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芯片業(yè)迎來綠色革命,但短期內(nèi)沒有讓脆弱的半導(dǎo)體生態(tài)系統(tǒng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的良方

RAKESH KUMAR
2023-12-29

政府和半導(dǎo)體公司現(xiàn)在必須慎重思考如何改善芯片的可持續(xù)性。

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半導(dǎo)體供應(yīng)鏈正在發(fā)生變化,但半導(dǎo)體工藝的成熟耗費(fèi)了數(shù)年時(shí)間。圖片來源:ROBERT MICHAEL - PICTURE ALLIANCE - GETTY IMAGES

半導(dǎo)體的可持續(xù)性再次引起關(guān)注。近幾年,主張?zhí)岣咝酒a(chǎn)和使用的可持續(xù)性的呼聲越來越高。2022年,第27屆聯(lián)合國(guó)氣候變化大會(huì)(COP27)上成立了半導(dǎo)體氣候聯(lián)盟(Semiconductor Climate Consortium),60個(gè)創(chuàng)始成員承諾到2050年將排放量減少至0%。

芯片成為目標(biāo)不難理解。畢竟芯片已經(jīng)無處不在,而且芯片的數(shù)量和使用會(huì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。復(fù)雜的芯片供應(yīng)鏈,從提取原材料到成品運(yùn)輸,到生產(chǎn)過程中的加工、加熱和制冷,再到產(chǎn)品回收,大多數(shù)階段都會(huì)產(chǎn)生大量排放。

眾所周知,制造芯片的基本材料硅,需在熔爐中燃燒煤炭和木屑混合物,用沙子或石英加工而成。芯片行業(yè)需要大量能源和水,而且需求還在持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。先進(jìn)的3納米芯片的生產(chǎn)過程每年可能消耗約80億千瓦時(shí)能源。在某些情況下,芯片生產(chǎn)會(huì)對(duì)社區(qū)產(chǎn)生無形的影響。全球最大芯片制造商臺(tái)積電(TSMC)消耗了中國(guó)臺(tái)灣6%的電力和10%的水,導(dǎo)致臺(tái)灣出現(xiàn)了供水短缺。 在美國(guó)灣區(qū),該行業(yè)造成的污染已經(jīng)使許多地區(qū)變成了毒區(qū)。

盡管如此,政府和半導(dǎo)體公司現(xiàn)在必須慎重思考如何改善芯片的可持續(xù)性。我們剛剛經(jīng)歷的一次芯片荒,導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟(jì)陷入困境。芯片荒也讓人們開始關(guān)注增加芯片產(chǎn)量和芯片生產(chǎn)本地化可能帶來的經(jīng)濟(jì)和國(guó)家安全效益。美國(guó)今年早些時(shí)候頒布的《芯片與科學(xué)法案》(CHIPS and Science Act)掀起了加大芯片生產(chǎn)的勢(shì)頭,而解決可持續(xù)性問題絕對(duì)不能減慢這種勢(shì)頭。

解決這個(gè)問題的成本并沒有人們想象的那么高。目前大多數(shù)人關(guān)注的是排放,但芯片行業(yè)所產(chǎn)生的排放,僅占全球二氧化碳排放當(dāng)量的0.1%至0.2%??紤]到芯片生產(chǎn)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的巨大影響,這個(gè)比例并不高。

芯片是智能電網(wǎng)、可再生能源轉(zhuǎn)型、智能和電氣化交通、低碳足跡物流和供應(yīng)鏈、視頻會(huì)議、智能農(nóng)業(yè)、藥物研發(fā)和節(jié)能生產(chǎn)等領(lǐng)域的關(guān)鍵支持因素,這些領(lǐng)域均有助于實(shí)現(xiàn)全球可持續(xù)發(fā)展目標(biāo)。芯片的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響也有助于提高可持續(xù)技術(shù)的采用率??梢哉f,盡管芯片會(huì)產(chǎn)生排放,而且能源和水需求龐大,但芯片會(huì)帶來積極的端對(duì)端可持續(xù)性影響。

當(dāng)前以謹(jǐn)慎的方式實(shí)現(xiàn)芯片可持續(xù)性意味著什么?

