由于生成式人工智能,我們正在見證知識(shí)工作者工作場(chǎng)所的變革。這一技術(shù)的應(yīng)用速度之快是我們以前從未經(jīng)歷過的,其影響力可能會(huì)超過之前的個(gè)人電腦、互聯(lián)網(wǎng)、社交媒體、移動(dòng)和云技術(shù)變革。
我們最近對(duì)法律、稅務(wù)、會(huì)計(jì)、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、合規(guī)和其他知識(shí)領(lǐng)域的2200多名專業(yè)人士進(jìn)行了全球調(diào)研,結(jié)果顯示,人們對(duì)生成式人工智能在當(dāng)下和未來(lái)改善工作的潛力感到無(wú)比興奮,更不必提及這一技術(shù)在實(shí)現(xiàn)工作與生活平衡方面的潛力了。
專業(yè)人士如今對(duì)人工智能將如何影響工作有了更全面的認(rèn)識(shí)——在某些情況下,人工智能已經(jīng)在影響他們的工作了。我們的第二次“專業(yè)人士未來(lái)”年度調(diào)查發(fā)現(xiàn),63%的受訪者已經(jīng)在日常工作中使用人工智能技術(shù)起草文件、總結(jié)信息和進(jìn)行基礎(chǔ)研究。值得注意的是,超過四分之三的受訪專業(yè)人士認(rèn)為人工智能將帶來(lái)益處,這在不同地區(qū)和職業(yè)中都是如此。受訪者預(yù)測(cè),五年內(nèi)將有一半以上的專業(yè)工作使用人工智能技術(shù)。
最普遍預(yù)測(cè)的人工智能新技術(shù)帶來(lái)的好處包括:為工作帶來(lái)更大的價(jià)值(38%的受訪者)、提高效率和生產(chǎn)力(26%的受訪者)以及騰出時(shí)間(28%的受訪者)。這種圍繞人工智能的整體積極情緒可能更為重要,原因是它提供了一個(gè)可衡量的反面論證,與“這項(xiàng)技術(shù)將毀掉工作”的悲觀預(yù)測(cè)形成鮮明對(duì)比。事實(shí)上,只有10%的受訪者擔(dān)心他們所在的行業(yè)會(huì)出現(xiàn)大面積失業(yè)。
節(jié)省時(shí)間,工作更有意義
這并不是工作場(chǎng)所第一次發(fā)生技術(shù)驅(qū)動(dòng)的變革。我想起了我的祖母,她是澳大利亞第一批在銀行工作的女性之一,每天都要手工添加一列列數(shù)據(jù)。個(gè)人電腦和電子表格軟件使手工計(jì)算數(shù)據(jù)變得過時(shí),但這并沒有終結(jié)會(huì)計(jì)這一職業(yè)。
同樣,人工智能也有可能使勞動(dòng)密集型或常規(guī)任務(wù)自動(dòng)化,從而改變專業(yè)工作的完成方式,并使這些領(lǐng)域的職業(yè)更具吸引力。專業(yè)人士預(yù)測(cè),在人工智能最容易解決的任務(wù)類型上花費(fèi)的時(shí)間減少后,工作將更有成就感。
近60%的受訪者希望他們的職業(yè)在未來(lái)能更好地兼顧工作與生活,而42%的受訪者希望把更多時(shí)間花在有吸引力的創(chuàng)造性工作上。簡(jiǎn)而言之,職業(yè)生涯可能會(huì)變得更具吸引力。近年來(lái),美國(guó)會(huì)計(jì)行業(yè)在吸引年輕人進(jìn)入該領(lǐng)域方面遇到了困難,因此,這種變化可能尤為重要。
我們的報(bào)告顯示,專業(yè)人士預(yù)測(cè),通過將最日常的工作自動(dòng)化,人工智能在未來(lái)一年里每周能為專業(yè)人士騰出多達(dá)四個(gè)小時(shí)的時(shí)間。如果一年多出200個(gè)小時(shí),他們會(huì)做什么呢?也許他們會(huì)有更多的時(shí)間花在工作以外的生活上。或者,他們可能會(huì)將部分時(shí)間重新投入到更具戰(zhàn)略性的工作、創(chuàng)新和職業(yè)發(fā)展中。
僅對(duì)美國(guó)律師而言,這就意味著總共增加了2.66億小時(shí)的生產(chǎn)力。這相當(dāng)于為每個(gè)10人組團(tuán)隊(duì)再添一名同事。根據(jù)目前的平均費(fèi)率計(jì)算,這意味著每位律師每年新增的計(jì)費(fèi)時(shí)間可獲得超過10萬(wàn)美元的收入,預(yù)計(jì)各行各業(yè)的價(jià)值和生產(chǎn)力都將得到類似的提高。
我們的受訪者預(yù)測(cè),在五年內(nèi),每周節(jié)省的時(shí)間可達(dá)12小時(shí),每年超過620小時(shí)。試想一下,提高效率將對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)和國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值產(chǎn)生多么廣泛的影響。
知識(shí)工作者真正關(guān)心的問題
