奧馬哈先知把目光瞄向了石油行業(yè)。美國證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)的申報(bào)文件顯示,投資大師沃倫·巴菲特領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的控股公司伯克希爾哈撒韋(Berkshire Hathaway)增加了對總部位于休斯敦的西方石油公司(Occidental Petroleum)的持股,過去九個(gè)交易日通過持續(xù)買入,使其持股比例達(dá)到約29%。
伯克希爾哈撒韋最近的大量買入已經(jīng)醞釀了數(shù)年。2019年,該公司與西方石油公司合作,為一筆收購提供資金支持;2022年8月,其收購西方石油公司最多50%的股份獲得監(jiān)管審批,當(dāng)時(shí)其持股比例約為20%。當(dāng)時(shí),金融專家們預(yù)測伯克希爾哈撒韋可能進(jìn)行收購,但巴菲特在2023年5月的年度股東大會(huì)上表示伯克希爾哈撒韋不會(huì)控股西方石油公司。他說道:“我們將不知道該如何處理這家公司。”
雖然伯克希爾哈撒韋沒有徹底掌控該石油天然氣巨頭,但它已經(jīng)收購了約730萬股,西方石油公司的股價(jià)從6月5日(連續(xù)九天收購的第一天)的不足60美元,到本文發(fā)表時(shí)上漲至約61.20美元。巴菲特之前在接受CNBC采訪時(shí)表示,他在讀過西方石油公司的營收電話會(huì)議記錄后,對其產(chǎn)生了興趣。他說道:“我一字不漏地讀完,這正是我會(huì)做的事情?!?/p>
除了目前兩家公司之間的關(guān)系外,伯克希爾哈撒韋對西方石油公司感興趣的原因并不明顯。經(jīng)紀(jì)公司羅斯資本(Roth Capital)的高級(jí)能源分析師雷奧·馬里亞尼表示:“人們一直以來都對此心存疑問。我不知道是否有人能給出完美的答案?!?/p>
“他們有多年合作的歷史”
西方石油公司可能不像是伯克希爾哈撒韋會(huì)自然選擇的目標(biāo),畢竟伯克希爾哈撒韋廣為人知的是,它大量持有蘋果(Apple)和可口可樂(Coca-Cola)等熱門股。不過,西方石油公司并不是伯克希爾哈撒韋在能源行業(yè)唯一持股的公司,它還持有雪佛龍公司(Chevron)約7%的股份,但這家投資巨頭今年早些時(shí)候減持了股份。伯克希爾哈撒韋還一直在減持中國電動(dòng)汽車公司比亞迪(BYD)的股份,目前持有該公司約7%的股份,自去年10月以來,已出售的股份約占總流通股的1%。
晨星公司(Morningstar)負(fù)責(zé)伯克希爾哈撒韋業(yè)務(wù)的高級(jí)股票分析師格雷戈里·沃倫表示,巴菲特最近大舉買入西方石油公司的股票,可能并不能體現(xiàn)它對能源行業(yè)的整體策略,而且由于對中國市場的擔(dān)憂,伯克希爾哈撒韋對投資比亞迪一直持謹(jǐn)慎態(tài)度。
西方石油公司成立于1920年,后來在傳奇商人阿曼德·哈默的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,公司業(yè)務(wù)從委內(nèi)瑞拉到北海,遍及全球。西方石油公司現(xiàn)任CEO維姬·霍魯布于2016年上任,成為第一位領(lǐng)導(dǎo)美國大型石油公司的女性?;趑敳忌先沃酰蛢r(jià)格暴跌,她被迫削減成本,退出了中東和北非等非核心地區(qū)。巴菲特在接受CNBC采訪時(shí)表示,霍魯布“正在以正確的方式經(jīng)營公司”。
伯克希爾哈撒韋與西方石油公司的關(guān)系始于2019年,當(dāng)時(shí)該公司承諾向西方石油公司出資100億美元,支持其以現(xiàn)金加股票的方式競購競爭對手阿納達(dá)科石油公司(Anadarko),并獲得了購買西方石油公司股票的權(quán)利。三年后,伯克希爾哈撒韋獲得了監(jiān)管批準(zhǔn),可以收購西方石油公司最多50%的股份。
