美國(guó)佛羅里達(dá)大西洋大學(xué)(Florida Atlantic University)認(rèn)為,愛(ài)達(dá)荷州的首府博伊西是美國(guó)最被高估的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)之一,當(dāng)?shù)胤慨a(chǎn)的掛牌價(jià)比預(yù)期售價(jià)高80.51%。
從2020年8月至2021年8月,美國(guó)的房?jī)r(jià)整體上漲了19.8%,預(yù)計(jì)2022年美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)會(huì)有所降溫,到2022年年底預(yù)期房?jī)r(jià)漲幅只有2.9%。佛羅里達(dá)大西洋大學(xué)認(rèn)為,博伊西等五個(gè)城市的房?jī)r(jià)即將達(dá)到最高點(diǎn),很快將趨于穩(wěn)定。
博伊西于2019年被Livability網(wǎng)站評(píng)為千禧一代最宜居城市,2018年被《福布斯》(Forbes)評(píng)為美國(guó)發(fā)展最快的城市。Livability網(wǎng)站會(huì)公布美國(guó)城市的排名數(shù)據(jù)。在《美國(guó)新聞與世界報(bào)道》(U.S. News & World Report)的2021-2022年最宜居城市排行榜中,博伊西排在第11位。該媒體這樣評(píng)價(jià)這個(gè)城市:“是的,有些地方有更美麗的野外風(fēng)光,有些地方的城市化水平更高。但博伊西兩者兼具,是一個(gè)適合居住的好地方?!?/p>
據(jù)《Business Insider》統(tǒng)計(jì),在新冠疫情期間,搬到愛(ài)達(dá)荷州的人口比離開(kāi)的人口多194%。據(jù)房地產(chǎn)交易網(wǎng)站Realtor.com統(tǒng)計(jì),博伊西吸引了大批遠(yuǎn)程辦公者從圣何塞等房?jī)r(jià)更高的城市搬到這里生活。在博伊西以北幾小時(shí)車程的愛(ài)達(dá)荷州莫斯科市,房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的情況類似。房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人米斯蒂·庫(kù)里對(duì)愛(ài)達(dá)荷大學(xué)(University of Idaho)的期刊《The Argonaut》表示,愛(ài)達(dá)荷州房?jī)r(jià)上漲的主要原因之一是人口大量涌入。
庫(kù)里說(shuō):“2020年,我們發(fā)現(xiàn)隨著大量購(gòu)房人涌入愛(ài)達(dá)荷州,當(dāng)?shù)卮_實(shí)出現(xiàn)了房屋庫(kù)存不足的情況。許多新購(gòu)房人搬到這里,但我們卻無(wú)法提供幫助?!?/p>
博伊西最受千禧一代歡迎,而這個(gè)群體正在步入30歲,是首次購(gòu)房的典型年齡。除了這些購(gòu)房者以外,在新冠疫情期間,博伊西還吸引了大批遠(yuǎn)程辦公者,在Apartment List的最適宜遠(yuǎn)程辦公城市中排在第三位。
隨著需求持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),房地產(chǎn)供應(yīng)卻嚴(yán)重不足。美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)存在約400萬(wàn)套住房缺口。據(jù)《The Argonaut》報(bào)道,愛(ài)達(dá)荷大學(xué)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)教授史蒂夫·彼德森認(rèn)為,愛(ài)達(dá)荷州后續(xù)也存在這樣的問(wèn)題。
他提到十多年前的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)崩盤(pán)稱:“我認(rèn)為人們并沒(méi)有意識(shí)到大蕭條對(duì)建筑和房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)造成的嚴(yán)重破壞。”他還表示,因?yàn)榉康禺a(chǎn)市場(chǎng)崩盤(pán),陷入停滯的房屋建設(shè)市場(chǎng)最近才開(kāi)始恢復(fù)。
而房屋建設(shè)所需要的木材目前漲價(jià)高達(dá)308%。哥倫布市一家經(jīng)濟(jì)住房非營(yíng)利組織的執(zhí)行總監(jiān)布萊恩·希金斯指出,木材漲價(jià)導(dǎo)致房屋建設(shè)成本大大提高。
以上這些因素可能是博伊西實(shí)際房?jī)r(jià)上漲的原因。
對(duì)當(dāng)?shù)厣鐓^(qū)而言,房?jī)r(jià)暴漲并不是好消息。有一對(duì)夫婦對(duì)哥倫比亞廣播公司(CBS)表示,在多次出價(jià)遭到拒絕之后,他們最終找到了一位明確希望將房子賣(mài)給本地家庭的賣(mài)家。
一名業(yè)主說(shuō):“才僅僅過(guò)去幾年時(shí)間,為什么情況會(huì)變成這樣?”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
美國(guó)佛羅里達(dá)大西洋大學(xué)(Florida Atlantic University)認(rèn)為,愛(ài)達(dá)荷州的首府博伊西是美國(guó)最被高估的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)之一,當(dāng)?shù)胤慨a(chǎn)的掛牌價(jià)比預(yù)期售價(jià)高80.51%。
