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飛上云端:這類云計算股票漲瘋了

Anne Sraders
2020-12-08

公司在疫情中加速向云和遠(yuǎn)程工作轉(zhuǎn)移,從而推動云安全公司的利潤大幅增長。

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這是待在“云”上的好日子。

上周四,CrowdStrike、Okta與Zscaler等云計算及網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全股價格飆升,原因是公司在疫情中加速向云和遠(yuǎn)程工作轉(zhuǎn)移,從而推動這三家公司的利潤大幅增長。

上周四下午, CrowdStrike股價漲幅接近14%,Zscaler增逾25%,Okta上漲了4%左右。Snowflake當(dāng)日亦表現(xiàn)不俗,該公司披露了9月份首發(fā)上市以來的第一份季報,并在下午交易中上漲了12%。

Okta今年第三季度收入同比上升42%,CrowdStrike和Zscaler上周三公布的業(yè)績同樣高于預(yù)期,收入分別比上年同期提高了86%和52%。Snowflake披露的收入同比上升119%。

對韋德布什證券(Wedbush Securities)分析師丹?艾夫斯等人來說,上述公司的業(yè)績顯著超出預(yù)期“是當(dāng)下云轉(zhuǎn)型的又一重要時刻,也為網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全股全線上揚(yáng)提供了更多支持”。在上周四發(fā)表的報告中,艾夫斯認(rèn)為“這三家下一代軟件龍頭的業(yè)績表現(xiàn)都非常出色,其收入漲幅甚至超過了最樂觀人士的預(yù)期……對仍處于發(fā)展早期的云和數(shù)字轉(zhuǎn)型來說,這又是一個關(guān)鍵數(shù)據(jù)點(diǎn)”。

晨星分析師馬克?凱什指出,新冠疫情一直是2020年的重大主題,它“使人們加大了數(shù)字轉(zhuǎn)型力度,也提高了采用零信任安全措施的需求,而這對Zscaler有利。” 凱什在上周三發(fā)表的報告中稱,他認(rèn)為Zscaler的業(yè)績將高于其自身預(yù)期。同時,韋德布什證券的艾夫斯認(rèn)為Zscaler“看來將左右今后十年云網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全的動向”。

許多分析師都認(rèn)為上述重大云主題不光只會在2020年大放異彩。艾夫斯和凱什等分析師預(yù)測Zscaler和CrowdStrike等公司將繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大份額。正如凱什上周四發(fā)表報告稱,“隨著客戶在混合云環(huán)境下升級終端節(jié)點(diǎn)并提高工作負(fù)荷安全要求,CrowdStrike的客戶群體、收入和利潤率在整個21世紀(jì)20年代都將取得顯著增長?!蓖瑫r,凱什在上周三的報告中指出,Okta“仍在快速獲得用戶,同時展現(xiàn)出更大的業(yè)務(wù)規(guī)模以及出色的追加銷售成果”。

就整個云及網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全板塊而言,艾夫斯預(yù)測,“目前有33%的工作負(fù)荷上云,據(jù)我們分析,到2022年這個比例將達(dá)到55%。我們認(rèn)為企業(yè)和政府的數(shù)字轉(zhuǎn)型最多都加快了12-18個月,”微軟和Amazon Web Services(AWS)則“處于領(lǐng)先位置”。

爭相上云的趨勢當(dāng)然已經(jīng)給這個領(lǐng)域的許多公司帶來了溢價。的確,CrowdStrike、Zscaler和Okta目前的市盈率已如此之高,以至于被稱為“毫無意義”(三家公司均未盈利)。同時,對于云泡沫和技術(shù)泡沫的爭論在2020年仍未休止。而今年這三只股票都至少上漲了100%。

不過,艾夫斯等分析師指出,“基本面動力和云需求甜點(diǎn)仍讓我們深信可以持有網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全板塊的長期優(yōu)勝者?!睂τ赯scaler和CrowdStrike等公司的“強(qiáng)勁”業(yè)績,他認(rèn)為“云故事仍處于發(fā)展初期,而且預(yù)示著2021年網(wǎng)絡(luò)股將表現(xiàn)良好”。

雖然這些公司的優(yōu)異盈利數(shù)據(jù)可能讓投資者欣喜若狂,但他們最好記住,前者的估值倍數(shù)也已突破天際。(財富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Charlie

這是待在“云”上的好日子。

上周四,CrowdStrike、Okta與Zscaler等云計算及網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全股價格飆升,原因是公司在疫情中加速向云和遠(yuǎn)程工作轉(zhuǎn)移,從而推動這三家公司的利潤大幅增長。

上周四下午, CrowdStrike股價漲幅接近14%,Zscaler增逾25%,Okta上漲了4%左右。Snowflake當(dāng)日亦表現(xiàn)不俗,該公司披露了9月份首發(fā)上市以來的第一份季報,并在下午交易中上漲了12%。

Okta今年第三季度收入同比上升42%,CrowdStrike和Zscaler上周三公布的業(yè)績同樣高于預(yù)期,收入分別比上年同期提高了86%和52%。Snowflake披露的收入同比上升119%。

對韋德布什證券(Wedbush Securities)分析師丹?艾夫斯等人來說,上述公司的業(yè)績顯著超出預(yù)期“是當(dāng)下云轉(zhuǎn)型的又一重要時刻,也為網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全股全線上揚(yáng)提供了更多支持”。在上周四發(fā)表的報告中,艾夫斯認(rèn)為“這三家下一代軟件龍頭的業(yè)績表現(xiàn)都非常出色,其收入漲幅甚至超過了最樂觀人士的預(yù)期……對仍處于發(fā)展早期的云和數(shù)字轉(zhuǎn)型來說,這又是一個關(guān)鍵數(shù)據(jù)點(diǎn)”。