馬里亞尼猜測,伯克希爾哈撒韋希望擴(kuò)大石油股持股規(guī)模,因此選擇了一家它熟悉的公司。他對《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“我認(rèn)為這是因?yàn)樗麄冇卸嗄旰献鞯臍v史,并且熟悉這家公司?!?/p>
他補(bǔ)充說,西方石油公司與其他石油天然氣公司的不同之處,在于其在碳捕集(即從環(huán)境中清除二氧化碳)方面的投資,特別是直接空氣捕集。雖然馬里亞尼表示脫碳是一個(gè)成本高昂的過程,在未來幾年可能會(huì)虧損,但西方石油公司可以在航空公司等正在努力成為“企業(yè)公民”的公司中找到客戶群。
晨星公司分析師沃倫表示,西方石油公司之所以能夠引起伯克希爾哈撒韋的興趣,是因?yàn)榘头铺叵M蛊渫顿Y組合多樣化,而且伯克希爾哈撒韋已經(jīng)獲得監(jiān)管部門的批準(zhǔn),可以收購更多西方石油公司的股份。他對《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“伯克希爾哈撒韋這樣大規(guī)模收購股份,更多地是代表了他們能夠買到的股票,并不能代表該公司有某種明顯的投資偏好。他們的投資機(jī)會(huì)在某種程度上受到其投資組合規(guī)模的限制?!?/p>
盡管巴菲特對西方石油公司很感興趣,但它的前景卻并不樂觀。5月初,晨星公司發(fā)布了一份研究報(bào)告,將對西方石油公司股票的公允價(jià)值預(yù)期下調(diào)了7%,降至每股53美元,以反映油價(jià)下跌的趨勢。分析師還指出,西方石油公司希望在8月前完成對頁巖油生產(chǎn)商CrownRock的收購,但該計(jì)劃進(jìn)展緩慢。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
奧馬哈先知把目光瞄向了石油行業(yè)。美國證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)的申報(bào)文件顯示,投資大師沃倫·巴菲特領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的控股公司伯克希爾哈撒韋(Berkshire Hathaway)增加了對總部位于休斯敦的西方石油公司(Occidental Petroleum)的持股,過去九個(gè)交易日通過持續(xù)買入,使其持股比例達(dá)到約29%。
伯克希爾哈撒韋最近的大量買入已經(jīng)醞釀了數(shù)年。2019年,該公司與西方石油公司合作,為一筆收購提供資金支持;2022年8月,其收購西方石油公司最多50%的股份獲得監(jiān)管審批,當(dāng)時(shí)其持股比例約為20%。當(dāng)時(shí),金融專家們預(yù)測伯克希爾哈撒韋可能進(jìn)行收購,但巴菲特在2023年5月的年度股東大會(huì)上表示伯克希爾哈撒韋不會(huì)控股西方石油公司。他說道:“我們將不知道該如何處理這家公司?!?/p>
雖然伯克希爾哈撒韋沒有徹底掌控該石油天然氣巨頭,但它已經(jīng)收購了約730萬股,西方石油公司的股價(jià)從6月5日(連續(xù)九天收購的第一天)的不足60美元,到本文發(fā)表時(shí)上漲至約61.20美元。巴菲特之前在接受CNBC采訪時(shí)表示,他在讀過西方石油公司的營收電話會(huì)議記錄后,對其產(chǎn)生了興趣。他說道:“我一字不漏地讀完,這正是我會(huì)做的事情?!?/p>
除了目前兩家公司之間的關(guān)系外,伯克希爾哈撒韋對西方石油公司感興趣的原因并不明顯。經(jīng)紀(jì)公司羅斯資本(Roth Capital)的高級(jí)能源分析師雷奧·馬里亞尼表示:“人們一直以來都對此心存疑問。我不知道是否有人能給出完美的答案?!?/p>
“他們有多年合作的歷史”
西方石油公司可能不像是伯克希爾哈撒韋會(huì)自然選擇的目標(biāo),畢竟伯克希爾哈撒韋廣為人知的是,它大量持有蘋果(Apple)和可口可樂(Coca-Cola)等熱門股。不過,西方石油公司并不是伯克希爾哈撒韋在能源行業(yè)唯一持股的公司,它還持有雪佛龍公司(Chevron)約7%的股份,但這家投資巨頭今年早些時(shí)候減持了股份。伯克希爾哈撒韋還一直在減持中國電動(dòng)汽車公司比亞迪(BYD)的股份,目前持有該公司約7%的股份,自去年10月以來,已出售的股份約占總流通股的1%。
