一家西方私募為何加注俄羅斯?
????俄羅斯現(xiàn)在可不是西方私募基金爭(zhēng)相投資的地方。那里的沖突太多,制裁也太多。 ????比如,黑石集團(tuán)(The Blackstone Group)最近就表示將“放棄”這個(gè)國(guó)家。數(shù)周前,一群前高盛(Goldman Sachs)銀行家也放棄了一個(gè)20億美元的新興市場(chǎng)基金計(jì)劃,該基金原本打算對(duì)俄羅斯進(jìn)行高比例配置。還有一些私募巨頭打算離開資產(chǎn)規(guī)模達(dá)110億美元的俄羅斯國(guó)有直接投資基金(Russian Direct Investment Fund)顧問委員會(huì),至少也在重新考慮他們的參與程度。 ????那么,為什么總部位于瑞典的私募股權(quán)公司CapMan不僅保留了其莫斯科團(tuán)隊(duì),日前還宣布,第二只專注投資俄羅斯的新基金已完成近1億歐元的資本認(rèn)繳額? ????CapMan公司業(yè)務(wù)開發(fā)和投資者關(guān)系事務(wù)主管杰羅姆?布伊告訴本文作者,大部分募資發(fā)生在去年(即俄羅斯吞并克里米亞之前)。他承認(rèn),隨著地緣政治局勢(shì)在2014年趨于緊張,很多原本前景很好的投資線索最終不了了之。但他表示,2013年認(rèn)繳的資本無一退出,并力稱制裁不會(huì)給該基金造成太大問題,這只基金專注于投資俄羅斯國(guó)內(nèi)“受消費(fèi)驅(qū)動(dòng)的”中小企業(yè)。 ????首先,俄羅斯消費(fèi)者沒有離開。其次,有些公司所處的環(huán)境其實(shí)還比以前更好,因?yàn)橹撇煤捅R布貶值使得國(guó)產(chǎn)商品比同類進(jìn)口商品更可承受。第三,CapMan公司過去撤出投資的很多俄羅斯公司都是賣給了俄羅斯買家(當(dāng)然,也有很多不是這樣,這似乎是一個(gè)值得擔(dān)憂的因素)。 ????“我們是1996年進(jìn)入俄羅斯的,在1998年和2000年等年份也有過很多相似的討論。”布伊解釋說,“我們有信心,過去和現(xiàn)在進(jìn)行投資的公司未來將找到買家?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng)) ????譯者:早稻米 |
????Russia is not a place where Western private equity wants to play right now. Too much conflict, too many sanctions. ????For example, The Blackstone Group recently said that it was “giving up” on the country, just weeks after a group of ex-Goldman Sachs bankers abandoned plans for a $2 billion emerging markets fund that was expected to have a major Russian allocation. And then there are the PE bigs who either are leaving the advisory board of the $11 billion state-owned Russian Direct Investment Fund, or who are at least reconsidering their involvement. ????So why is Sweden-based private equity firm CapMan not only maintaining its Moscow team, but this morning announcing that it has closed its second Russia-focused fund with nearly €100 million in capital commitments? ????Jerome Bouix, CapMan’s head of biz dev and investor relations, tells me that most of the fundraising occurred last year (i.e., before Russia’s annexation of Crimea), acknowledging that many promising leads dried up as the geopolitical situation intensified in 2014. But he says that none of the 2013 commitments bailed, and argues that the sanctions should not be too problematic for the fund, which focuses on “consumer-driven” small and mid-sized companies inside of Russia. ????For starters, the Russian consumer isn’t going anywhere. Second, some of these companies actually are in an improved position today, as a combination of sanctions and the ruble’s devcaluation have made locally-produced goods more affordable than rival imports. Third, many of CapMan’s historical exits of Russian portfolio companies were trade sales to Russian buyers (of course, many were not, which seems to be a plausible cause for concern). ????“We started in Russia in 1996, and have had a lot of similar discussions in years like 1998 and 2000,” Bouix explains. “We are confident that the companies were are investing in will find buyers in the future.” |
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