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微軟CEO成敗系Win 8

微軟CEO成敗系Win 8

Kevin Kelleher 2012年11月08日
微軟現(xiàn)任CEO史蒂夫?鮑爾默正在慢慢走出比爾?蓋茨的陰影,給微軟打上自己的烙印。2012年的微軟身上幾乎已經(jīng)看不到20世紀(jì)90年代末期時(shí)微軟的影子,而是逐步向競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手蘋(píng)果看齊。不過(guò),鮑爾默主導(dǎo)推出的Windows 8能否成功將在很大程度上決定如今的微軟未來(lái)將走向何方。

????再現(xiàn)傳奇并非易事,尤其是當(dāng)傳奇還扔下了一堆爛攤子的時(shí)候。問(wèn)問(wèn)史蒂夫?鮑爾默就知道了。自從1980年加入微軟(Microsoft )以來(lái),他一直都在比爾?蓋茨的陰影下埋頭苦干。蓋茨就是人們心目中的傳奇人物。在位時(shí),他將微軟變成了強(qiáng)盛的軟件巨頭;退休后,他用積累的財(cái)富讓世界變得更加美好。蓋茨退休后,鮑爾默繼任管理者。此時(shí)的微軟一度在軟件上的壟斷地位已經(jīng)風(fēng)光不再,與監(jiān)管者多年來(lái)斗爭(zhēng)不止,對(duì)互聯(lián)網(wǎng)的認(rèn)識(shí)也不夠成熟,甚至不時(shí)被誤導(dǎo)。這一切,都留給了鮑爾默來(lái)處理。

????我們來(lái)看看一組有趣的數(shù)據(jù)。蘋(píng)果公司(Apple)在市值上可能已經(jīng)超越了微軟,但是在過(guò)去25年中,股市表現(xiàn)最好的依然還是微軟。自1987年以來(lái),蘋(píng)果的股票上漲了4300%,而微軟則令人驚訝地上漲了5700%。當(dāng)然,微軟大多數(shù)的增長(zhǎng)都是在蓋茨任期內(nèi)實(shí)現(xiàn)的。2000年鮑爾默擔(dān)任CEO以來(lái),蘋(píng)果的股票漲幅達(dá)到了2500%。微軟呢?鮑爾默繼任至今,微軟的股價(jià)增幅僅有之前的一半。

????對(duì)此,鮑爾默要負(fù)很大的責(zé)任,但也不能全怪他。鮑爾默上任兩個(gè)月后,互聯(lián)網(wǎng)泡沫破裂,那時(shí)候許多股票的估值都虛高得出乎尋常。鮑爾默當(dāng)年接手經(jīng)營(yíng)這個(gè)操作系統(tǒng)軟件巨頭不得不面對(duì)比爾的壟斷統(tǒng)治遺留下來(lái)的這堆混亂不堪的爛攤子。如今回過(guò)頭來(lái)看,這些問(wèn)題似乎都是不可避免的。網(wǎng)絡(luò)的興起導(dǎo)致PC機(jī)在科技產(chǎn)業(yè)的地位不再那么至關(guān)重要。而因?yàn)槲④浀闹匦亩挤旁赑C機(jī)的操作系統(tǒng)軟件上,因此無(wú)法再控制網(wǎng)絡(luò)行業(yè)。微軟所有想將網(wǎng)絡(luò)產(chǎn)業(yè)收入囊中的嘗試都遭到了監(jiān)管者的回絕。而經(jīng)營(yíng)MSN搜索和Hotmail這類的網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)又連年虧損。

????與此同時(shí),在沿著海岸線往南幾百英里的硅谷,谷歌(Google)等一些新的公司開(kāi)始迅速崛起。他們似乎形成了某種聯(lián)合,試圖削弱微軟的統(tǒng)治地位。自從云計(jì)算橫空出世,PC機(jī)在個(gè)人和商務(wù)應(yīng)用程序中的地位就注定將被邊緣化。

????鮑爾默推動(dòng)了微軟在其他領(lǐng)域的發(fā)展,比如服務(wù)器軟件和Xbox游戲機(jī)。它們彌補(bǔ)了Windows系統(tǒng)和Office軟件業(yè)務(wù)緩慢增長(zhǎng)的遺憾。2009年,微軟更加大膽地開(kāi)始研發(fā)Windows 8系統(tǒng)。除去常規(guī)的Windows升級(jí)之外,Windows 8不僅可以兼容PC機(jī)和使用ARM芯片的平板電腦,還能同Windows Phone 8共享許多組件。

