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花旗CEO:對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)討論太多,會(huì)真造成衰退

花旗CEO:對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)討論太多,會(huì)真造成衰退

Rey Mashayekhi 2019-01-17
花旗首席執(zhí)行官警告投資者,不要在經(jīng)濟(jì)基本面穩(wěn)固的情況下自己嚇自己,最后真的造成衰退。

盡管市場(chǎng)的不穩(wěn)定影響了花旗銀行上一季度業(yè)務(wù)的凈收益,花旗集團(tuán)的首席執(zhí)行官邁克爾·考伯特表示,經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況“不像近期波動(dòng)顯示得那么差,實(shí)際上更強(qiáng)韌”,呼吁市場(chǎng)“不要因?yàn)檫^度討論造成經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退”。

花旗是華爾街大型投資銀行中本周第一家公布其第四季度收益報(bào)告的銀行,當(dāng)期收入為171億美元,略低于2017年第四季度報(bào)告的175億美元。

在花旗銀行于周一上午舉行的財(cái)報(bào)電話會(huì)議上,考伯特指出“收入環(huán)境比預(yù)想中更困難”,對(duì)于固定收益產(chǎn)品等市場(chǎng)敏感性行業(yè)更是如此。

但考伯特建議不要過分解讀2018年12月導(dǎo)致各大主要股市產(chǎn)生震蕩的市場(chǎng)波動(dòng)。盡管承認(rèn)新年伊始將面臨“更不確定”的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境,但他警告投資者不要在經(jīng)濟(jì)基本面穩(wěn)固的情況下自己嚇自己,最后真的造成衰退。

“我們確信美國(guó)甚至更大范圍內(nèi)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本面包括活躍有力的勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)、合理的工資增長(zhǎng)[和]良好的消費(fèi)等因素?!笨疾卣f。

然而,按照考伯特的說法,因?yàn)閾?dān)心上升的利率環(huán)境及中美貿(mào)易爭(zhēng)端持續(xù),投資者的信心已被動(dòng)搖,造成了市場(chǎng)動(dòng)蕩。

“我們清楚地認(rèn)識(shí)到,以獨(dú)立事件為基礎(chǔ)看到的形勢(shì)和市場(chǎng)告訴我們的行情出現(xiàn)脫節(jié)?!笨疾卣f。他還補(bǔ)充說,市場(chǎng)面臨的“最大風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”是“由于過度討論真的導(dǎo)致下一次經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退,而非經(jīng)濟(jì)基本面不好造成衰退?!?/p>

市場(chǎng)似乎對(duì)考伯特發(fā)布的最新消息反響積極,花旗股票周一收盤價(jià)上漲4%,接近每股59美元。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Agatha

Despite a shaky market that impacted his bank’s bottom line last quarter, Citigroup CEO Michael Corbat cited economic conditions that are “stronger and more resilient than recent volatility would indicate” and urged the markets against “talking ourselves into the next recession.”

Citi was the first of the major Wall Street investment banks to report their fourth-quarter earnings this week, disclosing revenues of $17.1 billion in the period that fell shy of the $17.5 billion reported in the fourth quarter of 2017.

On the bank’s earnings call Monday morning, Corbat noted a “revenue environment [that] was more challenging than we anticipated,” particularly for market-sensitive sectors like fixed-income products.

But Corbat advised against reading too much into the volatility that rocked most major equity markets in December 2018. While acknowledging a “more uncertain” macroeconomic environment to start the year, he warned against investors spooking themselves into a downturn in the face of solid economic fundamentals.

“We see certainly a U.S. and even more broad global economic where the underlying fundamentals [are] comprised of strong, tight labor markets, reasonable wage increases [and] good consumption,” Corbat said.

Yet concerns over a rising interest rate environment and the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China, according to Corbat, have conflated to sap investor confidence and roil the markets.

“We clearly see a disconnect between what we see in our business on an anecdotal basis and what the markets are saying,” he said. Corbat added that “the biggest risk” facing the markets is “one of talking ourselves into the next recession rather than fundamentals taking us there.”

The market appeared to respond favorably to Corbat’s update, with Citi shares up 4% at the close of trading Monday, to nearly $59 per share.

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