對英國小企業(yè)主而言,全國解封的日子已經(jīng)不遠(yuǎn)。英國商會的一項(xiàng)調(diào)查顯示,有人對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長充滿信心,也有人擔(dān)心新一輪封鎖或者推遲解封會阻礙經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇。
該項(xiàng)調(diào)查采訪了1,000家英國小企業(yè)。超過一半英國小企業(yè)表示,其業(yè)務(wù)已經(jīng)達(dá)到了新冠肺炎疫情之前的水平,并且制定了未來12個月的具體發(fā)展計(jì)劃。
它們面臨的唯一障礙是政府實(shí)行新一輪封鎖。英國原定于6月21日全國解封。隨著新增病例數(shù)持續(xù)增加,英國很有可能實(shí)行新一輪封鎖措施。據(jù)英國公共衛(wèi)生部透露,四分之三新增病例與傳染力更強(qiáng)的印度變種病毒有關(guān)。
約40%的受訪企業(yè)表示,未來實(shí)行封鎖措施的威脅是復(fù)工復(fù)產(chǎn)的一大障礙。企業(yè)擔(dān)心的其他問題包括客戶需求減少、人員招聘困難和通貨膨脹等。
與此同時,許多企業(yè)認(rèn)為,只要能夠獲得資金支持,就可以克服其他障礙,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)重啟。英國商會的政策聯(lián)合執(zhí)行主管克萊爾·沃克一直在反復(fù)強(qiáng)調(diào)這一點(diǎn)。他呼吁政府闡明安全措施,“并制定明確的支持方案,一旦今年再次施行封鎖措施,這些政策能夠立即付諸實(shí)施?!?/p>
上周,英國政府的“反彈貸款”計(jì)劃執(zhí)行將滿一周年,英國政府通過該計(jì)劃提供擔(dān)保,向150萬家小企業(yè)發(fā)放了465億英鎊貸款(約合658億美元),在封鎖期間幫助它們擺脫困境。目前,英國政府要求小企業(yè)在12個月還款寬限期期滿后開始還款,包括通過“隨增長償還貸款”計(jì)劃,該計(jì)劃允許企業(yè)選擇將貸款期限最長延長10年以及暫停還款。
與此同時,政府依舊在考慮是否按照原計(jì)劃在6月21日解封。6月6日,英國衛(wèi)生大臣馬特·漢考克表示,現(xiàn)在談?wù)撜欠駮缙诮夥馊匀弧盀闀r尚早”。
6月1日,英國自2020年3月疫情爆發(fā)以來首次宣布全國零新冠肺炎相關(guān)死亡病例,但人們對于推遲解封的擔(dān)憂卻越來越強(qiáng)烈。貝倫貝格(Berenberg)的分析師在6月初警告稱,新變種病毒的傳播讓投資者有理由擔(dān)心。分析師懷疑英國“是否即將爆發(fā)‘第三’波嚴(yán)重疫情,可能需要政府再次執(zhí)行封鎖措施以限制病毒傳播?!保ㄘ敻恢形木W(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
對英國小企業(yè)主而言,全國解封的日子已經(jīng)不遠(yuǎn)。英國商會的一項(xiàng)調(diào)查顯示,有人對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長充滿信心,也有人擔(dān)心新一輪封鎖或者推遲解封會阻礙經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇。
該項(xiàng)調(diào)查采訪了1,000家英國小企業(yè)。超過一半英國小企業(yè)表示,其業(yè)務(wù)已經(jīng)達(dá)到了新冠肺炎疫情之前的水平,并且制定了未來12個月的具體發(fā)展計(jì)劃。
它們面臨的唯一障礙是政府實(shí)行新一輪封鎖。英國原定于6月21日全國解封。隨著新增病例數(shù)持續(xù)增加,英國很有可能實(shí)行新一輪封鎖措施。據(jù)英國公共衛(wèi)生部透露,四分之三新增病例與傳染力更強(qiáng)的印度變種病毒有關(guān)。
約40%的受訪企業(yè)表示,未來實(shí)行封鎖措施的威脅是復(fù)工復(fù)產(chǎn)的一大障礙。企業(yè)擔(dān)心的其他問題包括客戶需求減少、人員招聘困難和通貨膨脹等。
與此同時,許多企業(yè)認(rèn)為,只要能夠獲得資金支持,就可以克服其他障礙,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)重啟。英國商會的政策聯(lián)合執(zhí)行主管克萊爾·沃克一直在反復(fù)強(qiáng)調(diào)這一點(diǎn)。他呼吁政府闡明安全措施,“并制定明確的支持方案,一旦今年再次施行封鎖措施,這些政策能夠立即付諸實(shí)施?!?/p>
上周,英國政府的“反彈貸款”計(jì)劃執(zhí)行將滿一周年,英國政府通過該計(jì)劃提供擔(dān)保,向150萬家小企業(yè)發(fā)放了465億英鎊貸款(約合658億美元),在封鎖期間幫助它們擺脫困境。目前,英國政府要求小企業(yè)在12個月還款寬限期期滿后開始還款,包括通過“隨增長償還貸款”計(jì)劃,該計(jì)劃允許企業(yè)選擇將貸款期限最長延長10年以及暫停還款。
與此同時,政府依舊在考慮是否按照原計(jì)劃在6月21日解封。6月6日,英國衛(wèi)生大臣馬特·漢考克表示,現(xiàn)在談?wù)撜欠駮缙诮夥馊匀弧盀闀r尚早”。
6月1日,英國自2020年3月疫情爆發(fā)以來首次宣布全國零新冠肺炎相關(guān)死亡病例,但人們對于推遲解封的擔(dān)憂卻越來越強(qiáng)烈。貝倫貝格(Berenberg)的分析師在6月初警告稱,新變種病毒的傳播讓投資者有理由擔(dān)心。分析師懷疑英國“是否即將爆發(fā)‘第三’波嚴(yán)重疫情,可能需要政府再次執(zhí)行封鎖措施以限制病毒傳播?!保ㄘ敻恢形木W(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