????Windows 8并不僅僅是一次系統(tǒng)的重制,以體現(xiàn)出與蓋茨創(chuàng)立的Windows系統(tǒng)截然不同——實(shí)際上,它徹底跳出了蓋茨創(chuàng)立的微軟模式。鮑爾默甚至出人意料地推出了Surface,帶領(lǐng)微軟進(jìn)入了一個(gè)全新的領(lǐng)域。Surface是平板電腦和PC機(jī)的結(jié)合體,向世人展示了Windows 8所具有的功能。這意味著微軟完全可以在云計(jì)算領(lǐng)域大顯身手。

????更重要的是,它意味著比爾?蓋茨創(chuàng)立的微軟公司現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)真正屬于史蒂夫?鮑爾默了。

????可以更清楚地說(shuō)明這一點(diǎn)的是,鮑爾默上月在寫(xiě)給微軟股東的信中提到,公司正在進(jìn)行“根本性的轉(zhuǎn)變”。微軟目前把自身定位為“提供設(shè)備和服務(wù)業(yè)務(wù)的公司”。這份聲明被普遍視為微軟承認(rèn)自己越來(lái)越向蘋(píng)果靠攏,不僅設(shè)計(jì)運(yùn)用于設(shè)備上的OS系統(tǒng),還提供與系統(tǒng)相配套的設(shè)施和服務(wù)。此外,微軟正在開(kāi)設(shè)零售店和應(yīng)用商店這一事實(shí)也證明了這一點(diǎn)。

????Legends are tough acts to follow, especially when they leave a mess behind. Just ask Steve Ballmer. Ever since joining Microsoft in 1980, Ballmer has toiled in the shadow of Bill Gates. Gates is the one remembered as the legend who turned Microsoft into a formidable software colossus and who retired to spend his fortune on making the world a better place. When he retired, it was Ballmer who was left to manage Microsoft, its aging software monopoly, its years of battles with regulators and its early, sometimes misguided responses to the Internet.

????Here's an interesting statistic. Apple (AAPL) may exceed Microsoft (MSFT) in market value, but the better performing stock over the past quarter century is still Microsoft. Since 1987, Apple's stock has risen 4,300% while Microsoft's has risen a staggering 5,700%. Most of Microsoft's gains, of course, came during Gates' tenure. Since 2000, after Ballmer took over as CEO, Apple's stock has risen 2,500%. Microsoft's? It's still half of what it was after Ballmer took over.

????Much of that is Ballmer's fault. But not all. Ballmer became Microsoft's CEO two months before the dot-com bubble burst, when many stocks had irrationally high valuations. And Ballmer was left facing the messy fallout of the monopolistic reign of King Bill. Ballmer was left to manage an operating-software colossus whose demise, in retrospect, seemed all but assured. The rise of the web made PCs less central to the tech industry, and Microsoft couldn't control the web as it had PC operating software. Any attempt to extend its iron grip to the Internet was met with regulatory pushback. And web initiatives like MSN Search and Hotmail showed operating losses year after year.

????Meanwhile, several hundred miles down the coast in Silicon Valley, a new crowd of fast-growing startups like Google (GOOG) seemed united in trying to weaken Microsoft. And as cloud computing took off, PC's were destined to become less central to computer programs used by consumers and businesses.

????Ballmer pushed into other areas of growth, such as server software and the Xbox, offsetting the slower growth rate of Windows and Office software. More boldly, in 2009, Microsoft began developing Windows 8, but instead of the usual Windows upgrade, Windows 8 would work with PCs, tablets using ARM chips and share many components with Windows Phone 8.

????Windows 8 isn't a reboot as much as a clear break from the Windows that Gates created -- which is to say, a break from the Microsoft that Gates built. Ballmer even steered Microsoft into new waters by unexpectedly stepping into the device business with the Surface. A tablet-PC hybrid, the Surface showed what Windows 8 was capable of. It showed that Microsoft could be a player in the era of cloud computing.

????Above all, it showed that the company founded by Bill Gates now belongs to Steve Ballmer.

????To drive the point home, Ballmer said in a letter to Microsoft shareholders last month that the company is making a "fundamental shift:" It now sees itself as a "devices and services company." That declaration was widely seen as an admission that Microsoft is becoming more like Apple, making not just the OS that powers devices, but the devices and services that go on them. That is also evident in the retail stores Microsoft is setting up and the app stores it's creating as well.

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