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大辭職潮可能導(dǎo)致美國大學(xué)的入學(xué)率進(jìn)一步下降

Kat McKim
2022-03-29

自2010年以來,美國社區(qū)大學(xué)的入學(xué)率逐步下降,過去兩年更是大幅下降,自2019年以來降幅超過13%。

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多年以來,關(guān)于高中畢業(yè)之后的計(jì)劃,主流觀點(diǎn)把讀大學(xué)尤其是取得四年學(xué)位,作為所有學(xué)生的黃金標(biāo)準(zhǔn),認(rèn)為擁有大學(xué)學(xué)位在當(dāng)前的就業(yè)市場中絕對不可或缺。孩子們都聽到了這種觀點(diǎn),并且許多人表示認(rèn)同。

教育科技提供商EVERFI調(diào)查了超過14萬名參加大學(xué)和職業(yè)準(zhǔn)備相關(guān)在線課程的學(xué)生,有56%的受訪者預(yù)計(jì)在高中畢業(yè)后將攻讀兩年或四年大學(xué)。

家長們同樣把讀大學(xué)作為子女高中畢業(yè)之后的最佳選擇。

美國學(xué)生援助組織(American Student Assistance)的首席執(zhí)行官瓊·埃迪說:“大多數(shù)家庭都希望孩子能夠讀大學(xué),并將其作為目標(biāo)?!痹摻M織是一家專注于就業(yè)教育與準(zhǔn)備的非營利組織?!拔覀冋{(diào)查了初高中學(xué)生的家長,他們表示可以接受子女走[讀大學(xué)以外]的道路,但60%的家長表示如果子女不讀大學(xué),那就是家長的失敗。”

雖然孩子和家長最初都有大學(xué)夢,但一部分人的夢想可能與現(xiàn)實(shí)格格不入:據(jù)美國國家教育統(tǒng)計(jì)中心(National Center for Education Statistics)和美國全國學(xué)生信息中心(National Student Clearinghouse)報(bào)告中的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2019年,18歲至24歲人群的總體大學(xué)入學(xué)率只有41%,過去兩年本科生入學(xué)率每年下降約2.5%。

社區(qū)大學(xué)的情況尤為嚴(yán)重:自2010年以來,社區(qū)大學(xué)的入學(xué)率逐步下降,過去兩年更是大幅下降,自2019年以來降幅超過13%。

社區(qū)大學(xué)主要服務(wù)低收入學(xué)生和邊緣化人群,因此這些群體可能正在放棄就讀大學(xué),盡管他們懷有上大學(xué)的夢想。芝加哥公立學(xué)校(Chicago Public Schools)的前首席執(zhí)行官、希望芝加哥(Hope Chicago)的現(xiàn)任首席執(zhí)行官賈尼斯·杰克遜對于入學(xué)率下降的深遠(yuǎn)影響感到擔(dān)憂。希望芝加哥是一家向芝加哥學(xué)生提供獎(jiǎng)學(xué)金的非營利組織。

杰克遜表示:“從公平的角度,我確實(shí)想看到更多的有色人種能夠讀大學(xué)并完成學(xué)業(yè)。但除了公平以外,為了維持美國的地位,必須保證大眾受過良好教育。如果美國有色人種的比例越來越高[基于人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化預(yù)測],但有色人種的大學(xué)入學(xué)率卻在下降,這個(gè)問題就應(yīng)該引起每個(gè)人的重視。”

有許多因素導(dǎo)致孩子們上大學(xué)的愿望與最終入學(xué)率不匹配。其中高漲的學(xué)費(fèi)和獲取學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助的難度排在前列,這或許并不意外。雖然佩爾助學(xué)金(Pell Grants)(向低收入學(xué)生發(fā)放的基于需求的補(bǔ)助金)最近發(fā)放的資助金額增加,但卻跟不上大學(xué)成本的上漲速度。即使有學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助,每年依舊會有數(shù)百萬美元助學(xué)金無人申領(lǐng),因?yàn)樯觐I(lǐng)過程復(fù)雜且繁瑣。

高等教育領(lǐng)域的支付能力危機(jī)并不新鮮,但這一次的背景截然不同:新冠疫情和大辭職潮(Great Resignation)讓學(xué)生們面臨著前所未有的復(fù)雜狀況,也帶來了機(jī)遇,這正在改變學(xué)生們對于讀大學(xué)的看法。

目前,大學(xué)入學(xué)率下降的情況與以往的趨勢相反。在經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期間,大學(xué)的入學(xué)率通常會大幅升高。邁阿密大學(xué)(Miami University)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)助理教授萊利·阿克頓推斷,當(dāng)前大學(xué)入學(xué)率下降至少部分原因是新冠疫情的影響,尤其是持續(xù)的不確定性對心理的影響。