從2020年8月至2021年8月,美國(guó)的房?jī)r(jià)整體上漲了19.8%,預(yù)計(jì)2022年美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)會(huì)有所降溫,到2022年年底預(yù)期房?jī)r(jià)漲幅只有2.9%。佛羅里達(dá)大西洋大學(xué)認(rèn)為,博伊西等五個(gè)城市的房?jī)r(jià)即將達(dá)到最高點(diǎn),很快將趨于穩(wěn)定。
博伊西于2019年被Livability網(wǎng)站評(píng)為千禧一代最宜居城市,2018年被《福布斯》(Forbes)評(píng)為美國(guó)發(fā)展最快的城市。Livability網(wǎng)站會(huì)公布美國(guó)城市的排名數(shù)據(jù)。在《美國(guó)新聞與世界報(bào)道》(U.S. News & World Report)的2021-2022年最宜居城市排行榜中,博伊西排在第11位。該媒體這樣評(píng)價(jià)這個(gè)城市:“是的,有些地方有更美麗的野外風(fēng)光,有些地方的城市化水平更高。但博伊西兩者兼具,是一個(gè)適合居住的好地方?!?/p>
據(jù)《Business Insider》統(tǒng)計(jì),在新冠疫情期間,搬到愛(ài)達(dá)荷州的人口比離開(kāi)的人口多194%。據(jù)房地產(chǎn)交易網(wǎng)站Realtor.com統(tǒng)計(jì),博伊西吸引了大批遠(yuǎn)程辦公者從圣何塞等房?jī)r(jià)更高的城市搬到這里生活。在博伊西以北幾小時(shí)車程的愛(ài)達(dá)荷州莫斯科市,房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的情況類似。房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人米斯蒂·庫(kù)里對(duì)愛(ài)達(dá)荷大學(xué)(University of Idaho)的期刊《The Argonaut》表示,愛(ài)達(dá)荷州房?jī)r(jià)上漲的主要原因之一是人口大量涌入。
庫(kù)里說(shuō):“2020年,我們發(fā)現(xiàn)隨著大量購(gòu)房人涌入愛(ài)達(dá)荷州,當(dāng)?shù)卮_實(shí)出現(xiàn)了房屋庫(kù)存不足的情況。許多新購(gòu)房人搬到這里,但我們卻無(wú)法提供幫助?!?/p>
博伊西最受千禧一代歡迎,而這個(gè)群體正在步入30歲,是首次購(gòu)房的典型年齡。除了這些購(gòu)房者以外,在新冠疫情期間,博伊西還吸引了大批遠(yuǎn)程辦公者,在Apartment List的最適宜遠(yuǎn)程辦公城市中排在第三位。
隨著需求持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),房地產(chǎn)供應(yīng)卻嚴(yán)重不足。美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)存在約400萬(wàn)套住房缺口。據(jù)《The Argonaut》報(bào)道,愛(ài)達(dá)荷大學(xué)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)教授史蒂夫·彼德森認(rèn)為,愛(ài)達(dá)荷州后續(xù)也存在這樣的問(wèn)題。
他提到十多年前的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)崩盤(pán)稱:“我認(rèn)為人們并沒(méi)有意識(shí)到大蕭條對(duì)建筑和房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)造成的嚴(yán)重破壞?!彼€表示,因?yàn)榉康禺a(chǎn)市場(chǎng)崩盤(pán),陷入停滯的房屋建設(shè)市場(chǎng)最近才開(kāi)始恢復(fù)。
而房屋建設(shè)所需要的木材目前漲價(jià)高達(dá)308%。哥倫布市一家經(jīng)濟(jì)住房非營(yíng)利組織的執(zhí)行總監(jiān)布萊恩·希金斯指出,木材漲價(jià)導(dǎo)致房屋建設(shè)成本大大提高。
以上這些因素可能是博伊西實(shí)際房?jī)r(jià)上漲的原因。
對(duì)當(dāng)?shù)厣鐓^(qū)而言,房?jī)r(jià)暴漲并不是好消息。有一對(duì)夫婦對(duì)哥倫比亞廣播公司(CBS)表示,在多次出價(jià)遭到拒絕之后,他們最終找到了一位明確希望將房子賣(mài)給本地家庭的賣(mài)家。
一名業(yè)主說(shuō):“才僅僅過(guò)去幾年時(shí)間,為什么情況會(huì)變成這樣?”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
The Idaho capital tops a list of overvalued U.S. housing markets, with homes listed 80.51% above their expected price, according to Florida Atlantic University (FAU).
U.S. home prices overall rose by 19.8% between August 2020 and August 2021, but are expected to cool off a bit in 2022, with a projected rise of only 2.9% by year’s end. Boise is one of five cities that might be approaching their “pricing crown,” or peak prices, and will soon begin to stabilize, according to FAU.