傳統(tǒng)的監(jiān)管方式可能導(dǎo)致在撥付《芯片法案》的資金之前,每個(gè)新芯片生產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目都需要根據(jù)《國(guó)家環(huán)境政策法案》(National Environmental Policy Act,NEPA)進(jìn)行環(huán)境評(píng)估。它也可能允許個(gè)人在每個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)提起訴訟。然而,這會(huì)在注重成本和瞬息萬變的芯片行業(yè),導(dǎo)致長(zhǎng)達(dá)數(shù)年的延誤?!缎酒ò浮返年P(guān)鍵目的是超越經(jīng)濟(jì)和地緣政治競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手,保證芯片供應(yīng),而這些延誤(環(huán)境評(píng)估平均需要四年時(shí)間)和相應(yīng)的項(xiàng)目成本增加,可能讓這個(gè)目的無法實(shí)現(xiàn)。相反,應(yīng)該允許一次性例外,從而加快開始晶圓廠施工和升級(jí),避免延誤。

有人可能認(rèn)為,這種“免費(fèi)通行證”可能是危險(xiǎn)的,會(huì)開創(chuàng)壞的先例。然而,芯片行業(yè)在目標(biāo)設(shè)定和自我監(jiān)管方面做得很好。目前臺(tái)積電將2%的年收入投資到綠色倡議,并將其使用的85%的水循環(huán)再利用。英特爾(Intel)80%的運(yùn)營(yíng)使用可再生能源,而且其在美國(guó)、印度和哥斯達(dá)黎加生產(chǎn)的淡水超過了其消耗量。三星(Samsung)一半以上的用水會(huì)被重復(fù)使用。芯片生產(chǎn)的能源和水強(qiáng)度快速下降。可再生能源的使用則在持續(xù)增多。新設(shè)備和工藝的能源效率大幅提高。

芯片行業(yè)之所以能有這么大的改變,一個(gè)關(guān)鍵原因是將提高可持續(xù)性與行業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)保持一致。減少能源、燃?xì)夂退枨螅梢越档统杀?,使芯片廠商能夠靈活地選擇地理位置。芯片廠商的利潤(rùn)率足以吸納短期成本。而且他們的客戶通常需要實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)性目標(biāo)。

除了在《國(guó)家環(huán)境政策法案》下的一次性例外,監(jiān)管者還應(yīng)該靈活考慮芯片行業(yè)表現(xiàn)不佳的指標(biāo)。芯片生產(chǎn)工藝經(jīng)過數(shù)十年的發(fā)展和完善。將生產(chǎn)工藝中的任何部分替換成更可持續(xù)的替代品,需要大量研發(fā)投資,但卻無法保證最終可以取得成功。

同樣,今天的半導(dǎo)體供應(yīng)鏈在效率和成本方面已經(jīng)高度優(yōu)化。供應(yīng)鏈的不同環(huán)節(jié)為了符合可持續(xù)性指標(biāo)而草率搬遷,可能影響成本和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。對(duì)于棕地芯片生產(chǎn),尤其要靈活應(yīng)對(duì)。改造生產(chǎn)低利潤(rùn)率芯片的舊晶圓廠(或更換工具、設(shè)施和工藝)的成本,可能導(dǎo)致這些晶圓廠失去競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。對(duì)芯片安全的擔(dān)憂正在引起現(xiàn)有供應(yīng)鏈重組。這個(gè)過程必須慎重,保證合規(guī)負(fù)擔(dān)不會(huì)導(dǎo)致供應(yīng)鏈不可靠或失去競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。

芯片行業(yè)必須持續(xù)發(fā)展——無論經(jīng)濟(jì)安全還是國(guó)家安全都離不開芯片。但發(fā)展的過程也必須是可持續(xù)的。該行業(yè)目前處在一個(gè)關(guān)鍵轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn),因此靈活和務(wù)實(shí)至關(guān)重要。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

本文作者拉凱什·庫(kù)瑪爾現(xiàn)任伊利諾伊大學(xué)(University of Illinois)電子與計(jì)算機(jī)工程系教授,并著有《勉強(qiáng)的技術(shù)愛好者:印度與科技的復(fù)雜關(guān)系》(Reluctant Technophiles: India’s Complicated Relationship with Technology)一書。

翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

半導(dǎo)體的可持續(xù)性再次引起關(guān)注。近幾年,主張?zhí)岣咝酒a(chǎn)和使用的可持續(xù)性的呼聲越來越高。2022年,第27屆聯(lián)合國(guó)氣候變化大會(huì)(COP27)上成立了半導(dǎo)體氣候聯(lián)盟(Semiconductor Climate Consortium),60個(gè)創(chuàng)始成員承諾到2050年將排放量減少至0%。

芯片成為目標(biāo)不難理解。畢竟芯片已經(jīng)無處不在,而且芯片的數(shù)量和使用會(huì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。復(fù)雜的芯片供應(yīng)鏈,從提取原材料到成品運(yùn)輸,到生產(chǎn)過程中的加工、加熱和制冷,再到產(chǎn)品回收,大多數(shù)階段都會(huì)產(chǎn)生大量排放。

眾所周知,制造芯片的基本材料硅,需在熔爐中燃燒煤炭和木屑混合物,用沙子或石英加工而成。芯片行業(yè)需要大量能源和水,而且需求還在持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。先進(jìn)的3納米芯片的生產(chǎn)過程每年可能消耗約80億千瓦時(shí)能源。在某些情況下,芯片生產(chǎn)會(huì)對(duì)社區(qū)產(chǎn)生無形的影響。全球最大芯片制造商臺(tái)積電(TSMC)消耗了中國(guó)臺(tái)灣6%的電力和10%的水,導(dǎo)致臺(tái)灣出現(xiàn)了供水短缺。 在美國(guó)灣區(qū),該行業(yè)造成的污染已經(jīng)使許多地區(qū)變成了毒區(qū)。

盡管如此,政府和半導(dǎo)體公司現(xiàn)在必須慎重思考如何改善芯片的可持續(xù)性。我們剛剛經(jīng)歷的一次芯片荒,導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟(jì)陷入困境。芯片荒也讓人們開始關(guān)注增加芯片產(chǎn)量和芯片生產(chǎn)本地化可能帶來的經(jīng)濟(jì)和國(guó)家安全效益。美國(guó)今年早些時(shí)候頒布的《芯片與科學(xué)法案》(CHIPS and Science Act)掀起了加大芯片生產(chǎn)的勢(shì)頭,而解決可持續(xù)性問題絕對(duì)不能減慢這種勢(shì)頭。

解決這個(gè)問題的成本并沒有人們想象的那么高。目前大多數(shù)人關(guān)注的是排放,但芯片行業(yè)所產(chǎn)生的排放,僅占全球二氧化碳排放當(dāng)量的0.1%至0.2%??紤]到芯片生產(chǎn)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的巨大影響,這個(gè)比例并不高。

芯片是智能電網(wǎng)、可再生能源轉(zhuǎn)型、智能和電氣化交通、低碳足跡物流和供應(yīng)鏈、視頻會(huì)議、智能農(nóng)業(yè)、藥物研發(fā)和節(jié)能生產(chǎn)等領(lǐng)域的關(guān)鍵支持因素,這些領(lǐng)域均有助于實(shí)現(xiàn)全球可持續(xù)發(fā)展目標(biāo)。芯片的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響也有助于提高可持續(xù)技術(shù)的采用率??梢哉f,盡管芯片會(huì)產(chǎn)生排放,而且能源和水需求龐大,但芯片會(huì)帶來積極的端對(duì)端可持續(xù)性影響。

當(dāng)前以謹(jǐn)慎的方式實(shí)現(xiàn)芯片可持續(xù)性意味著什么?

傳統(tǒng)的監(jiān)管方式可能導(dǎo)致在撥付《芯片法案》的資金之前,每個(gè)新芯片生產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目都需要根據(jù)《國(guó)家環(huán)境政策法案》(National Environmental Policy Act,NEPA)進(jìn)行環(huán)境評(píng)估。它也可能允許個(gè)人在每個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)提起訴訟。然而,這會(huì)在注重成本和瞬息萬變的芯片行業(yè),導(dǎo)致長(zhǎng)達(dá)數(shù)年的延誤?!缎酒ò浮返年P(guān)鍵目的是超越經(jīng)濟(jì)和地緣政治競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手,保證芯片供應(yīng),而這些延誤(環(huán)境評(píng)估平均需要四年時(shí)間)和相應(yīng)的項(xiàng)目成本增加,可能讓這個(gè)目的無法實(shí)現(xiàn)。相反,應(yīng)該允許一次性例外,從而加快開始晶圓廠施工和升級(jí),避免延誤。