阿克頓稱:“或許你曾經(jīng)有去讀大學(xué)的打算,但隨著新冠疫情爆發(fā),提前一個(gè)月制定計(jì)劃都變得很難。對許多學(xué)生而言,尤其是作為家中第一個(gè)要讀大學(xué)的孩子,考入大學(xué)本身就是一個(gè)復(fù)雜和不確定的過程,而新冠疫情帶來的不確定性在這個(gè)過程中被進(jìn)一步放大?!?/p>

面對這種被放大的不確定性,在理想情況下學(xué)生或許可以求助于學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員。然而,與社會工作者等學(xué)校支持人員的情況一樣,目前學(xué)習(xí)輔導(dǎo)員嚴(yán)重不足。

雖然美國學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員協(xié)會(American School Counselor Association)建議每250名學(xué)生配備一名學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員,但全美的平均數(shù)只有415比1。大學(xué)顧問團(tuán)(College Advising Corps)的首席項(xiàng)目官亞布拉赫·皮普爾斯曾經(jīng)在某些學(xué)校見過1名輔導(dǎo)員服務(wù)多達(dá)1000名學(xué)生的情況。

皮普爾斯說:“想想學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員的工作,他們根本沒有時(shí)間與每個(gè)學(xué)生坐下來交流。這樣的要求對輔導(dǎo)員來說是不公平的。”

更糟糕的是,學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員的學(xué)位課程中,不一定要求他們完成大學(xué)咨詢課程。學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員在學(xué)校中能夠扮演許多角色,比如為學(xué)生提供社會情感支持、協(xié)助課程注冊和考試管理等,因此大學(xué)咨詢通常并不是學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員培訓(xùn)的重點(diǎn)。

這意味著學(xué)生往往要獨(dú)自應(yīng)對這些復(fù)雜的情況,決定高中畢業(yè)之后的計(jì)劃,有時(shí)候親朋好友的指導(dǎo),并沒有給學(xué)生提供完成這個(gè)可怕的復(fù)雜過程所需要的專門知識。

皮普爾斯稱:“學(xué)生會盡量自行調(diào)查研究,但大學(xué)咨詢是學(xué)校需要的資源。專業(yè)顧問必須可以為學(xué)生提供建議,并幫助學(xué)生獲得必要資源?!?/p>

尤其是從學(xué)生被大學(xué)錄取到實(shí)際入學(xué)這段時(shí)間。許多高等教育普及方面的從業(yè)者將這段時(shí)間稱為“暑期融化”現(xiàn)象,因?yàn)閷W(xué)生,尤其是低收入學(xué)生或家中第一個(gè)上大學(xué)的學(xué)生,要面對一系列令人困惑而且通常令人望而生畏的任務(wù),可能迫使他們放棄入學(xué)。

在這段時(shí)間,學(xué)生通常需要完成長篇論文,回應(yīng)有關(guān)缺失文件的問題,還要支付保證金以保住自己的名額或床位。對于家中沒有可靠網(wǎng)絡(luò)連接或計(jì)算機(jī)的學(xué)生而言,情況變得更加復(fù)雜。

皮普爾斯還指出,學(xué)生的家庭不僅要繳納這些保證金,還要支付與高中畢業(yè)相關(guān)的其他費(fèi)用,例如高中三年級活動(dòng)和畢業(yè)慶祝等。這些保證金通常需要在春季繳納,學(xué)生無法使用學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助支付,只能自掏腰包。如果沒有按時(shí)繳納保證金,他們可能就會失去更經(jīng)濟(jì)的住宿選擇,或者未來會面臨其他復(fù)雜情況。

皮普爾斯說:“許多學(xué)生非常擔(dān)心,尤其是家中沒有人讀過大學(xué)的孩子。在這個(gè)過程中的任何挫折都好像在告訴孩子不要去讀大學(xué)。它像是一個(gè)征兆,在暗示你不適合讀大學(xué)?!?/p>

新冠疫情不僅加劇了學(xué)生們的這種擔(dān)憂,還帶來了更多障礙,必定會對大學(xué)尤其是社區(qū)大學(xué)入學(xué)率產(chǎn)生連鎖反應(yīng)。在正常時(shí)期可能讀大學(xué)的學(xué)生面臨著照顧兒童的干擾,可能有家庭成員需要重癥監(jiān)護(hù),此外由于授課方式改為網(wǎng)課,一些課程可能無法學(xué)習(xí)。

阿克頓提到弗吉尼亞大學(xué)(University of Virginia)的一項(xiàng)研究顯示,新冠疫情對男性大學(xué)入學(xué)率的影響尤其嚴(yán)重,這可能是因?yàn)槟行酝鶗x擇高技術(shù)含量的行業(yè),而這些行業(yè)改為虛擬授課的效果不佳。

新冠疫情讓讀大學(xué)在許多學(xué)生眼中變成了一種不太可行的選擇,與此同時(shí),大辭職潮誕生了大批有吸引力的就業(yè)機(jī)會,所提供的起薪遠(yuǎn)高于一般水平。皮普爾斯發(fā)現(xiàn)各類認(rèn)證課程增多,這類課程不依賴傳統(tǒng)職業(yè)學(xué)校,比如公司直接向員工提供在崗培訓(xùn)和認(rèn)證。