誠(chéng)然,變革會(huì)讓一些人感到緊張,而且是有充分理由的。專業(yè)人士最擔(dān)心的是,人們會(huì)過度依賴人工智能技術(shù),而不是利用自己的專業(yè)判斷。許多人還擔(dān)心生成式人工智能結(jié)果的準(zhǔn)確性,這也是為什么近三分之二的受訪者表示,人類的參與對(duì)于負(fù)責(zé)任地使用人工智能至關(guān)重要。
我們還可以預(yù)料到不法分子會(huì)出于惡意利用新技術(shù)。三分之二的受訪者認(rèn)為數(shù)據(jù)安全是一個(gè)令人擔(dān)憂的問題。
政府工作人員最擔(dān)心人工智能在其所在部門的應(yīng)用。法律和稅務(wù)部門的絕大多數(shù)專業(yè)人士表示,允許人工智能在法庭上代表客戶或做出最終判決就是過分之舉了。
對(duì)道德和監(jiān)督的擔(dān)憂只會(huì)凸顯當(dāng)務(wù)之急:科技界以負(fù)責(zé)任和合乎道德的方式構(gòu)建人工智能應(yīng)用。由于目前尚未就人工智能的道德規(guī)范達(dá)成普遍共識(shí),因此圍繞人工智能的使用一直存在爭(zhēng)議,例如從網(wǎng)上收集個(gè)人數(shù)據(jù)和受版權(quán)保護(hù)的數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)構(gòu)建大型語(yǔ)言模型。
人工智能的未來(lái)并不是注定的,而是由我們來(lái)塑造的。我們歡迎廣大科技界開展合作,以負(fù)責(zé)任的態(tài)度推動(dòng)創(chuàng)新,同時(shí)擁抱這一變革性技術(shù)帶來(lái)的益處。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
作者史蒂夫·哈斯克(Steve Hasker)是湯森路透首席執(zhí)行官。
Fortune.com上評(píng)論文章中表達(dá)的觀點(diǎn)僅代表作者個(gè)人觀點(diǎn),并不代表《財(cái)富》雜志的觀點(diǎn)和立場(chǎng)。
譯者:中慧言-王芳
由于生成式人工智能,我們正在見證知識(shí)工作者工作場(chǎng)所的變革。這一技術(shù)的應(yīng)用速度之快是我們以前從未經(jīng)歷過的,其影響力可能會(huì)超過之前的個(gè)人電腦、互聯(lián)網(wǎng)、社交媒體、移動(dòng)和云技術(shù)變革。
我們最近對(duì)法律、稅務(wù)、會(huì)計(jì)、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、合規(guī)和其他知識(shí)領(lǐng)域的2200多名專業(yè)人士進(jìn)行了全球調(diào)研,結(jié)果顯示,人們對(duì)生成式人工智能在當(dāng)下和未來(lái)改善工作的潛力感到無(wú)比興奮,更不必提及這一技術(shù)在實(shí)現(xiàn)工作與生活平衡方面的潛力了。
專業(yè)人士如今對(duì)人工智能將如何影響工作有了更全面的認(rèn)識(shí)——在某些情況下,人工智能已經(jīng)在影響他們的工作了。我們的第二次“專業(yè)人士未來(lái)”年度調(diào)查發(fā)現(xiàn),63%的受訪者已經(jīng)在日常工作中使用人工智能技術(shù)起草文件、總結(jié)信息和進(jìn)行基礎(chǔ)研究。值得注意的是,超過四分之三的受訪專業(yè)人士認(rèn)為人工智能將帶來(lái)益處,這在不同地區(qū)和職業(yè)中都是如此。受訪者預(yù)測(cè),五年內(nèi)將有一半以上的專業(yè)工作使用人工智能技術(shù)。
最普遍預(yù)測(cè)的人工智能新技術(shù)帶來(lái)的好處包括:為工作帶來(lái)更大的價(jià)值(38%的受訪者)、提高效率和生產(chǎn)力(26%的受訪者)以及騰出時(shí)間(28%的受訪者)。這種圍繞人工智能的整體積極情緒可能更為重要,原因是它提供了一個(gè)可衡量的反面論證,與“這項(xiàng)技術(shù)將毀掉工作”的悲觀預(yù)測(cè)形成鮮明對(duì)比。事實(shí)上,只有10%的受訪者擔(dān)心他們所在的行業(yè)會(huì)出現(xiàn)大面積失業(yè)。
節(jié)省時(shí)間,工作更有意義
這并不是工作場(chǎng)所第一次發(fā)生技術(shù)驅(qū)動(dòng)的變革。我想起了我的祖母,她是澳大利亞第一批在銀行工作的女性之一,每天都要手工添加一列列數(shù)據(jù)。個(gè)人電腦和電子表格軟件使手工計(jì)算數(shù)據(jù)變得過時(shí),但這并沒有終結(jié)會(huì)計(jì)這一職業(yè)。
同樣,人工智能也有可能使勞動(dòng)密集型或常規(guī)任務(wù)自動(dòng)化,從而改變專業(yè)工作的完成方式,并使這些領(lǐng)域的職業(yè)更具吸引力。專業(yè)人士預(yù)測(cè),在人工智能最容易解決的任務(wù)類型上花費(fèi)的時(shí)間減少后,工作將更有成就感。