晨星公司(Morningstar)負(fù)責(zé)伯克希爾哈撒韋業(yè)務(wù)的高級(jí)股票分析師格雷戈里·沃倫表示,巴菲特最近大舉買入西方石油公司的股票,可能并不能體現(xiàn)它對能源行業(yè)的整體策略,而且由于對中國市場的擔(dān)憂,伯克希爾哈撒韋對投資比亞迪一直持謹(jǐn)慎態(tài)度。
西方石油公司成立于1920年,后來在傳奇商人阿曼德·哈默的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,公司業(yè)務(wù)從委內(nèi)瑞拉到北海,遍及全球。西方石油公司現(xiàn)任CEO維姬·霍魯布于2016年上任,成為第一位領(lǐng)導(dǎo)美國大型石油公司的女性。霍魯布上任之初,原油價(jià)格暴跌,她被迫削減成本,退出了中東和北非等非核心地區(qū)。巴菲特在接受CNBC采訪時(shí)表示,霍魯布“正在以正確的方式經(jīng)營公司”。
伯克希爾哈撒韋與西方石油公司的關(guān)系始于2019年,當(dāng)時(shí)該公司承諾向西方石油公司出資100億美元,支持其以現(xiàn)金加股票的方式競購競爭對手阿納達(dá)科石油公司(Anadarko),并獲得了購買西方石油公司股票的權(quán)利。三年后,伯克希爾哈撒韋獲得了監(jiān)管批準(zhǔn),可以收購西方石油公司最多50%的股份。
馬里亞尼猜測,伯克希爾哈撒韋希望擴(kuò)大石油股持股規(guī)模,因此選擇了一家它熟悉的公司。他對《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“我認(rèn)為這是因?yàn)樗麄冇卸嗄旰献鞯臍v史,并且熟悉這家公司?!?/p>
他補(bǔ)充說,西方石油公司與其他石油天然氣公司的不同之處,在于其在碳捕集(即從環(huán)境中清除二氧化碳)方面的投資,特別是直接空氣捕集。雖然馬里亞尼表示脫碳是一個(gè)成本高昂的過程,在未來幾年可能會(huì)虧損,但西方石油公司可以在航空公司等正在努力成為“企業(yè)公民”的公司中找到客戶群。
晨星公司分析師沃倫表示,西方石油公司之所以能夠引起伯克希爾哈撒韋的興趣,是因?yàn)榘头铺叵M蛊渫顿Y組合多樣化,而且伯克希爾哈撒韋已經(jīng)獲得監(jiān)管部門的批準(zhǔn),可以收購更多西方石油公司的股份。他對《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“伯克希爾哈撒韋這樣大規(guī)模收購股份,更多地是代表了他們能夠買到的股票,并不能代表該公司有某種明顯的投資偏好。他們的投資機(jī)會(huì)在某種程度上受到其投資組合規(guī)模的限制。”
盡管巴菲特對西方石油公司很感興趣,但它的前景卻并不樂觀。5月初,晨星公司發(fā)布了一份研究報(bào)告,將對西方石油公司股票的公允價(jià)值預(yù)期下調(diào)了7%,降至每股53美元,以反映油價(jià)下跌的趨勢。分析師還指出,西方石油公司希望在8月前完成對頁巖油生產(chǎn)商CrownRock的收購,但該計(jì)劃進(jìn)展緩慢。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
The Oracle of Omaha has set his sights on the oil industry. Berkshire Hathaway, the holding company helmed by investing titan Warren Buffett, has upped its stake in Houston-based Occidental Petroleum, buying up shares over the past nine trading days to bring its holdings to almost 29% of the firm, according to SEC filings.