埃迪表示,這種趨勢對Z世代學(xué)生很有吸引力。

他說:“Z世代不同于他們的先輩。我們的研究都顯示,Z世代渴望獲得實(shí)踐經(jīng)驗(yàn)。他們希望掌握技術(shù)。他們想嘗試不同事物?!?/p>

20歲的卡爾托姆·卡巴正是這種性格。卡巴在2020年高中畢業(yè)后,計(jì)劃自學(xué)數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)。她的設(shè)想是一邊兼職工作,一邊自學(xué)數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)基礎(chǔ),并完成一系列以項(xiàng)目為基礎(chǔ)的工作。

畢業(yè)后不久,她在教育科技公司Multiverse發(fā)現(xiàn)了一個(gè)參加為期一年職業(yè)學(xué)徒項(xiàng)目的機(jī)會。該項(xiàng)目讓她可以在全職工作的同時(shí),通過在線模塊和在職培訓(xùn)學(xué)習(xí)數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)。

雖然高中一畢業(yè)無需舉債就能夠得到一筆工資收入,這確實(shí)是促使她作出決定的因素之一,但她最看重的還是這份工作所提供的實(shí)踐經(jīng)驗(yàn)和自學(xué)機(jī)會。她相信這兩點(diǎn)對她的職業(yè)發(fā)展至關(guān)重要。

卡巴表示:“我認(rèn)為,學(xué)習(xí)多種不同技能是更好的選擇,例如學(xué)會自學(xué),從長遠(yuǎn)來看將帶來回報(bào)。無論我選擇哪一條職業(yè)道路,比如創(chuàng)業(yè)等,[自學(xué)]能力將對我大有裨益?!?/p>

卡巴現(xiàn)在是保險(xiǎn)公司安達(dá)保險(xiǎn)集團(tuán)(Chubb)的數(shù)據(jù)分析師學(xué)徒,這個(gè)月為期一年的學(xué)徒期即將結(jié)束。之后她將獲得美國勞工部(Department of Labor)的數(shù)據(jù)分析認(rèn)證,她希望可以繼續(xù)留在安達(dá)保險(xiǎn)成為一名全職員工。她認(rèn)為,憑借過去一年的工作經(jīng)驗(yàn),自己未來的職業(yè)發(fā)展前景光明。

卡巴說:“在初級崗位上,與剛畢業(yè)的大學(xué)生相比,我確實(shí)經(jīng)驗(yàn)更豐富。相比之下,我認(rèn)為我的收入潛力可能高于他們。”

顯然,像卡巴這樣選擇讀大學(xué)以外的其他職業(yè)道路確實(shí)有許多好處,但希望芝加哥的首席執(zhí)行官杰克遜指出,人一生的收入水平往往依舊與是否取得了大學(xué)學(xué)位密切相關(guān)。

杰克遜稱:“[避免讓孩子背負(fù)沉重的學(xué)生債務(wù)]在某些方面確實(shí)是明智的選擇。但我們知道一個(gè)沒有大學(xué)學(xué)位的人收入能力有限?!?/p>

好在高校和其他高等教育普及機(jī)構(gòu)正在采取措施,它們希望逆轉(zhuǎn)入學(xué)率下降的趨勢,讓更多的學(xué)生能夠進(jìn)入并讀完大學(xué)。

會員制非營利組織Common App的總裁兼首席執(zhí)行官珍妮·里卡德看到許多高校都在采取措施解決入學(xué)率下降的問題,包括將大學(xué)入學(xué)考試改為可選項(xiàng)(Common App超過95%的會員機(jī)構(gòu)目前實(shí)行考試可選政策,兩年前只有45%)、免除申請費(fèi)以及向確認(rèn)為家中第一個(gè)上大學(xué)的申請者提供特別支持等。有900多家高等教育機(jī)構(gòu)都是Common App的會員。

Common App正在與多家機(jī)構(gòu)合作試點(diǎn)直接錄取項(xiàng)目,高校將主動(dòng)聯(lián)系達(dá)到一定高中平均分標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的潛在申請者,保證只要他們完成申請就一定可以被錄取。里卡德認(rèn)為,直接錄取是讓更多的學(xué)生進(jìn)入大學(xué)的一條可行途徑。

他表示:“對于家中的第一代大學(xué)生,他們身邊沒有其他大學(xué)生,因此當(dāng)他們想去某所學(xué)校就讀時(shí),心里會承受巨大的壓力。而直接錄取則能夠消除學(xué)生的壓力、焦慮和對被拒絕的擔(dān)憂等情感障礙?!?/p>

雖然這些都是積極的變化,但高等教育普及活動(dòng)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者呼吁做出更大規(guī)模的改革,包括進(jìn)一步提高佩爾助學(xué)金的最高金額、簡化聯(lián)邦助學(xué)補(bǔ)助的申請流程、將學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助發(fā)放函標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化,讓學(xué)生和家長可以提前了解讀大學(xué)的成本。