晨星分析師馬克?凱什指出,新冠疫情一直是2020年的重大主題,它“使人們加大了數(shù)字轉(zhuǎn)型力度,也提高了采用零信任安全措施的需求,而這對Zscaler有利?!?凱什在上周三發(fā)表的報告中稱,他認(rèn)為Zscaler的業(yè)績將高于其自身預(yù)期。同時,韋德布什證券的艾夫斯認(rèn)為Zscaler“看來將左右今后十年云網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全的動向”。

許多分析師都認(rèn)為上述重大云主題不光只會在2020年大放異彩。艾夫斯和凱什等分析師預(yù)測Zscaler和CrowdStrike等公司將繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大份額。正如凱什上周四發(fā)表報告稱,“隨著客戶在混合云環(huán)境下升級終端節(jié)點(diǎn)并提高工作負(fù)荷安全要求,CrowdStrike的客戶群體、收入和利潤率在整個21世紀(jì)20年代都將取得顯著增長?!蓖瑫r,凱什在上周三的報告中指出,Okta“仍在快速獲得用戶,同時展現(xiàn)出更大的業(yè)務(wù)規(guī)模以及出色的追加銷售成果”。

就整個云及網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全板塊而言,艾夫斯預(yù)測,“目前有33%的工作負(fù)荷上云,據(jù)我們分析,到2022年這個比例將達(dá)到55%。我們認(rèn)為企業(yè)和政府的數(shù)字轉(zhuǎn)型最多都加快了12-18個月,”微軟和Amazon Web Services(AWS)則“處于領(lǐng)先位置”。

爭相上云的趨勢當(dāng)然已經(jīng)給這個領(lǐng)域的許多公司帶來了溢價。的確,CrowdStrike、Zscaler和Okta目前的市盈率已如此之高,以至于被稱為“毫無意義”(三家公司均未盈利)。同時,對于云泡沫和技術(shù)泡沫的爭論在2020年仍未休止。而今年這三只股票都至少上漲了100%。

不過,艾夫斯等分析師指出,“基本面動力和云需求甜點(diǎn)仍讓我們深信可以持有網(wǎng)絡(luò)安全板塊的長期優(yōu)勝者?!睂τ赯scaler和CrowdStrike等公司的“強(qiáng)勁”業(yè)績,他認(rèn)為“云故事仍處于發(fā)展初期,而且預(yù)示著2021年網(wǎng)絡(luò)股將表現(xiàn)良好”。

雖然這些公司的優(yōu)異盈利數(shù)據(jù)可能讓投資者欣喜若狂,但他們最好記住,前者的估值倍數(shù)也已突破天際。(財富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Charlie

It's a good day to be in the cloud.

Cloud and cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike, Okta, and Zscaler are soaring on Thursday after the trio reported booming earnings amid a pandemic that has accelerated businesses' shift to the cloud and remote work.

On Thursday CrowdStrike was trading nearly 14% higher in afternoon trading, while Zscaler zoomed over 25% and Okta was up roughly 4% in afternoon trading. Snowflake was also on a tear Thursday, up over 12% in afternoon trading after reporting its first quarter since its IPO in September.

Revenues for Okta were up 42% from the previous year in the 3rd quarter, while CrowdStrike and Zscaler also beat earnings Wednesday, with revenues up 86% and 52% year-over-year, respectively. Snowflake reported revenues up 119% from the previous year.

For those like Wedbush Securities's Dan Ives, the big earnings beats are "another seminal moment in this cloud transformation underway and put more fuel into this rally in cyber security names across the board," Ives wrote in a note Thursday. He believes the "blowout earnings across the board from these three next generation software leaders that surprised even the biggest bulls given the strength ... is another key data point speaking to the cloud and digital transformation that is still in the early days of playing out."

As has been the big theme of 2020, Morningstar analyst Mark Cash notes the pandemic "hastened digital transformation efforts and the need to adopt zero-trust security practices, which benefits Zscaler," and believes the company can top its forward earnings estimates, Cash wrote in a note Wednesday. Wedbush's Ives, meanwhile, believes the company "looks to be in the drivers seat on the cloud cyber security shift over the next decade."

Many on the Street argue the big cloud theme won't just be booming in 2020. Analysts like Ives and Morningstar's Cash believe names like Zscaler and CrowdStrike will continue to gain share, as Cash wrote in a Thursday note that "CrowdStrike's customer base, revenue, and margins will experience profound growth throughout the 2020s as customers update their endpoint and workload security requirements in a hybrid-cloud world." Okta, meanwhile, "continues to gain customers at a fast clip while also showcasing larger deal sizes and impressive upsell results," Cash wrote in a Wednesday note.

And for cloud and cybersecurity stocks overall, Wedbush's Ives estimates "with 33% of workloads currently on the cloud moving to 55% by 2022 based on our analysis, we believe the digital transformation shift to cloud for both enterprises and governments is being accelerated by up to 12 to 18 months," with Microsoft and Amazon Web Services (AWS) "leading the way."

But that rush has certainly driven up premiums for many of the names in the space. Indeed, CrowdStrike, Zscaler, and Okta all currently trade at price-to-earnings multiples that register as "not meaningful" as they're so high (All three companies, meanwhile, remain unprofitable). And the debate about a cloud and tech bubble in 2020 rages on. All three stocks are up at least 100% each this year.

But some analysts like Ives argue the "fundamental drivers and sweet spot of cloud demand continue to give us high conviction in owning the secular winners in the cyber security sector." Pointing to the "robust" earnings from names like Zscaler and CrowdStrike, he argues "this cloud story is still in the early days of playing out and bodes well for cyber names heading into 2021."

While investors may be on cloud nine following the strong earnings, they'd be well to remember their multiples are also sky-high.

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