一位人工智能專家兼風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資人預(yù)測，自動(dòng)化將導(dǎo)致勞動(dòng)力市場出現(xiàn)重大變化。

李開復(fù)今年1月6日在哥倫比亞廣播公司（CBS）的《60分鐘》（60 Minutes）節(jié)目上接受斯科特·佩利采訪時(shí)表示，他認(rèn)為世界上40％的工作將被能夠自動(dòng)完成工作的機(jī)器人取代。他說，藍(lán)領(lǐng)和白領(lǐng)崗位都將受到影響，但司機(jī)受到的影響可能最大。

“私人司機(jī)、卡車司機(jī)以及其他任何以開車為生的人，他們的職業(yè)將在15至25年內(nèi)遭遇嚴(yán)重挑戰(zhàn)?！彼诓稍L中說?！跋駨N師、服務(wù)員等看起來有點(diǎn)復(fù)雜的工作，很多事情也將實(shí)現(xiàn)自動(dòng)化?！?/p>

李開復(fù)這種觀點(diǎn)不是最近才出現(xiàn)的。許多支持人工智能和自動(dòng)化的人認(rèn)為它們會(huì)對勞動(dòng)力產(chǎn)生根本性的改變。但是，其中也有很多人相信，雖然會(huì)有一些工作受到影響，但人類會(huì)因?yàn)槿斯ぶ悄艿某霈F(xiàn)找到新機(jī)會(huì)，走上新崗位。

埃倫·馬斯克曾經(jīng)警告人類要警惕人工智能的力量，包括馬斯克在內(nèi)有越來越多的反對者擔(dān)心自動(dòng)化會(huì)對全人類造成威脅，尤其是對低收入勞動(dòng)者產(chǎn)生較大影響。

盡管如此，包括李開復(fù)在內(nèi)的許多人都認(rèn)為人工智能的發(fā)展及其對社會(huì)的影響并未放緩。他將人工智能和歷史上的重大創(chuàng)新（如蒸汽機(jī)和電）類比，稱人類因?yàn)轭愃苿?chuàng)新受到影響，但“已經(jīng)熬過去了”。但他警告說，和其它創(chuàng)新相比，人工智能對人類的影響來得更加迅速。（財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)）

譯者：Agatha

An artificial intelligence expert and venture capitalist predicts automation will cause major changes in the workforce.

Speaking to CBS News’ Scott Pelley in an interview for 60 Minutes on January 6, Kai Fu Lee said that he believes 40% of the world’s jobs will be replaced by robots capable of automating tasks. He said that both blue collar and white collar professions will be affected, but he believes those who drive for a living could be most affected.

“Chauffeurs, truck drivers, anyone who does driving for a living—their jobs will be disrupted more in the 15-25 year time frame,” he said in the interview. “Many jobs that seem a little bit complex, chef, waiter, a lot of things will become automated.”

Lee’s comments are not necessarily new. Many who support artificial intelligence and automation believe that they can fundamentally change the workforce. But many of those people also believe that while some jobs could be affected, humans will find new opportunities surrounding artificial intelligence and take on new professions.

A growing number of detractors—including Elon Musk, who has warned about the power of artificial intelligence—worry that automation could disrupt entire communities and disproportionately affect low-income workers.

Still, many, including Lee, believe there’s no slowing down artificial intelligence and its impact on society. And he compared artificial intelligence to major innovations in history, like the steam engine and electricity, saying that humans were affected and have “gotten over it.” But he cautioned that artificial intelligence and its impact will hit us much sooner than those other innovations did.