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平均抵押貸款利率已連續(xù)7周上升

這為美國(guó)人置業(yè)設(shè)置了越來(lái)越高的門檻。

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30年期房屋貸款基準(zhǔn)利率的平均利率連續(xù)第七周上漲,這為美國(guó)人置業(yè)設(shè)置了越來(lái)越高的門檻。

房地美(Freddie Mac)上周四表示,30年期固定抵押貸款利率為7.79%,高于前一周的7.63%。一年前的這一利率為7.08%。

隨著抵押貸款利率的上升,借款人每月可能會(huì)增加數(shù)百美元的成本,(對(duì)許多美國(guó)人來(lái)說(shuō),房產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)已經(jīng)遙不可及),從而進(jìn)一步限制了他們的承受能力。此外,當(dāng)時(shí)房主鎖定了很低的利率(兩年前抵押貸款利率約為3%),因此抵押貸款利率的上升也阻礙了他們出售房屋。

美國(guó)抵押貸款銀行家協(xié)會(huì)(Mortgage Bankers Association)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,9月份全美抵押貸款還款額中值為2155美元,較上年同期增長(zhǎng)11%,即214美元。

美國(guó)9月成屋銷售連續(xù)第四個(gè)月下滑,增速降至逾10年來(lái)的最低水平。

15年期貸款利率從6.92%升至7.03%。一年前,這種深受房主歡迎的住房貸款利率為6.36%。

房地美首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家薩姆·卡特表示:“購(gòu)房活動(dòng)已放緩至近乎停滯,對(duì)許多人來(lái)說(shuō),負(fù)擔(dān)能力仍是重大障礙,而解決這一問題的唯一途徑是降低利率和增加庫(kù)存?!?/p>

高利率限制了新抵押貸款的申請(qǐng)。上周三,美國(guó)抵押貸款銀行家協(xié)會(huì)報(bào)告稱,新貸款申請(qǐng)降至1995年以來(lái)的最低水平。與此同時(shí),可調(diào)利率抵押貸款的申請(qǐng)比例升至9.5%,為去年11月以來(lái)的最高水平。

貸款買房成本的飆升已經(jīng)扭曲了美國(guó)的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)。

兩年前的這個(gè)時(shí)候,數(shù)以百萬(wàn)計(jì)的人以3%或更低的利率鎖定抵押貸款,如今,由于住房融資成本相對(duì)較高,他們負(fù)擔(dān)不起或拒絕搬家。

美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)(National Association of Realtors)報(bào)告稱,成屋銷售不僅連續(xù)第四個(gè)月下降,而且銷售速度也降至十多年來(lái)的最低水平。

與此同時(shí),新屋的銷售速度卻繼續(xù)令經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家感到震驚,原因恰恰相反。

上個(gè)月新屋銷售量躍升至75.9萬(wàn)套,比預(yù)期多出約7.9萬(wàn)套,潛在買家涌入了唯一有房可售的市場(chǎng)——那些剛剛建成的房屋。

聯(lián)信銀行(Comerica)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家比爾·亞當(dāng)斯說(shuō):“房屋建筑商向購(gòu)房者提供‘利率買斷’優(yōu)惠,從而將需求引向新建住宅市場(chǎng)。他們還在縮小戶型,以提高可負(fù)擔(dān)性?!?/p>

亞當(dāng)斯說(shuō),房屋建筑商是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)試圖通過加息來(lái)抑制通脹過程中殺出的“黑馬”。

抵押貸款利率一直在與美國(guó)10年期國(guó)債收益率一起攀升,而貸款機(jī)構(gòu)將美國(guó)10年期國(guó)債收益率作為貸款定價(jià)的指導(dǎo)指標(biāo)。投資者對(duì)未來(lái)通脹的預(yù)期、全球?qū)γ绹?guó)國(guó)債的需求以及美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的利率政策都可能影響住房貸款利率。

長(zhǎng)期加息的威脅將美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率推高至10多年來(lái)的最高水平。上周早些時(shí)候,美國(guó)10年期國(guó)債收益率觸及5%,上周四午盤報(bào)4.89%。5月份的收益率約為3.50%,疫情初期的收益率僅為0.50%。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:中慧言-王芳

30年期房屋貸款基準(zhǔn)利率的平均利率連續(xù)第七周上漲,這為美國(guó)人置業(yè)設(shè)置了越來(lái)越高的門檻。

房地美(Freddie Mac)上周四表示,30年期固定抵押貸款利率為7.79%,高于前一周的7.63%。一年前的這一利率為7.08%。

隨著抵押貸款利率的上升,借款人每月可能會(huì)增加數(shù)百美元的成本,(對(duì)許多美國(guó)人來(lái)說(shuō),房產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)已經(jīng)遙不可及),從而進(jìn)一步限制了他們的承受能力。此外,當(dāng)時(shí)房主鎖定了很低的利率(兩年前抵押貸款利率約為3%),因此抵押貸款利率的上升也阻礙了他們出售房屋。

美國(guó)抵押貸款銀行家協(xié)會(huì)(Mortgage Bankers Association)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,9月份全美抵押貸款還款額中值為2155美元,較上年同期增長(zhǎng)11%,即214美元。

