9月4日,美國電商Etsy、自動(dòng)測試設(shè)備供應(yīng)商Teradyne和制藥公司Catalent三家公司入選標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù),而特斯拉卻意外落選。華爾街對此大為吃驚,投資者也做出反饋:9月8日午盤,特斯拉的股價(jià)應(yīng)聲下跌了17%以上。
美國投資研究機(jī)構(gòu)晨星公司的戴維·威斯頓就是其中之一。他對標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾對特斯拉的冷落“并不感到意外”,并推測說:“特斯拉在盈利方面存在一系列問題,這與其排污權(quán)交易額有關(guān)?!倍宜ㄟ^電子郵件告訴《財(cái)富》雜志:“標(biāo)普是市值加權(quán)指數(shù),特斯拉在市值這一塊很容易達(dá)標(biāo)。但或許委員會(huì)擔(dān)心特斯拉收益的穩(wěn)定性情況,因此沒有將其納入指數(shù)?!?/p>
事實(shí)上,在特斯拉最近一個(gè)財(cái)季,監(jiān)管排污權(quán)銷售額約占該公司60.4億美元銷售額的7%。
摩根大通證券的約瑟夫·奧沙指出,特斯拉第二財(cái)季的表現(xiàn)被媒體報(bào)道為一場“震蕩”,在他看來,這種震蕩產(chǎn)生的原因大概率是因?yàn)榱闩盼蹤?quán)交易的比例高于預(yù)期。
他在接受《財(cái)富》雜志采訪時(shí)說:“并不是說這些數(shù)據(jù)肯定不真實(shí)……我想,如果特斯拉能讓大眾更好地追蹤這些數(shù)據(jù)的來源,情況或許會(huì)好很多?!?/p>
甚至連韋德布什證券長期看好特斯拉的丹·艾夫斯也表示,“決策委員會(huì)做出不納入特斯拉的最終決定,是在諸多變動(dòng)因素之間權(quán)衡后,將公認(rèn)會(huì)計(jì)準(zhǔn)則(GAAP)的盈利能力和可持續(xù)性作為大頭考量的結(jié)果”。他指出,“就標(biāo)普而言,這是一個(gè)證明自己的機(jī)會(huì)。”
但同時(shí),艾夫斯和奧沙也認(rèn)為,特斯拉將在未來幾個(gè)季度證明自己。奧沙告訴《財(cái)富》雜志,他相信“對特斯拉盈利能力的擔(dān)憂將會(huì)最終消失,那些決策者將會(huì)做‘他們該做的事情’?!?/p>
其實(shí),特斯拉已經(jīng)實(shí)現(xiàn)了納入指數(shù)的一個(gè)主要要求——連續(xù)四個(gè)季度報(bào)告盈利,因此,委員會(huì)的不納入決定讓一些人感到驚訝。但惠斯頓稱:“我看到有人說,特斯拉納入標(biāo)普是板上釘釘?shù)氖虑椋覐膩聿贿@么認(rèn)為。只要特斯拉不破產(chǎn),這件事可能遲早會(huì)發(fā)生,但我很高興,當(dāng)下委員會(huì)還是選擇了等待?!?/p>
實(shí)際上,僅僅滿足納入的各項(xiàng)指標(biāo),并不能保證特斯拉肯定能夠躋身標(biāo)普500指數(shù)。
與此同時(shí),以手工藝品聞名的大型網(wǎng)上商城Etsy在9月4日也成功上榜,盡管兩家公司的市值差距巨大(截至9月4日收盤,特斯拉的市值約為3200億美元,遠(yuǎn)超Etsy約134億美元的市值),這讓一些分析師感到困惑。但還有一點(diǎn)值得注意,特斯拉剛剛報(bào)告了連續(xù)四個(gè)季度盈利的成果,而Etsy已經(jīng)連續(xù)13個(gè)季度盈利了。
艾夫斯指出,盡管特斯拉納入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾的時(shí)機(jī)尚未確定,但是“如果特斯拉能夠在下一季度再次實(shí)現(xiàn)盈利,任何標(biāo)普決策者擔(dān)心的問題都有可能迎刃而解?!?/p>
在新聞曝出前的上周早些時(shí)候,特斯拉股票已經(jīng)遭受重創(chuàng),惠斯頓指出,“投資者的反應(yīng)將會(huì)很糟糕,至少對當(dāng)日交易者(當(dāng)天買、當(dāng)天賣的投機(jī)者)來說是這樣,大家都在想著趕緊賣掉離場?!?/p>
的確,艾夫斯補(bǔ)充道,標(biāo)普的冷落是“對多頭的一記猛擊”。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
編譯:楊二一
9月4日,美國電商Etsy、自動(dòng)測試設(shè)備供應(yīng)商Teradyne和制藥公司Catalent三家公司入選標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù),而特斯拉卻意外落選。華爾街對此大為吃驚,投資者也做出反饋:9月8日午盤,特斯拉的股價(jià)應(yīng)聲下跌了17%以上。
美國投資研究機(jī)構(gòu)晨星公司的戴維·威斯頓就是其中之一。他對標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾對特斯拉的冷落“并不感到意外”,并推測說:“特斯拉在盈利方面存在一系列問題,這與其排污權(quán)交易額有關(guān)?!倍宜ㄟ^電子郵件告訴《財(cái)富》雜志:“標(biāo)普是市值加權(quán)指數(shù),特斯拉在市值這一塊很容易達(dá)標(biāo)。但或許委員會(huì)擔(dān)心特斯拉收益的穩(wěn)定性情況,因此沒有將其納入指數(shù)。”