The recent buying spree has been years in the making for Berkshire, which worked with Occidental to finance an acquisition in 2019 and received regulatory approval to purchase up to 50% of Occidental back in August 2022, when it held around 20%. At the time, financial experts predicted an acquisition was likely, although Buffett told Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting in May 2023 that it wasn’t going to take control. “We wouldn’t know what to do with it,” he said.
While Berkshire hasn’t fully swallowed the oil and gas giant yet, it has scooped up around 7.3 million shares, with the stock price rising from under $60 on June 5—the first day of the nine purchase days—to around $61.20 the time of publication. In a previous interview with CNBC, Buffett said that he became interested in Occidental after reading a transcript of the company’s earnings call. “I read every word, and this is exactly what I would be doing,” he said.
The reasons for Berkshire’s interest are not obvious aside from its existing relationship with Occidental. “That’s been a question people have been asking for quite some time,” said Leo Mariani, a senior energy analyst for brokerage firm Roth Capital. “I’m not sure anybody has a perfect answer.”
‘They have a history there’
Occidental may not seem like a natural target for Berkshire, which is famed for its massive positions in buzzier stocks like Apple and Coca-Cola. Occidental, however, is far from its only holding in the energy sector, as it owns about 7% of Chevron, though the investment giant cut back its stake earlier this year. Berkshire has also been reducing its stake in the Chinese electric vehicle company BYD, holding around 7% of the manufacturer and selling around 1% of the total outstanding shares since October.
Greggory Warren, a senior stock analyst for Morningstar covering Berkshire Hathaway, said that Buffett’s recent buying spree of Occidental is likely not a reflection of a broader strategy toward the energy sector, and that the company has been wary of BYD over concerns with the Chinese market.
Founded in 1920 and later headed by the legendary businessman Armand Hammer, Occidental expanded operations around the world, from Venezuela to the North Sea. Occidental’s current CEO is Vicki Hollub, who took over in 2016, becoming the first woman to lead a major American oil company. Her early years were marked by a collapse in crude prices, and Hollub was forced to cut costs and exit from noncore regions in the Middle East and North Africa. In Buffett’s interview with CNBC, he said that Hollub is “running the company the right way.”
Berkshire Hathaway’s relationship with Occidental began in 2019, when it committed $10 billion to the firm’s cash-and-stock bid for rival petroleum company Anadarko, and received the right to buy Occidental shares. Three years later, Berkshire Hathaway won regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the company.
Mariani speculated that Berkshire Hathaway wants more oil exposure and went with a company it knew. “I’m just going to chalk it up to the fact that they have a history there for a number of years and are familiar with the company,” Mariani told Fortune.
He added that Occidental’s differentiation from other oil and gas companies comes from its investment in carbon capture, or removing carbon dioxide from the environment, and specifically direct air capture. While Mariani said that decarbonization is a costly process that will likely lose money for the next handful of years, Occidental could find a customer base with companies such as airlines that are trying to be “corporate citizens.”
Warren, the Morningstar analyst, said Occidental’s appeal is instead driven by Buffett’s desire to diversify his portfolio, and the fact that Berkshire Hathaway already has regulatory approval to scoop up more shares in Occidental. "The stuff that Berkshire buys in scale like this is more a function of what they can buy as opposed to huge preferences one way or another,” he told Fortune. “Their opportunity set is somewhat limited by the size of their portfolio.”
Despite Buffett’s interest in Occidental, its outlook isn’t entirely rosy. In early May, Morningstar published a research note lowering its fair value estimate of Occidental’s stock by 7% to $53 per share, reflecting lower oil prices. The analysts also cited the slow progress of Occidental’s planned acquisition of shale oil producer CrownRock, which it hopes to complete by August.