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2011年共同基金業(yè)五虎

2011年共同基金業(yè)五虎

SCOTT CENDROWSKI 2011-12-21
2011年大多數(shù)基金經(jīng)理都在大幅震蕩的市場(chǎng)中掙扎沉浮。但有5支基金依然賺了個(gè)盆滿缽滿。它們是怎么做到這一點(diǎn)的?現(xiàn)在它們看好什么投資?

DoubleLine核心固定收益基金

????基金經(jīng)理:杰弗里?岡拉克

????交易代碼: DBLFX

????資產(chǎn)規(guī)模:10億美元

????美國(guó)中期債券平均回報(bào)率:5.5%

????今年迄今回報(bào)率:10.6%

????目前看好的投資:抵押支持債券(MBS)

????岡拉克一直在買進(jìn)的MBS債券是那些大幅折價(jià)、收益率介于10%-11%之間、沒(méi)有得到房地美(Freddie Mac)等美國(guó)政府機(jī)構(gòu)擔(dān)保的債券。

????毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)杰弗里?岡拉克是今年市場(chǎng)中的大贏家。但2011年最讓他高興的或許是9月份贏得的一場(chǎng)官司。當(dāng)時(shí),洛杉磯法院判定他將從老東家TCW獲賠6,700萬(wàn)美元;2009年他從TCW離職,引發(fā)了雙方你來(lái)我往的一場(chǎng)激戰(zhàn)?,F(xiàn)年52歲的岡拉克長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)都是債券市場(chǎng)的明星。在離開(kāi)TCW之前的十年,他管理基金的表現(xiàn)好于99%的同業(yè)。自從建起自己的新公司DoubleLine Capital之后,岡拉克也保持著良好的紀(jì)錄,新公司的資產(chǎn)管理規(guī)模已從2010年的70億美元飆升至今年的200億美元。

????走到哪里都惹人注目的岡拉克既有敏銳的智慧【他曾是耶魯大學(xué)(Yale)數(shù)學(xué)專業(yè)博士生】,也有在保守的債券基金世界中罕見(jiàn)的夸夸其談。他每天早晨6點(diǎn)開(kāi)始在家辦公,然后開(kāi)車前往位于洛杉磯市區(qū)的辦公室,一路上聽(tīng)著聽(tīng)眾熱線廣播?!翱赡苈?tīng)起來(lái)有些瘋狂,但我做得最有成效的一件事情就是聽(tīng)熱線廣播,”他說(shuō),因?yàn)樗麖闹袑W(xué)到了人們是如何傳播影響市場(chǎng)的消息。岡拉克的大部分時(shí)間都呆在DoubleLine的交易間里,公司有一半的交易都是他親自經(jīng)手。

????他今年最大的押注是預(yù)計(jì)美國(guó)國(guó)債價(jià)格將上漲——大多數(shù)債券經(jīng)理由于預(yù)計(jì)年底利率上升,錯(cuò)過(guò)了這個(gè)獲利機(jī)會(huì)。他還進(jìn)行了其他精明的投資。今年一季度,垃圾債券價(jià)格反彈后,他大幅縮減了基金對(duì)垃圾債券的配置;后來(lái),垃圾債券果然出現(xiàn)了暴跌。而且,他也回避持有哪怕是一分錢的歐元計(jì)價(jià)債券。他說(shuō),他不打算購(gòu)買任何歐元計(jì)價(jià)債券。

????最近,岡拉克一直在增持沒(méi)有美國(guó)政府擔(dān)保的冷門MBS債券。他說(shuō),這些債券的價(jià)格太便宜了,即便房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)繼續(xù)沒(méi)有起色,他也能賺錢。這聽(tīng)起來(lái)不錯(cuò),因?yàn)樗A(yù)計(jì)一段時(shí)間內(nèi)債務(wù)問(wèn)題還將繼續(xù)困擾美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)。他警告說(shuō):“平衡預(yù)算的努力很可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致再次出現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退?!?/p>

DoubleLine Core Fixed Income

????Manager: Jeffrey Gundlach

????Ticker: DBLFX

????Assets: $1 billion

????U.S. intermediate-term bond average: 5.5%

????Year-to-date return: 10.6%

????What he likes now: Mortgage-backed debt

????Gundlach has been buying steeply discounted mortgage securities, yielding 10% to 11%, that aren't guaranteed by U.S. agencies like Freddie Mac.

????There's no doubt that Jeffrey Gundlach was a big winner in the market this year. Yet his most satisfying victory of 2011 might have come in a Los Angeles courtroom in September, when he won a $67 million judgment from his former firm, TCW, after a bitter battle over his exit in 2009. Gundlach, 52, has long been a bond market star. At TCW he outperformed 99% of his peers in the decade before his departure. And he's stayed right on track since founding his new firm, DoubleLine Capital, where assets skyrocketed this year to $20 billion from $7 billion in 2010.

????The flamboyant Gundlach combines a sharp intellect (he was a Ph.D. candidate in mathematics at Yale) with a braggadocio rare in the reserved world of bond funds. He starts work at home at 6 a.m., then drives to his downtown L.A. office listening to talk radio. "One of the most productive things I do, and it sounds crazy, is listen to the radio," he says, because he learns how people are spinning news that moves markets. Gundlach spends most of his time on DoubleLine's trading floor and handles 50% of the firm's trades himself.

????His biggest bet this year was that U.S. Treasury prices would rise -- a profitable move missed by the majority of bond managers, who expected a rise in interest rates by year's end. He made other savvy moves too. He slashed the fund's allocation to junk bonds after they rallied in the first quarter; they later crashed. And he has avoided owning even a cent of euro-denominated debt and says he doesn't plan to buy any.

????Recently Gundlach has been loading up on unpopular mortgage-backed securities not guaranteed by the U.S. government. He says they're so cheap that he'll make money even if real estate stays depressed. That's good, because he believes debt problems will continue to plague the U.S. economy for some time. "It's very likely the next recession comes due to an attempt to balance the budget," he warns.

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