杰克遜強(qiáng)調(diào),雖然許多機(jī)構(gòu)正在努力普及大學(xué)教育和提高入學(xué)率,但仍然需要進(jìn)行廣泛的系統(tǒng)性改革,才能帶來長久改變。

杰克遜說:“這不是通過籌款就可以解決的問題。聯(lián)邦政府必須從根本上改變其對高等教育的態(tài)度,因?yàn)檫@關(guān)乎整個(gè)國家的未來?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

多年以來,關(guān)于高中畢業(yè)之后的計(jì)劃,主流觀點(diǎn)把讀大學(xué)尤其是取得四年學(xué)位,作為所有學(xué)生的黃金標(biāo)準(zhǔn),認(rèn)為擁有大學(xué)學(xué)位在當(dāng)前的就業(yè)市場中絕對不可或缺。孩子們都聽到了這種觀點(diǎn),并且許多人表示認(rèn)同。

教育科技提供商EVERFI調(diào)查了超過14萬名參加大學(xué)和職業(yè)準(zhǔn)備相關(guān)在線課程的學(xué)生,有56%的受訪者預(yù)計(jì)在高中畢業(yè)后將攻讀兩年或四年大學(xué)。

家長們同樣把讀大學(xué)作為子女高中畢業(yè)之后的最佳選擇。

美國學(xué)生援助組織(American Student Assistance)的首席執(zhí)行官瓊·埃迪說:“大多數(shù)家庭都希望孩子能夠讀大學(xué),并將其作為目標(biāo)。”該組織是一家專注于就業(yè)教育與準(zhǔn)備的非營利組織?!拔覀冋{(diào)查了初高中學(xué)生的家長,他們表示可以接受子女走[讀大學(xué)以外]的道路,但60%的家長表示如果子女不讀大學(xué),那就是家長的失敗?!?/p>

雖然孩子和家長最初都有大學(xué)夢,但一部分人的夢想可能與現(xiàn)實(shí)格格不入:據(jù)美國國家教育統(tǒng)計(jì)中心(National Center for Education Statistics)和美國全國學(xué)生信息中心(National Student Clearinghouse)報(bào)告中的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2019年,18歲至24歲人群的總體大學(xué)入學(xué)率只有41%,過去兩年本科生入學(xué)率每年下降約2.5%。

社區(qū)大學(xué)的情況尤為嚴(yán)重:自2010年以來,社區(qū)大學(xué)的入學(xué)率逐步下降,過去兩年更是大幅下降,自2019年以來降幅超過13%。

社區(qū)大學(xué)主要服務(wù)低收入學(xué)生和邊緣化人群,因此這些群體可能正在放棄就讀大學(xué),盡管他們懷有上大學(xué)的夢想。芝加哥公立學(xué)校(Chicago Public Schools)的前首席執(zhí)行官、希望芝加哥(Hope Chicago)的現(xiàn)任首席執(zhí)行官賈尼斯·杰克遜對于入學(xué)率下降的深遠(yuǎn)影響感到擔(dān)憂。希望芝加哥是一家向芝加哥學(xué)生提供獎(jiǎng)學(xué)金的非營利組織。

杰克遜表示:“從公平的角度,我確實(shí)想看到更多的有色人種能夠讀大學(xué)并完成學(xué)業(yè)。但除了公平以外,為了維持美國的地位,必須保證大眾受過良好教育。如果美國有色人種的比例越來越高[基于人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化預(yù)測],但有色人種的大學(xué)入學(xué)率卻在下降,這個(gè)問題就應(yīng)該引起每個(gè)人的重視。”

有許多因素導(dǎo)致孩子們上大學(xué)的愿望與最終入學(xué)率不匹配。其中高漲的學(xué)費(fèi)和獲取學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助的難度排在前列,這或許并不意外。雖然佩爾助學(xué)金(Pell Grants)(向低收入學(xué)生發(fā)放的基于需求的補(bǔ)助金)最近發(fā)放的資助金額增加,但卻跟不上大學(xué)成本的上漲速度。即使有學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助,每年依舊會有數(shù)百萬美元助學(xué)金無人申領(lǐng),因?yàn)樯觐I(lǐng)過程復(fù)雜且繁瑣。

高等教育領(lǐng)域的支付能力危機(jī)并不新鮮,但這一次的背景截然不同:新冠疫情和大辭職潮(Great Resignation)讓學(xué)生們面臨著前所未有的復(fù)雜狀況,也帶來了機(jī)遇,這正在改變學(xué)生們對于讀大學(xué)的看法。

目前,大學(xué)入學(xué)率下降的情況與以往的趨勢相反。在經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期間,大學(xué)的入學(xué)率通常會大幅升高。邁阿密大學(xué)(Miami University)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)助理教授萊利·阿克頓推斷,當(dāng)前大學(xué)入學(xué)率下降至少部分原因是新冠疫情的影響,尤其是持續(xù)的不確定性對心理的影響。