Boise was ranked the best place to live for millennials in 2019 by Livability, which publishes data rankings for U.S. cities, and was named the fastest-growing city in the U.S. in 2018 by Forbes. U.S. News & World Report ranked Boise 11th in its list of best places to live in 2021–22, writing: “Yes, there are wilder places. Yes, there are more urbane places. But Boise is a good place to live if you enjoy easy access to both.”
Over the course of the pandemic, 194% more people moved to Idaho than moved away, according to Business Insider. Boise has attracted remote workers from more expensive cities like San Jose, according to Realtor.com, a real estate listing website. In Moscow, Idaho, a few hours north of Boise, things don’t look much different. Realtor Misty Curry told The Argonaut, a University of Idaho publication, that one of the primary reasons prices in the greater state of Idaho have shot up is this influx of new people.
“Once 2020 hit, we really saw inventory lack due to the mass amount of buyers coming into Idaho. We have so many new buyers moving in, we just can’t help them,” Curry said.
All those millennials for which Boise is supposed to be a hotspot are hitting their thirties, the prime age of first-time homebuyers. Along with this new wave of buyers, Boise has attracted a rush of remote workers during the pandemic, ranking third on Apartment List’s collection of the best cities for remote work.
And for all that growing demand, the supply is seriously lacking. On a national scale, the housing market is short almost 4 million homes. This is subsequently a problem in Idaho, said University of Idaho economics professor Steve Peterson, according to The Argonaut.
“I don’t think people realize how badly the construction and housing industry were damaged by the greater recession,” he said, referring to the housing crash more than a decade ago. Homebuilding, which halted after the crash, has only recently resumed, Peterson added.
And the lumber needed to actually catch up and build more housing now costs up to 308% more. That makes the cost of homebuilding significantly more expensive, according to Brian Higgins, executive director of an affordable housing nonprofit in Columbus.
All those factors combined could be why real estate prices in Boise are so high.
The surge in home prices isn’t good news for the local community in Boise. One couple told CBS that, after multiple offer rejections, they had finally found a seller who wanted to sell specifically to a local family.
“Why is it like this when just a couple years ago it wasn’t?” one of the homeowners said.