事實(shí)上,在特斯拉最近一個(gè)財(cái)季,監(jiān)管排污權(quán)銷售額約占該公司60.4億美元銷售額的7%。
摩根大通證券的約瑟夫·奧沙指出,特斯拉第二財(cái)季的表現(xiàn)被媒體報(bào)道為一場“震蕩”,在他看來,這種震蕩產(chǎn)生的原因大概率是因?yàn)榱闩盼蹤?quán)交易的比例高于預(yù)期。
他在接受《財(cái)富》雜志采訪時(shí)說:“并不是說這些數(shù)據(jù)肯定不真實(shí)……我想,如果特斯拉能讓大眾更好地追蹤這些數(shù)據(jù)的來源,情況或許會(huì)好很多?!?/p>
甚至連韋德布什證券長期看好特斯拉的丹·艾夫斯也表示,“決策委員會(huì)做出不納入特斯拉的最終決定,是在諸多變動(dòng)因素之間權(quán)衡后,將公認(rèn)會(huì)計(jì)準(zhǔn)則(GAAP)的盈利能力和可持續(xù)性作為大頭考量的結(jié)果”。他指出,“就標(biāo)普而言,這是一個(gè)證明自己的機(jī)會(huì)?!?/p>
但同時(shí),艾夫斯和奧沙也認(rèn)為,特斯拉將在未來幾個(gè)季度證明自己。奧沙告訴《財(cái)富》雜志,他相信“對特斯拉盈利能力的擔(dān)憂將會(huì)最終消失,那些決策者將會(huì)做‘他們該做的事情’。”
其實(shí),特斯拉已經(jīng)實(shí)現(xiàn)了納入指數(shù)的一個(gè)主要要求——連續(xù)四個(gè)季度報(bào)告盈利,因此,委員會(huì)的不納入決定讓一些人感到驚訝。但惠斯頓稱:“我看到有人說,特斯拉納入標(biāo)普是板上釘釘?shù)氖虑?,而我從來不這么認(rèn)為。只要特斯拉不破產(chǎn),這件事可能遲早會(huì)發(fā)生,但我很高興,當(dāng)下委員會(huì)還是選擇了等待。”
實(shí)際上,僅僅滿足納入的各項(xiàng)指標(biāo),并不能保證特斯拉肯定能夠躋身標(biāo)普500指數(shù)。
與此同時(shí),以手工藝品聞名的大型網(wǎng)上商城Etsy在9月4日也成功上榜,盡管兩家公司的市值差距巨大(截至9月4日收盤,特斯拉的市值約為3200億美元,遠(yuǎn)超Etsy約134億美元的市值),這讓一些分析師感到困惑。但還有一點(diǎn)值得注意,特斯拉剛剛報(bào)告了連續(xù)四個(gè)季度盈利的成果,而Etsy已經(jīng)連續(xù)13個(gè)季度盈利了。
艾夫斯指出,盡管特斯拉納入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾的時(shí)機(jī)尚未確定,但是“如果特斯拉能夠在下一季度再次實(shí)現(xiàn)盈利,任何標(biāo)普決策者擔(dān)心的問題都有可能迎刃而解?!?/p>
在新聞曝出前的上周早些時(shí)候,特斯拉股票已經(jīng)遭受重創(chuàng),惠斯頓指出,“投資者的反應(yīng)將會(huì)很糟糕,至少對當(dāng)日交易者(當(dāng)天買、當(dāng)天賣的投機(jī)者)來說是這樣,大家都在想著趕緊賣掉離場。”
的確,艾夫斯補(bǔ)充道,標(biāo)普的冷落是“對多頭的一記猛擊”。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
編譯:楊二一
In a move that surprised the Street on September 4, Tesla was not added into the S&P 500 index—instead passed over for Etsy, Teradyne, and Catalent. And investors are clearly showing their dismay: Tesla’s stock was down over 17% in midday trading on September 8.
Morningstar’s David Whiston, for one, is “not surprised” by Tesla’s S&P snub and speculates that “Tesla has a quality of earnings issue around being profitable often with the help of emission credit sales. The index is market cap weighted, so Tesla qualifies easily in that regard. But perhaps the committee is concerned about the stability of Tesla’s earnings, and that caused them to want to wait a bit,” Whiston tells Fortune via email.
In fact, in Tesla’s most recent quarter, sales of regulatory emissions credits accounted for roughly 7% of the company’s $6.04 billion in sales.