阿克頓稱:“或許你曾經(jīng)有去讀大學(xué)的打算,但隨著新冠疫情爆發(fā),提前一個(gè)月制定計(jì)劃都變得很難。對許多學(xué)生而言,尤其是作為家中第一個(gè)要讀大學(xué)的孩子,考入大學(xué)本身就是一個(gè)復(fù)雜和不確定的過程,而新冠疫情帶來的不確定性在這個(gè)過程中被進(jìn)一步放大。”

面對這種被放大的不確定性,在理想情況下學(xué)生或許可以求助于學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員。然而,與社會工作者等學(xué)校支持人員的情況一樣,目前學(xué)習(xí)輔導(dǎo)員嚴(yán)重不足。

雖然美國學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員協(xié)會(American School Counselor Association)建議每250名學(xué)生配備一名學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員,但全美的平均數(shù)只有415比1。大學(xué)顧問團(tuán)(College Advising Corps)的首席項(xiàng)目官亞布拉赫·皮普爾斯曾經(jīng)在某些學(xué)校見過1名輔導(dǎo)員服務(wù)多達(dá)1000名學(xué)生的情況。

皮普爾斯說:“想想學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員的工作,他們根本沒有時(shí)間與每個(gè)學(xué)生坐下來交流。這樣的要求對輔導(dǎo)員來說是不公平的。”

更糟糕的是,學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員的學(xué)位課程中,不一定要求他們完成大學(xué)咨詢課程。學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員在學(xué)校中能夠扮演許多角色,比如為學(xué)生提供社會情感支持、協(xié)助課程注冊和考試管理等,因此大學(xué)咨詢通常并不是學(xué)校輔導(dǎo)員培訓(xùn)的重點(diǎn)。

這意味著學(xué)生往往要獨(dú)自應(yīng)對這些復(fù)雜的情況,決定高中畢業(yè)之后的計(jì)劃,有時(shí)候親朋好友的指導(dǎo),并沒有給學(xué)生提供完成這個(gè)可怕的復(fù)雜過程所需要的專門知識。

皮普爾斯稱:“學(xué)生會盡量自行調(diào)查研究,但大學(xué)咨詢是學(xué)校需要的資源。專業(yè)顧問必須可以為學(xué)生提供建議,并幫助學(xué)生獲得必要資源?!?/p>

尤其是從學(xué)生被大學(xué)錄取到實(shí)際入學(xué)這段時(shí)間。許多高等教育普及方面的從業(yè)者將這段時(shí)間稱為“暑期融化”現(xiàn)象,因?yàn)閷W(xué)生,尤其是低收入學(xué)生或家中第一個(gè)上大學(xué)的學(xué)生,要面對一系列令人困惑而且通常令人望而生畏的任務(wù),可能迫使他們放棄入學(xué)。

在這段時(shí)間,學(xué)生通常需要完成長篇論文,回應(yīng)有關(guān)缺失文件的問題,還要支付保證金以保住自己的名額或床位。對于家中沒有可靠網(wǎng)絡(luò)連接或計(jì)算機(jī)的學(xué)生而言,情況變得更加復(fù)雜。

皮普爾斯還指出,學(xué)生的家庭不僅要繳納這些保證金,還要支付與高中畢業(yè)相關(guān)的其他費(fèi)用,例如高中三年級活動(dòng)和畢業(yè)慶祝等。這些保證金通常需要在春季繳納,學(xué)生無法使用學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助支付,只能自掏腰包。如果沒有按時(shí)繳納保證金,他們可能就會失去更經(jīng)濟(jì)的住宿選擇,或者未來會面臨其他復(fù)雜情況。

皮普爾斯說:“許多學(xué)生非常擔(dān)心,尤其是家中沒有人讀過大學(xué)的孩子。在這個(gè)過程中的任何挫折都好像在告訴孩子不要去讀大學(xué)。它像是一個(gè)征兆,在暗示你不適合讀大學(xué)?!?/p>

新冠疫情不僅加劇了學(xué)生們的這種擔(dān)憂,還帶來了更多障礙,必定會對大學(xué)尤其是社區(qū)大學(xué)入學(xué)率產(chǎn)生連鎖反應(yīng)。在正常時(shí)期可能讀大學(xué)的學(xué)生面臨著照顧兒童的干擾,可能有家庭成員需要重癥監(jiān)護(hù),此外由于授課方式改為網(wǎng)課,一些課程可能無法學(xué)習(xí)。

阿克頓提到弗吉尼亞大學(xué)(University of Virginia)的一項(xiàng)研究顯示,新冠疫情對男性大學(xué)入學(xué)率的影響尤其嚴(yán)重,這可能是因?yàn)槟行酝鶗x擇高技術(shù)含量的行業(yè),而這些行業(yè)改為虛擬授課的效果不佳。