For Britain’s small-business owners, the day is fast approaching when the country’s lockdown restrictions will end. And while some are confident about economic growth, others worry renewed or delayed lockdown restrictions will inhibit their path to recovery, according to a survey conducted by the British Chambers of Commerce.
More than half of small businesses in the U.K. said they were already operating at pre-pandemic capacity with concrete plans in place to grow their businesses over the next 12 months, according to the survey, which interviewed 1,000 small U.K. businesses.
The only thing that stands in their way is the threat of renewed lockdown restrictions, which are due to end on June 21. And with a rising number of cases—three-quarters of which could be traced to the more infectious Indian variant, according to Public Health England—that possibility is looming on the horizon.
Almost 40% of the companies surveyed said the threat of future lockdowns was a barrier to reopening their businesses. Other concerns included reduced demand from customers, difficulty recruiting staff, and inflation.
Meanwhile, many businesses believe that access to financing will help cover the remaining barriers to fully restarting. That was a point reiterated by Claire Walker, co–executive director of policy at the British Chambers of Commerce, who urged the government to clarify safety measures and “set out a clear package of support that would be available should further restrictions be imposed on businesses this year.”
Last week marks the first anniversary of the U.K. government’s “bounce back loan” program, in which the government backed £46.5 billion ($65.8 billion) in loans to 1.5 million small businesses to help them out while lockdown measures were instituted. The government is now asking small businesses to begin paying up after the 12-month payment holiday, including through a “Pay as You Grow” initiative, which gives businesses the option to extend the length of their loan by up to 10 years and to pause repayments.
Meanwhile, the government is still mulling whether it intends to stick to the original timeline of dropping all COVID-19 restrictions on June 21. On June 6, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said it was still “too early” to say whether the government will be able to adhere to this date for lifting the measures.
While June 1 was the first day the U.K. reported no COVID-related deaths nationwide since the pandemic began in March 2020, the worry of a delayed reopening is mounting. Berenberg analysts at early June warned the spread of the new variant is giving investors cause for concern—questioning whether the U.K. is “on the cusp of another significant, ‘third’ wave that would require renewed restrictions to contain the spread of the virus.”