JMP Securities’ Joseph Osha notes that while the second quarter was “widely reported as a beat,” the “reason for that beat was pretty much entirely the fact that those zero emissions credits came in higher than expected. It’s not as if it’s somehow bogus…But the perception last quarter wasn’t great that that was where the beat came from, and I guess it would be nice if [Tesla] could give us some better sense as to how those numbers should track,” he tells Fortune.
Even longtime Tesla bull Dan Ives at Wedbush Securities argues that while “there’s a range of areas where the decision committee ultimately decided not to include them this time,” the most likely is “GAAP profitability and sustainability of that metric given so many moving parts,” he tells Fortune. “It’s a ‘prove me’ situation in terms of S&P.”
But those like Ives and JMP Securities’ Osha believe Tesla will prove itself in coming quarters. Osha tells Fortune he believes “the concerns about profitability are going to evaporate, and the people who make these index decisions will do what they do.”
That said, with Tesla having having achieved one of the main requirements to be added—reporting profits for four consecutive quarters—the wait has surprised some. Morningstar’s Whiston says that “I’ve seen people saying that inclusion was certain, and I never thought it was certain. It’s likely inevitable, assuming Tesla does not collapse, but I’m glad the committee chose to wait.”
Indeed, simply meeting the parameters for inclusion doesn’t guarantee the S&P Dow Jones Indices will add the company to the S&P 500.
Meanwhile, Etsy, the mega online marketplace known for craft goods, did make the cut on September 4, despite a yawning gulf between market caps (Tesla’s roughly $320 billion dwarfs that of Etsy at around $13.4 billion, as of September 4’s close), leaving some analysts scratching their heads. Yet while Tesla may be more popular and powerful with traders, the company has only just reported the required four consecutive quarters of profits—while Etsy has reported 13 consecutive quarters of profits.
Ives notes the timing for inclusion is still up in the air, but “another quarter of profitability would help answer any lingering questions that S&P have,” he notes.
With the stock’s already having taken a beating earlier last week before Friday’s news, Whiston notes “the investor reaction at least with day traders will be poor because those people are trading it and hoping to flip the stock fast.”
Indeed, adds Ives, the S&P snub is “a gut punch to the bulls.”