新冠疫情讓讀大學(xué)在許多學(xué)生眼中變成了一種不太可行的選擇,與此同時(shí),大辭職潮誕生了大批有吸引力的就業(yè)機(jī)會,所提供的起薪遠(yuǎn)高于一般水平。皮普爾斯發(fā)現(xiàn)各類認(rèn)證課程增多,這類課程不依賴傳統(tǒng)職業(yè)學(xué)校,比如公司直接向員工提供在崗培訓(xùn)和認(rèn)證。

埃迪表示,這種趨勢對Z世代學(xué)生很有吸引力。

他說:“Z世代不同于他們的先輩。我們的研究都顯示,Z世代渴望獲得實(shí)踐經(jīng)驗(yàn)。他們希望掌握技術(shù)。他們想嘗試不同事物。”

20歲的卡爾托姆·卡巴正是這種性格。卡巴在2020年高中畢業(yè)后,計(jì)劃自學(xué)數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)。她的設(shè)想是一邊兼職工作,一邊自學(xué)數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)基礎(chǔ),并完成一系列以項(xiàng)目為基礎(chǔ)的工作。

畢業(yè)后不久,她在教育科技公司Multiverse發(fā)現(xiàn)了一個(gè)參加為期一年職業(yè)學(xué)徒項(xiàng)目的機(jī)會。該項(xiàng)目讓她可以在全職工作的同時(shí),通過在線模塊和在職培訓(xùn)學(xué)習(xí)數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)。

雖然高中一畢業(yè)無需舉債就能夠得到一筆工資收入,這確實(shí)是促使她作出決定的因素之一,但她最看重的還是這份工作所提供的實(shí)踐經(jīng)驗(yàn)和自學(xué)機(jī)會。她相信這兩點(diǎn)對她的職業(yè)發(fā)展至關(guān)重要。

卡巴表示:“我認(rèn)為,學(xué)習(xí)多種不同技能是更好的選擇,例如學(xué)會自學(xué),從長遠(yuǎn)來看將帶來回報(bào)。無論我選擇哪一條職業(yè)道路,比如創(chuàng)業(yè)等,[自學(xué)]能力將對我大有裨益。”

卡巴現(xiàn)在是保險(xiǎn)公司安達(dá)保險(xiǎn)集團(tuán)(Chubb)的數(shù)據(jù)分析師學(xué)徒,這個(gè)月為期一年的學(xué)徒期即將結(jié)束。之后她將獲得美國勞工部(Department of Labor)的數(shù)據(jù)分析認(rèn)證,她希望可以繼續(xù)留在安達(dá)保險(xiǎn)成為一名全職員工。她認(rèn)為,憑借過去一年的工作經(jīng)驗(yàn),自己未來的職業(yè)發(fā)展前景光明。

卡巴說:“在初級崗位上,與剛畢業(yè)的大學(xué)生相比,我確實(shí)經(jīng)驗(yàn)更豐富。相比之下,我認(rèn)為我的收入潛力可能高于他們?!?/p>

顯然,像卡巴這樣選擇讀大學(xué)以外的其他職業(yè)道路確實(shí)有許多好處,但希望芝加哥的首席執(zhí)行官杰克遜指出,人一生的收入水平往往依舊與是否取得了大學(xué)學(xué)位密切相關(guān)。

杰克遜稱:“[避免讓孩子背負(fù)沉重的學(xué)生債務(wù)]在某些方面確實(shí)是明智的選擇。但我們知道一個(gè)沒有大學(xué)學(xué)位的人收入能力有限?!?/p>

好在高校和其他高等教育普及機(jī)構(gòu)正在采取措施,它們希望逆轉(zhuǎn)入學(xué)率下降的趨勢,讓更多的學(xué)生能夠進(jìn)入并讀完大學(xué)。

會員制非營利組織Common App的總裁兼首席執(zhí)行官珍妮·里卡德看到許多高校都在采取措施解決入學(xué)率下降的問題,包括將大學(xué)入學(xué)考試改為可選項(xiàng)(Common App超過95%的會員機(jī)構(gòu)目前實(shí)行考試可選政策,兩年前只有45%)、免除申請費(fèi)以及向確認(rèn)為家中第一個(gè)上大學(xué)的申請者提供特別支持等。有900多家高等教育機(jī)構(gòu)都是Common App的會員。

Common App正在與多家機(jī)構(gòu)合作試點(diǎn)直接錄取項(xiàng)目,高校將主動(dòng)聯(lián)系達(dá)到一定高中平均分標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的潛在申請者,保證只要他們完成申請就一定可以被錄取。里卡德認(rèn)為,直接錄取是讓更多的學(xué)生進(jìn)入大學(xué)的一條可行途徑。

他表示:“對于家中的第一代大學(xué)生,他們身邊沒有其他大學(xué)生,因此當(dāng)他們想去某所學(xué)校就讀時(shí),心里會承受巨大的壓力。而直接錄取則能夠消除學(xué)生的壓力、焦慮和對被拒絕的擔(dān)憂等情感障礙?!?/p>