有人可能認(rèn)為,這種“免費(fèi)通行證”可能是危險(xiǎn)的,會(huì)開創(chuàng)壞的先例。然而,芯片行業(yè)在目標(biāo)設(shè)定和自我監(jiān)管方面做得很好。目前臺(tái)積電將2%的年收入投資到綠色倡議,并將其使用的85%的水循環(huán)再利用。英特爾(Intel)80%的運(yùn)營(yíng)使用可再生能源,而且其在美國(guó)、印度和哥斯達(dá)黎加生產(chǎn)的淡水超過了其消耗量。三星(Samsung)一半以上的用水會(huì)被重復(fù)使用。芯片生產(chǎn)的能源和水強(qiáng)度快速下降??稍偕茉吹氖褂脛t在持續(xù)增多。新設(shè)備和工藝的能源效率大幅提高。

芯片行業(yè)之所以能有這么大的改變,一個(gè)關(guān)鍵原因是將提高可持續(xù)性與行業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)保持一致。減少能源、燃?xì)夂退枨?,可以降低成本,使芯片廠商能夠靈活地選擇地理位置。芯片廠商的利潤(rùn)率足以吸納短期成本。而且他們的客戶通常需要實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)性目標(biāo)。

除了在《國(guó)家環(huán)境政策法案》下的一次性例外,監(jiān)管者還應(yīng)該靈活考慮芯片行業(yè)表現(xiàn)不佳的指標(biāo)。芯片生產(chǎn)工藝經(jīng)過數(shù)十年的發(fā)展和完善。將生產(chǎn)工藝中的任何部分替換成更可持續(xù)的替代品,需要大量研發(fā)投資,但卻無法保證最終可以取得成功。

同樣,今天的半導(dǎo)體供應(yīng)鏈在效率和成本方面已經(jīng)高度優(yōu)化。供應(yīng)鏈的不同環(huán)節(jié)為了符合可持續(xù)性指標(biāo)而草率搬遷,可能影響成本和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。對(duì)于棕地芯片生產(chǎn),尤其要靈活應(yīng)對(duì)。改造生產(chǎn)低利潤(rùn)率芯片的舊晶圓廠(或更換工具、設(shè)施和工藝)的成本,可能導(dǎo)致這些晶圓廠失去競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。對(duì)芯片安全的擔(dān)憂正在引起現(xiàn)有供應(yīng)鏈重組。這個(gè)過程必須慎重,保證合規(guī)負(fù)擔(dān)不會(huì)導(dǎo)致供應(yīng)鏈不可靠或失去競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。

芯片行業(yè)必須持續(xù)發(fā)展——無論經(jīng)濟(jì)安全還是國(guó)家安全都離不開芯片。但發(fā)展的過程也必須是可持續(xù)的。該行業(yè)目前處在一個(gè)關(guān)鍵轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn),因此靈活和務(wù)實(shí)至關(guān)重要。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

本文作者拉凱什·庫(kù)瑪爾現(xiàn)任伊利諾伊大學(xué)(University of Illinois)電子與計(jì)算機(jī)工程系教授,并著有《勉強(qiáng)的技術(shù)愛好者:印度與科技的復(fù)雜關(guān)系》(Reluctant Technophiles: India’s Complicated Relationship with Technology)一書。

翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

There is renewed attention on the sustainability of semiconductors. Chorus has been building in recent years to improve the sustainability of chip manufacturing and usage. In 2022, COP27 saw the creation of a Semiconductor Climate Consortium with 60 founding members pledging to reduce emissions to 0% by 2050.

It is understandable why chips would be a target. They are ubiquitous and their number and usage will just keep increasing. Most stages of their complex supply chain–from the extraction of raw materials to transportation of finished goods to the processing, heating, and cooling required in production, to recycling–produce significant emissions.

