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中美貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)于今天正式打響,接下來(lái)將會(huì)發(fā)生什么?

中美貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)于今天正式打響,接下來(lái)將會(huì)發(fā)生什么?

Grace Dobush 2018-07-06
兩國(guó)都決定在7月6日0時(shí)實(shí)施政策,這會(huì)給中國(guó)政府帶來(lái)12個(gè)小時(shí)的優(yōu)勢(shì)。

圖片來(lái)源:視覺中國(guó)?

路透社報(bào)道稱,中美互相威脅對(duì)340億美元商品征收關(guān)稅,而這一政策在本周五生效時(shí),中國(guó)擁有先手權(quán)。

兩國(guó)都決定在7月6日0時(shí)實(shí)施政策,這會(huì)給中國(guó)政府帶來(lái)12個(gè)小時(shí)的優(yōu)勢(shì)。美國(guó)總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普威脅稱,如果中國(guó)對(duì)他25%的關(guān)稅政策進(jìn)行報(bào)復(fù),就要把關(guān)稅懲罰的范圍擴(kuò)大到4,500億美元的商品。

美國(guó)即將征稅的中國(guó)商品清單中包含渦輪噴氣設(shè)備、稀土金屬和LED燈泡。路透社的分析師發(fā)現(xiàn),美國(guó)從中國(guó)進(jìn)口的這1,102種商品中只有1%是消費(fèi)品。剩下的都是資產(chǎn)或中間產(chǎn)品,對(duì)它們征稅,可以讓美國(guó)企業(yè)的供應(yīng)鏈降低對(duì)中國(guó)商品的依賴度。

中國(guó)征稅的商品包括豬肉、小麥、大米和乳制品?!赌先A早報(bào)》(South China Morning Post)表示,中國(guó)今年可能會(huì)取消從美國(guó)進(jìn)口110萬(wàn)噸大豆的訂單。美國(guó)全國(guó)廣播公司財(cái)經(jīng)頻道(CNBC)表示,向中國(guó)出口的大豆占到了美國(guó)大豆總出口量的一半,其價(jià)值大約為每年140億美元。

中國(guó)的報(bào)紙將此舉描繪為逐漸升溫的貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)中,中國(guó)的反擊。中國(guó)外交部發(fā)言人陸慷在日常的新聞吹風(fēng)會(huì)上表示:“中方已經(jīng)做好準(zhǔn)備,只要美方出臺(tái)所謂的加征關(guān)稅清單,中方將綜合使用各種必要措施,堅(jiān)定捍衛(wèi)自己的國(guó)家利益和人民利益?!?

美國(guó)商會(huì)公開反對(duì)關(guān)稅。他們表示長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,全球貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)升溫會(huì)傷害美國(guó)消費(fèi)者。這種效應(yīng)將在何時(shí)給美國(guó)消費(fèi)者造成直接沖擊,目前尚不明了,不過(guò)隨著存貨售空、中間商品關(guān)稅的涓滴效應(yīng)出現(xiàn),這種影響可能會(huì)遲到,但不會(huì)缺席。

7月16日和17日,在北京舉行的經(jīng)濟(jì)高峰會(huì)議上,中歐官員將進(jìn)行會(huì)晤。中國(guó)提議雙方發(fā)起反對(duì)美國(guó)的聯(lián)合行動(dòng),但歐盟方面目前不愿直接表態(tài)。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:嚴(yán)匡正

When mutually threatened tariffs on $34 billion goods come into effect this Friday, China will get a head start on the United States, Reuters reports.

Implementation is set to start at midnight June 6 in both countries, which gives Beijing a 12-hour advantage on Washington. President Donald Trump has threatened to increase the scope to $450 billion if China indeed retaliates against his 25% tariff.

The list of Chinese products targeted with U.S. tariffs include vaping devices, rare earth metals and LED light bulbs. A Reuters analysis found just 1% of the 1,102 categories of products imported from China to the U.S. are consumer goods. The rest are capital or intermediary products, taxed with the the intention of making American companies’ supply chains less reliant on Chinese goods.

China’s tariff targets include pork, wheat, rice and dairy products. The South China Morning Post said China is likely to cancel orders for 1.1 million tons of soybeans from the U.S. this year. China accounts for about half of America’s soybean exports, worth about $14 billion annually, CNBC says.

Chinese newspapers described the move as a counterstrike in an escalating trade war. “China has already made preparations. As long as the United States issues a so-called tariff list, China will take necessary measures to firmly protect its legitimate interests,” Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said at a daily news briefing.

The US Chamber of Commerce has spoken out against the tariffs, saying the escalating global trade war will hurt American consumers in the long run. It’s unclear when the effects will directly hit American consumers, but there will likely be some delay as inventory is sold off and the trickle-down effects of tariffs on intermediary goods take hold.

The European Union and China will meet for an economic summit in Beijing on July 16 and 17. China is pushing for joint action against the U.S. and WTO, though the EU has been reluctant to speak out so directly.

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