雖然這些都是積極的變化,但高等教育普及活動(dòng)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者呼吁做出更大規(guī)模的改革,包括進(jìn)一步提高佩爾助學(xué)金的最高金額、簡化聯(lián)邦助學(xué)補(bǔ)助的申請流程、將學(xué)費(fèi)補(bǔ)助發(fā)放函標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化,讓學(xué)生和家長可以提前了解讀大學(xué)的成本。

杰克遜強(qiáng)調(diào),雖然許多機(jī)構(gòu)正在努力普及大學(xué)教育和提高入學(xué)率,但仍然需要進(jìn)行廣泛的系統(tǒng)性改革,才能帶來長久改變。

杰克遜說:“這不是通過籌款就可以解決的問題。聯(lián)邦政府必須從根本上改變其對高等教育的態(tài)度,因?yàn)檫@關(guān)乎整個(gè)國家的未來。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

For many years, the prevailing narrative about post-high-school plans has presented college–and particularly a four-year degree–as the gold standard for all students and an absolute necessity in the current job market. Kids are listening, and many of them agree.

Education technology provider EVERFI surveyed over 140,000 students who took an online course about college and career readiness, and 56 percent of them expected to attend a two-or-four-year college after high school.

Parents are similarly invested in college as the best post-high-school option for their children.

“There’s an expectation and goal of most families that their kids go to college,” said Jean Eddy, CEO of American Student Assistance, a nonprofit focused on career exploration and readiness. “We’ve surveyed parents of middle-and-high-school students, and they say that they are open to [non-college] paths for their son or daughter, but 60 percent of those same parents also say that if my child doesn’t go to college, I’ve failed.”

Though kids and parents may both initially buy into the college dream, these aspirations are at odds with reality for a subset of them: The overall college enrollment rate for 18-24-year-olds was just 41 percent in 2019, according to data from the National Center for Education Statistics, and the National Student Clearinghouse reports that undergraduate enrollment further declined about 2.5 percent per year in the past two years.

In particular, community college enrollment has suffered: Enrollment at these institutions has been declining steadily since 2010 and fell off sharply in the past two years, dropping more than 13 percent since 2019.

Given that community colleges predominantly serve low-income students and those from marginalized backgrounds, it’s likely that these groups in particular are dropping out of the college pipeline despite aspirations to attend. Janice Jackson, the former CEO of Chicago Public Schools and the current CEO of Hope Chicago, a nonprofit that provides scholarships to Chicago students, is worried about the far-reaching implications of this decline.

“Yes, from an equity standpoint, I’m concerned about seeing more people of color going to college and finishing,” Jackson said. “But beyond equity, in order for America to maintain its position of power, we need to have an educated populus. If more people in this country will be people of color [based on predicted demographic shifts], but there’s a decline in people of color going to college, everyone should be concerned.”

There are a number of factors driving the mismatch between kids’ initial college aspirations and their eventual matriculation. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the skyrocketing cost of a degree combined with the difficulty of obtaining financial aid tops the list. Despite a recent increase in funding for Pell Grants (need-based aid awarded to low-income students), these awards haven’t kept pace with the cost of college. And even when financial aid money is available, millions of dollars are left unclaimed every year because the process to apply for it can feel arduous and confusing.

This affordability crisis in higher education isn’t new, but it’s playing out against a new backdrop: The pandemic and the Great Resignation are presenting students with both unique complications and opportunities that are changing the way they think about college.

The current decrease in college enrollment runs counter to past trends—college enrollment typically spikes during recessions—and Riley Acton, an assistant professor of economics at Miami University, theorizes that this is at least partially due to the effects of the pandemic, in particular the psychological toll of constant uncertainty.

“Maybe you thought you were going to college, but then the pandmeic struck, and it’s really hard to plan one month to the next,” Acton said. “The uncertainty we’ve all faced gets amplified in a process that is already complex and uncertain for a lot of students, particularly those who are the first in their families to go to college.”

In the face of this amplified uncertainty, students might ideally turn to their school counselor for help. However, as is the case for other school support staff like social workers, there is a severe shortage of school counselors.

Though the American School Counselor Association recommends a ratio of 250 students for every one school counselor, the national average is 415 to one, and Yarbrah Peeples, the chief program officer at College Advising Corps, has seen some schools where a single counselor serves upwards of 1,000 students.

“When we think about the work of a school counselor, the time to sit down individually with every student isn’t there,” Peeples said. “It isn’t a fair request to make of counselors.”

Further complicating matters, school counselors are not always required to complete coursework in college advising as part of their degree programs. School counselors can have a number of roles in a school, from supporting students’ socioemotional needs to assisting with course registration and test administration, so college advising is not always a prominent focus of a school counselor’s training.

This means that students are often left to untangle the complicated web of post-high-school decisions on their own, sometimes with guidance from friends and family members who don’t have the specialized knowledge students need to effectively navigate a complex and intimidating process.

“Students try to do their own research, but advising is a resource that schools need,” Peeples said. “A professional needs to be able to offer advice and connect students to resources.”