近60%的受訪者希望他們的職業(yè)在未來(lái)能更好地兼顧工作與生活,而42%的受訪者希望把更多時(shí)間花在有吸引力的創(chuàng)造性工作上。簡(jiǎn)而言之,職業(yè)生涯可能會(huì)變得更具吸引力。近年來(lái),美國(guó)會(huì)計(jì)行業(yè)在吸引年輕人進(jìn)入該領(lǐng)域方面遇到了困難,因此,這種變化可能尤為重要。
我們的報(bào)告顯示,專業(yè)人士預(yù)測(cè),通過將最日常的工作自動(dòng)化,人工智能在未來(lái)一年里每周能為專業(yè)人士騰出多達(dá)四個(gè)小時(shí)的時(shí)間。如果一年多出200個(gè)小時(shí),他們會(huì)做什么呢?也許他們會(huì)有更多的時(shí)間花在工作以外的生活上?;蛘撸麄兛赡軙?huì)將部分時(shí)間重新投入到更具戰(zhàn)略性的工作、創(chuàng)新和職業(yè)發(fā)展中。
僅對(duì)美國(guó)律師而言,這就意味著總共增加了2.66億小時(shí)的生產(chǎn)力。這相當(dāng)于為每個(gè)10人組團(tuán)隊(duì)再添一名同事。根據(jù)目前的平均費(fèi)率計(jì)算,這意味著每位律師每年新增的計(jì)費(fèi)時(shí)間可獲得超過10萬(wàn)美元的收入,預(yù)計(jì)各行各業(yè)的價(jià)值和生產(chǎn)力都將得到類似的提高。
我們的受訪者預(yù)測(cè),在五年內(nèi),每周節(jié)省的時(shí)間可達(dá)12小時(shí),每年超過620小時(shí)。試想一下,提高效率將對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)和國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值產(chǎn)生多么廣泛的影響。
知識(shí)工作者真正關(guān)心的問題
誠(chéng)然,變革會(huì)讓一些人感到緊張,而且是有充分理由的。專業(yè)人士最擔(dān)心的是,人們會(huì)過度依賴人工智能技術(shù),而不是利用自己的專業(yè)判斷。許多人還擔(dān)心生成式人工智能結(jié)果的準(zhǔn)確性,這也是為什么近三分之二的受訪者表示,人類的參與對(duì)于負(fù)責(zé)任地使用人工智能至關(guān)重要。
我們還可以預(yù)料到不法分子會(huì)出于惡意利用新技術(shù)。三分之二的受訪者認(rèn)為數(shù)據(jù)安全是一個(gè)令人擔(dān)憂的問題。
政府工作人員最擔(dān)心人工智能在其所在部門的應(yīng)用。法律和稅務(wù)部門的絕大多數(shù)專業(yè)人士表示,允許人工智能在法庭上代表客戶或做出最終判決就是過分之舉了。
對(duì)道德和監(jiān)督的擔(dān)憂只會(huì)凸顯當(dāng)務(wù)之急:科技界以負(fù)責(zé)任和合乎道德的方式構(gòu)建人工智能應(yīng)用。由于目前尚未就人工智能的道德規(guī)范達(dá)成普遍共識(shí),因此圍繞人工智能的使用一直存在爭(zhēng)議,例如從網(wǎng)上收集個(gè)人數(shù)據(jù)和受版權(quán)保護(hù)的數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)構(gòu)建大型語(yǔ)言模型。
人工智能的未來(lái)并不是注定的,而是由我們來(lái)塑造的。我們歡迎廣大科技界開展合作,以負(fù)責(zé)任的態(tài)度推動(dòng)創(chuàng)新,同時(shí)擁抱這一變革性技術(shù)帶來(lái)的益處。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
作者史蒂夫·哈斯克(Steve Hasker)是湯森路透首席執(zhí)行官。
Fortune.com上評(píng)論文章中表達(dá)的觀點(diǎn)僅代表作者個(gè)人觀點(diǎn),并不代表《財(cái)富》雜志的觀點(diǎn)和立場(chǎng)。
譯者:中慧言-王芳
Thanks to generative AI, we’re witnessing a transformative shift in the workplace for knowledge workers. The rapid pace of adoption is unlike anything we’ve experienced before, and it could end up being more influential than the arrival of the PC, the internet, social media, mobile, and cloud technology transitions that preceded it.
