提高繳納金額的機(jī)制，而且最重要的是，不要涉及高手續(xù)費(fèi)基金投資。這也意味著企業(yè)需要確保員工可以憑借自己掌握的知識(shí)做出正確的選擇。

????總之，還要更重視公共教育體系中的金融課程，以便讓絕大多數(shù)消費(fèi)者最起碼能夠理解復(fù)利這樣的概念。也許，美國(guó)每分鐘確實(shí)有5個(gè)笨蛋出生，但絕對(duì)沒(méi)有理由讓他們?cè)诮酉聛?lái)的人生中一直當(dāng)笨蛋。（財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)）

????譯者：Charlie

????We’ve all heard the saying, “there’s a sucker born every minute.”

????Well, what if I were to tell you that this is a gross underestimate? According to the Department of Human Health and Services, there are about 7.6 Americans born every minute, and there’s good evidence that about five of them will grow up to be “suckers” when it comes to financial literacy.

????The University of Michigan’s Health and Retirement Study found that only about one third of Americans ages 50 and older were able to correctly answer three simple questions about how compound interest works, what inflation means for one’s savings and investment gains, and the basic differences between a single stock and a mutual fund.

????In the latest addition to a body of economic research that shows Americans’ striking financial illiteracy, a study by economists Benjamin Keys, Devin Pope, and Jaren Pope examined Americans’ refinancing habits during the worst of the financial crisis, when the Treasury Department and Federal Reserve were doing their utmost to get people to refinance their mortgages and take advantage of low interest rates. According to the paper:

????“We estimate that approximately 20% of households for whom refinancing would be optimal and who appeared unconstrained to do so, had not taken advantage of the lower rates. We estimate the present-discounted cost to the household who fails to refinance to be approximately $11,500, making this a particularly large consumer financial mistake.”

????Altogether, this failure to refinance cost these consumers, and presumably the economy at large, $5.4 billion. And this estimate is actually on the conservative side of the spectrum.

????A 2008 study by Dartmouth finance professor Kenneth French estimated that investors in the U.S. pay roughly $100 billion per year in fees and other expenses in an attempt to “beat the market” rather than investing in low-fee index funds that track the broader performance of the stock market. And a 2006 study from Harvard economist John Campbell estimated that poor decisions concerning mortgage financing costs homeowners more than $50 billion annually. The list goes on, from payday loans to credit cards to retirement products: Americans spend billions more because of their lack of financial knowledge.

????Cass Sunstein, former Obama Administration official and promoter of government policies that “nudge” people into avoiding making such predictable and costly mistakes, suggests that we should institute rules that force banks to make it very easy to refinance loans when interest rates fall. While this approach won’t be very popular with banks or mortgage investors, there’s plenty of research that shows that creating systems where it’s easier to make the right choice about your finances will lead to more people making those choices.

????This is also good way to approach the problem of the American retirement system, in which average citizens waste billions of dollars every year without making their futures more secure. Private companies have basically abandoned defined-benefit retirement programs, but that doesn’t mean they should abandon the idea that they are partly responsible for making their employees’ retirements as comfortable as possible. That means setting up automatic enrollment, automatic escalation of their contributions, and, most importantly, not giving the option to invest in high-fee funds. It also means that employers need to make sure that their employees have the knowledge to make the right choices.

????At the end of the day, there also must be a greater emphasis placed on financial education in public school systems so that, at the very least, the vast majority of consumers can understand a concept like compound interest. There may very well be five suckers born every minute in this country, but there’s no reason they have to remain suckers for the rest of their lives.