This is particularly true in the period between a student’s acceptance to college and their actual matriculation, a time that many in the college access field call the summer melt, so named because students—particularly low-income students or those who are the first in their families to go to college—face a confusing and often daunting array of tasks that can deter them from enrolling.

During this time, students are often required to complete lengthy paperwork, respond to requests for missing documentation, and pay deposits to hold their seat or guarantee housing, all of which can be made more complicated for kids who don’t have reliable internet or computer access at home.

Peeples also points out that these deposit requests come at a time when families are facing other expenses related to high school graduation, such as senior-year events and graduation celebrations. Since deposits are often required in the spring, students are unable to use financial aid to pay them and must pay out-of-pocket instead. If they delay, they may miss out on more affordable housing options or face further complications down the line.

“There’s a lot of fear with a lot of students, especially if nobody has made the transition to college in their families,” Peeples said. “It can feel like any bump in the road is something saying you shouldn’t go. It’s a sign that this isn’t for you.”

In addition to exacerbating this fear, the pandemic has brought a host of other barriers that were bound to have ripple effects on college enrollment, particularly at community colleges. Students who may have enrolled in a normal year faced childcare disruptions, family members that required intense care, and programs and classes that were no longer available, given the shift to online instruction.

Acton points to research out of the University of Virginia showing that the impact of the pandemic on college enrollment was particularly severe for men, perhaps because the programs they tend to gravitate toward, such as skilled trades, didn’t translate well to virtual instruction.

At the same time that the pandemic made college look like a less feasible option to many students, the great resignation brought a flood of attractive employment opportunities with higher-than-usual starting salaries. Peeples has seen an increase in different types of credentialing programs that don’t depend on traditional vocational schools, for example companies offering on-the-job training and certifications directly to their employees.

According to Eddy, this trend appeals to the temperament of many Gen Z students.

“Gen Z is very different from previous generations,” Eddy said. “All of our research suggests that these kids are looking for hands-on experiences. They want to be skilled. They want to try different things.”

20 year old Cartomu Kabba fits this description well. Kabba graduated high school in 2020 planning to pursue a course of self-study in data science. She envisioned herself working part-time while teaching herself data science fundamentals and building a portfolio of project-based work.

Shortly after graduating, she instead saw an opportunity to participate in a one-year professional apprenticeship program with education technology company Multiverse. The program would allow her to work full-time while learning data science through a mix of online modules and on-the-job training.

Though the ability to earn a salary directly out of high school without taking on debt was a factor in her decision, she was primarily attracted by the promise of hands-on experience and the opportunity for self-study, both of which she believes are crucial to her career development.

“I felt like it was better for me to learn multiple different skills that would pay off in the long run, like teaching myself to learn,” Kabba said. “For any path I want to take, like starting a business, the skill set of [teaching myself] will pay off.”

Kabba is currently working as a data analyst apprentice at the insurance company Chubb, and she is set to finish her year-long apprenticeship this month. Upon completion, she’ll receive a certificate from the Department of Labor in data analytics, and she is hopeful that Chubb will keep her on as a full-time employee. She feels that her future job prospects are strong, thanks to the work experience she’s gained over the past year.

“I do have more experience than somebody in an entry-level position that has just graduated college,” Kabba said. “If we’re doing that comparison, I think I’d have a higher earning potential than them.”

It’s clear that non-college pathways such as the one Kabba chose have much to offer, but Hope Chicago CEO Jackson notes that lifetime earnings are often still tied to college degree completion.

“It’s smart in some ways [that kids don’t take on huge college debt],” Jackson said. “But we know that without a degree, earning power is limited.”

Fortunately, colleges and other organizations in higher education access are taking steps they hope will reverse the decline in enrollment and bring more students to and through college.

Jenny Rickard, the president and CEO of Common App, a nonprofit member organization of over 900 higher education institutions,has seen colleges take various steps to stem the enrollment decline, including making college entrance exams optional (over 95 percent of Common App member institutions are now test-optional, compared to just 45 percent two years ago), waiving application fees, and doing special outreach to applicants who identified as the first in their families to attend college.

Common App is also working with a number of institutions to pilot direct admissions programs, in which colleges reach out to potential applicants who meet a certain high school GPA threshold and guarantee them admission if they complete an application. Rickard sees direct admissions as a promising way to get more students into the college pipeline.

“When we think about first generation students who may not have someone they know who has gone to college, that pressure they feel to get into a particular school is big,” Rickard said. “Direct admissions eliminates the emotional barriers of stress, anxiety, and fear of rejection.”

Though these developments are positive, leaders in higher education access advocate for even greater change, including further increasing the maximum Pell Grant award, simplifying the application process for federal student aid, and standardizing financial aid award letters so that college costs are clearer to students and families up-front.

Jackson emphasizes that while many organizations are working hard to expand college access and enrollment, broad systemic changes are needed to bring about lasting change.

“This is not something we will fundraise our way out of,” Jackson said. “The federal government has to fundamentally change how it thinks about higher education because our country’s future depends on it.”

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