According to our recent global study of more than 2,200 professionals working in the fields of law, tax, accounting, risk, compliance, and other knowledge fields, there’s a tremendous sense of excitement about the here-and-now and future potential of generative AI to improve their work—not to mention their work-life balance.
Professionals now have a better sense of how AI will affect their work—and in some cases, it already is. Our second annual Future of Professionals survey found that 63% of the people we polled have already used gen AI in their day-to-day work to draft documents, summarize information, and perform basic research. Notably, more than three-quarters of the professionals surveyed consider AI a force for good—and that’s true across different geographies and professions. Respondents predicted that more than half of professional work will use AI-powered technology in five years.
The most commonly predicted benefits of new AI-powered technologies include the greater value it will bring to their work (38% of respondents), increased efficiency and productivity (26%), and freed-up time (28%). This overall positive sentiment around AI may be all the more significant because it provides a measurable counter-narrative to the doom-and-gloom predictions that this technology will destroy jobs. In fact, only 10% of respondents were concerned about widespread job losses in their industry.
Time savings and more meaningful work
It’s not the first time that the workplace has seen tech-driven transformations. I think about my grandmother, who was one of the first women in Australia to work in a bank and spent her days manually adding columns of data by hand. Personal computers and spreadsheet software made calculating data by hand obsolete, but it didn’t end the profession of accounting.
Similarly, AI has the potential to automate labor-intensive or routine tasks to transform the way professional work is done and make a career in these fields more appealing. Professionals predict that work will be more fulfilling with less time spent on the type of tasks that AI could most easily address.
Nearly 60% of respondents want to see their profession focus on a better work-life balance in the future, while 42% would like to spend more time on engaging, creative work. In short, professional careers could become more appealing. Such changes could be particularly significant in the U.S. accounting industry, which in recent years has had trouble attracting young people to the field.
By automating the most routine tasks, our report shows that professionals predict AI could free up as much as four hours a week in the next year. What will they do with 200 extra hours of time a year? Maybe they’ll have more time to spend on their non-work lives. Or they might reinvest some of that time in more strategic work, innovation, and professional development.
For U.S. lawyers alone, that would represent a collective 266 million hours of increased productivity. That’s the equivalent of adding an additional colleague for every 10 already on a team. It translates to more than $100,000 in new, billable time per lawyer each year, based on current average rates, with similar value and productivity gains projected across various professions.
In five years, our respondents predicted, the time savings could amount to 12 hours a week, more than 620 hours a year. Imagine the broader impact on the economy and GDP from this increased efficiency.
The real concerns of knowledge workers
Of course, change naturally makes some people nervous—and for good reason. The top concern among professionals is that people will rely too much on AI-powered technology rather than using their professional judgment. Many also worry about the accuracy of gen AI results, which is why almost two-thirds of respondents said a human’s involvement in the loop is crucial for responsible use.
We can also expect bad actors to try to wield new technology in nefarious ways. Two-thirds of respondents cited data security as a concern.
Government workers were the most concerned about the use of AI in their sector. And the vast majority of professionals in the legal and tax sectors indicated that allowing AI to represent clients in court or make final decisions would be a step too far.
Concerns around ethics and oversight only heighten the imperative that we as a tech community build AI applications responsibly and ethically. Because there are not yet generally agreed-upon ethics around gen AI, there have been controversies surrounding its use, such as the collection of personal and copyrighted data from online sources to build large language models.
The future of AI is not predestined—it is ours to shape. We welcome the collaboration of the broader tech community in responsibly pushing innovation forward while embracing the benefits this transformative technology can bring.