Silicon, the basic material used to build chips, is famously created in furnaces from sand or quartz by burning a mixture of coal and wood chips. Energy and water needs for the industry to function are high–and keep increasing. The manufacturing of advanced 3nm chips may consume almost 8 billion kilowatt-hours annually. In some cases, the impact on communities has been visible. TSMC, the world’s largest chip manufacturer, consumes 6% of Taiwan’s electricity and 10% of its water, leading to water shortages. And the industry’s contaminants in the Bay Area have rendered a number of sites toxic.

Despite this, governments and semiconductor companies must be careful about how they approach chip sustainability at this time. We just went through a chip shortage that brought the economies to their knees. The shortage also brought to the fore the potential economic and national security benefits of increasing and localizing chip production. The CHIPS and Science Act passed earlier this year in the U.S. has generated momentum behind chip manufacturing–and sustainability issues must be addressed in a way that does not slow this momentum.

This won’t have as much cost as one may imagine. Most of the current focus is on emissions–and the chip industry produces only 0.1 to 0.2% of global carbon dioxide equivalent emissions. This is small when considering the outsized economic impact they produce.

Chips serve as key enablers for smart grids, the transition to renewables, intelligent and electric transportation, low carbon footprint logistics and supply chains, video conferencing, smart agriculture, drug discovery, and energy-efficient manufacturing, each helping make progress toward global sustainability goals. The economic impact of chips also helps greater adoption of sustainable technologies. One could argue that the end-to-end sustainability impact of chips is likely positive–despite their emissions and large energy and water needs.

What does a careful approach to chip sustainability mean today?

A conventional regulatory approach may lead to a National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)-triggered environmental review for each new chip production project before CHIPS Act funds can be disbursed. It may also allow litigation by private citizens at each step of the process. However, this may introduce multi-year delays in a cost-conscious and fast-moving industry. These delays (environmental reviews take more than four years, on average) and the corresponding increase in project costs may defeat the key purpose of the act–outpacing economic and geopolitical competitors and securing chip supplies. Instead, one-time exceptions should be made that will allow fab constructions and upgrades to start with little delay.

One could argue that this “free pass” may both be dangerous and set a bad precedent. However, the chip industry has done well with goal setting and self-regulation. TSMC now invests 2% of its annual revenue in green initiatives and recycles over 85% of the water it uses. Intel uses renewable energy for over 80% of its operations and produces more fresh water than it consumes in the US, India, and Costa Rica. Samsung reuses over half of its water. Both the energy and water intensity of chip production have been decreasing fast. The use of renewable energy has been on the upswing. New equipment and processes are considerably more energy efficient.

One key reason why the chip industry has done so much is that improved sustainability aligns with their economic objectives. Reducing energy, gas, and water requirements reduces their costs and provides them flexibility in terms of location. Chipmakers have enough margins to absorb short-term costs. And their customers often require meeting sustainability targets.

In addition to one-time NEPA exceptions, regulators should be flexible when considering metrics on which the industry has not done well. Chip production processes have been developed and perfected over decades. Replacing parts of the process with their more sustainable counterparts would require large investments into research and development with no guarantees of success.

Similarly, today’s semiconductor supply chains are extremely optimized for efficiency and cost. A careless relocation of supply chain components simply to meet sustainability metrics can impact cost and competitiveness. Special flexibility should be shown with brownfield chip production. The cost of retrofitting older fabs (or replacing their tools, facilities, and processes) that mostly produce low-margin chips may render these fabs uncompetitive. Chip security concerns are causing a restructuring of existing supply chains. Care must be taken that the compliance burden does not produce unreliable or uncompetitive supply chains.

The chip industry must grow–economic and national security demands it. It is also necessary for this growth to be sustainable. Since the industry is at an inflection point, it will be important to be flexible and pragmatic.

Rakesh Kumar is a professor in the Electrical and Computer Engineering department at the University of Illinois and the author of Reluctant Technophiles: India’s Complicated Relationship with Technology.

財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)所刊載內(nèi)容之知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)為財(cái)富媒體知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)有限公司及/或相關(guān)權(quán)利人專屬所有或持有。未經(jīng)許可,禁止進(jìn)行轉(zhuǎn)載、摘編、復(fù)制及建立鏡像等任何使用。
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