美國(guó)9月成屋銷售連續(xù)第四個(gè)月下滑,增速降至逾10年來(lái)的最低水平。

15年期貸款利率從6.92%升至7.03%。一年前,這種深受房主歡迎的住房貸款利率為6.36%。

房地美首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家薩姆·卡特表示:“購(gòu)房活動(dòng)已放緩至近乎停滯,對(duì)許多人來(lái)說(shuō),負(fù)擔(dān)能力仍是重大障礙,而解決這一問題的唯一途徑是降低利率和增加庫(kù)存。”

高利率限制了新抵押貸款的申請(qǐng)。上周三,美國(guó)抵押貸款銀行家協(xié)會(huì)報(bào)告稱,新貸款申請(qǐng)降至1995年以來(lái)的最低水平。與此同時(shí),可調(diào)利率抵押貸款的申請(qǐng)比例升至9.5%,為去年11月以來(lái)的最高水平。

貸款買房成本的飆升已經(jīng)扭曲了美國(guó)的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)。

兩年前的這個(gè)時(shí)候,數(shù)以百萬(wàn)計(jì)的人以3%或更低的利率鎖定抵押貸款,如今,由于住房融資成本相對(duì)較高,他們負(fù)擔(dān)不起或拒絕搬家。

美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人協(xié)會(huì)(National Association of Realtors)報(bào)告稱,成屋銷售不僅連續(xù)第四個(gè)月下降,而且銷售速度也降至十多年來(lái)的最低水平。

與此同時(shí),新屋的銷售速度卻繼續(xù)令經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家感到震驚,原因恰恰相反。

上個(gè)月新屋銷售量躍升至75.9萬(wàn)套,比預(yù)期多出約7.9萬(wàn)套,潛在買家涌入了唯一有房可售的市場(chǎng)——那些剛剛建成的房屋。

聯(lián)信銀行(Comerica)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家比爾·亞當(dāng)斯說(shuō):“房屋建筑商向購(gòu)房者提供‘利率買斷’優(yōu)惠,從而將需求引向新建住宅市場(chǎng)。他們還在縮小戶型,以提高可負(fù)擔(dān)性?!?/p>

亞當(dāng)斯說(shuō),房屋建筑商是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)試圖通過加息來(lái)抑制通脹過程中殺出的“黑馬”。

抵押貸款利率一直在與美國(guó)10年期國(guó)債收益率一起攀升,而貸款機(jī)構(gòu)將美國(guó)10年期國(guó)債收益率作為貸款定價(jià)的指導(dǎo)指標(biāo)。投資者對(duì)未來(lái)通脹的預(yù)期、全球?qū)γ绹?guó)國(guó)債的需求以及美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的利率政策都可能影響住房貸款利率。

長(zhǎng)期加息的威脅將美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率推高至10多年來(lái)的最高水平。上周早些時(shí)候,美國(guó)10年期國(guó)債收益率觸及5%,上周四午盤報(bào)4.89%。5月份的收益率約為3.50%,疫情初期的收益率僅為0.50%。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:中慧言-王芳

The average rate on the benchmark 30-year home loan rose for the seventh straight week, creating an increasingly high bar to home ownership for Americans.

The rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage is at 7.79%, up from 7.63% last week, Freddie Mac said Thursday. A year ago the rate was 7.08%.

As mortgage rates rise, they can add hundreds of dollars a month in costs for borrowers, limiting how much they can afford in a market already out of reach for many Americans. They also discourage homeowners who locked in far low rates two years ago, when they were around 3%, from selling.

The national median mortgage payment was $2,155 in September, up 11%, or $214, from a year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes in September fell for the fourth month in a row, grinding to their slowest pace in more than a decade.

The rate on the 15-year loan rose to 7.03% from 6.92%. A year ago the rate on the loan, which is popular with homeowners their home loan, was at 6.36%.

“Purchase activity has slowed to a virtual standstill, affordability remains a significant hurdle for many and the only way to address it is lower rates and greater inventory,” said Freddie Mac chief economist Sam Khater.

The high rates are limiting applications for new mortgages. Wednesday the MBA reported that applications for new loans dipped to the slowest weekly pace since 1995. Meanwhile, the share of applications for adjustable rate mortgages rose to 9.5%, the higher since November.

The soaring cost of borrowing money for a home has skewed the U.S. housing market.

Millions of people who locked in mortgages at this time two years ago at 3% or below cannot afford to, or refuse to move, due to the comparative cost of financing a home today.

Last week, the National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes not only fell for the fourth consecutive month, but the pace of sales has ground to the slowest pace in more than a decade.

At the same time the pace of new home sales continue to astound economists for the opposite reason.

New home sales in last month jumped to 759,000, about 79,000 more than had been expected with prospective buyer flooding the only market where homes are available – those that were just built.

“Homebuilders are offering buyers interest rate buydown incentives that funnel demand into the newly-built segment,” said Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica. “They are also shrinking floorplans to boost affordability.”

Adams says home builders are the “surprise winner” of attempts by the Federal Reserve to cool inflation through interest rate hikes.

Mortgage rates have been climbing along with the 10-year Treasury yield, which lenders use as a guide to pricing loans. Investors’ expectations for future inflation, global demand for U.S. Treasurys and what the Fed does with interest rates can influence rates on home loans.

The threat of higher rates for longer pushed Treasury yields this week to their highest levels in more than a decade. The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5% earlier this week and was at 4.89% in midday trading Thursday. It was at roughly 3.50% in May and just 0.50% early in the pandemic.

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