在幾乎沒有人注意的情況下,一家你或許從未聽說過的公司將特斯拉(Tesla)擠出了倍受關(guān)注的“美股七雄”的行列。它能否保住這個位置?
這家一直被忽視的“美股七雄”新成員就是生產(chǎn)軟硬件的科技公司博通(Broadcom)。它在信息技術(shù)領(lǐng)域頗負盛名,但在外界卻鮮有人知?!懊拦善咝邸边@個稱號誕生于2023年初,是一組股票的統(tǒng)稱,代表了美國市值最高的科技公司。按照市值從高到低的順序,這七家公司分別是蘋果(Apple,近期市值:3.4萬億美元)、微軟(Microsoft)、英偉達(Nvidia)、Alphabet、亞馬遜(Amazon)、Meta和特斯拉(近期市值:7,680億美元)。但博通的市值在去年春天超過了特斯拉,而且在今年大多數(shù)時間其市值都高于該電動汽車廠商。目前,博通的市值約為8,030億美元。
至少在短期內(nèi),博通并不能保證對特斯拉的領(lǐng)先優(yōu)勢。眾所周知,特斯拉的股價波動性高,而且其市值可能會在某個時間段內(nèi)超過博通。但迄今為止,博通的長期前景比特斯拉更加光明。華爾街分析師普遍預測博通的股價將持續(xù)上漲,但他們預測特斯拉的股價將持續(xù)下跌。特斯拉股價已經(jīng)回落至約四年前的水平,而博通的股價四年來已經(jīng)上漲了290%。
這家低調(diào)的巨頭如何悄然進入了科技界的頂尖企業(yè)行列?這主要得益于該公司的技術(shù)實力和敏銳的財務眼光。博通是惠普(Hewlett-Packard)的孫公司。1999年,惠普拆分后成立了安捷倫科技(Agilent Technologies),2005年,安捷倫再次拆分,成立了一家名為安華高科技(Avago)的公司,并被出售給兩家私募股權(quán)公司。安華高開始收購半導體公司,2015年收購了一家名為博通的大公司,公司也更名為博通。
在那次拆分之后,博通的私募股權(quán)血統(tǒng)就一直在影響著公司的發(fā)展方向。研究咨詢公司弗雷斯特(Forrester)的分析師納溫·查布拉表示:“博通的經(jīng)營模式很像是私募股權(quán)公司,它會投資可以快速帶來回報的資產(chǎn)?!辈┩ā胺浅>?,它會投資能夠保持或增加收入的公司”,與此同時“可以將公司轉(zhuǎn)變成高利潤率的業(yè)務?!?/p>
證據(jù)一是博通去年11月收購云計算公司VMware的交易,這是該公司規(guī)模最大的一次收購。弗雷斯特的VMware客戶報告警告稱:“不要對漲價感到意外……在大多數(shù)情況下,客戶會發(fā)現(xiàn)他們收到的最新報價比以前支付的價格高出數(shù)倍?!?/p>
華爾街支持博通的變化。伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)分析師斯坦西·拉斯貢表示:“他們對VMware的收購似乎非常成功,VMware本季度的表現(xiàn)遠遠超出預期,而且似乎將持續(xù)增長?!?/p>
精明的收購和管理是博通增長的核心因素,但并不能完全解釋其市值的大幅增長。毫無疑問,另外一個關(guān)鍵因素是人工智能熱。博通最重要的業(yè)務之一是半導體(計算機芯片)設(shè)計,而在去年,半導體需求激增。據(jù)美銀證券(BofA Securities)的報告顯示,2023財年,博通的人工智能芯片銷售額為42億美元。博通預計,今年人工智能芯片銷售額將暴漲至121億美元,明年將達到169億美元。
博通在芯片領(lǐng)域的專長和VMware的成功,使其市值從2022年11月OpenAI發(fā)布ChatGPT時僅高于麥當勞(McDonald’s),達到了今天美股七雄的水平。
決定博通的成功及其未來的一個關(guān)鍵要素是其CEO陳福陽。2005年,安華高被拆分之后,便聘請了陳福陽擔任負責人。今年72歲的陳福陽出生于馬來西亞,取得了麻省理工學院(MIT)的工程學位和哈佛商學院(Harvard Business School)的MBA。他職業(yè)生涯的大部分時間都在科技公司度過,但他也曾在百事可樂(PepsiCo)和通用汽車(General Motors)擔任過財務崗位,因此可以說博通在科技和財務方面都很擅長。近幾年,陳福陽一直是美國薪酬最高的CEO;去年的薪酬為1.62億美元。對博通而言,接班人是一個突出的問題,但目前并沒有明確的人選。陳福陽表示,他至少會再經(jīng)營博通四年。
華爾街分析師大都看好博通。伯恩斯坦的拉斯貢表示:“從數(shù)據(jù)上來看,博通可能會持續(xù)增長。其估值變得日益有吸引力?!蹦Ω笸ǎ↗PMorgan)的哈倫·蘇爾表示,博通的股票“依舊是我們在半導體行業(yè)的首選”。
沒有哪棵樹能與天比高,但目前博通的前景一片光明。除此之外,唯一可以確定的是,博通再也不能保持低調(diào)了。(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
在幾乎沒有人注意的情況下,一家你或許從未聽說過的公司將特斯拉(Tesla)擠出了倍受關(guān)注的“美股七雄”的行列。它能否保住這個位置?
這家一直被忽視的“美股七雄”新成員就是生產(chǎn)軟硬件的科技公司博通(Broadcom)。它在信息技術(shù)領(lǐng)域頗負盛名,但在外界卻鮮有人知。“美股七雄”這個稱號誕生于2023年初,是一組股票的統(tǒng)稱,代表了美國市值最高的科技公司。按照市值從高到低的順序,這七家公司分別是蘋果(Apple,近期市值:3.4萬億美元)、微軟(Microsoft)、英偉達(Nvidia)、Alphabet、亞馬遜(Amazon)、Meta和特斯拉(近期市值:7,680億美元)。但博通的市值在去年春天超過了特斯拉,而且在今年大多數(shù)時間其市值都高于該電動汽車廠商。目前,博通的市值約為8,030億美元。
至少在短期內(nèi),博通并不能保證對特斯拉的領(lǐng)先優(yōu)勢。眾所周知,特斯拉的股價波動性高,而且其市值可能會在某個時間段內(nèi)超過博通。但迄今為止,博通的長期前景比特斯拉更加光明。華爾街分析師普遍預測博通的股價將持續(xù)上漲,但他們預測特斯拉的股價將持續(xù)下跌。特斯拉股價已經(jīng)回落至約四年前的水平,而博通的股價四年來已經(jīng)上漲了290%。
這家低調(diào)的巨頭如何悄然進入了科技界的頂尖企業(yè)行列?這主要得益于該公司的技術(shù)實力和敏銳的財務眼光。博通是惠普(Hewlett-Packard)的孫公司。1999年,惠普拆分后成立了安捷倫科技(Agilent Technologies),2005年,安捷倫再次拆分,成立了一家名為安華高科技(Avago)的公司,并被出售給兩家私募股權(quán)公司。安華高開始收購半導體公司,2015年收購了一家名為博通的大公司,公司也更名為博通。
在那次拆分之后,博通的私募股權(quán)血統(tǒng)就一直在影響著公司的發(fā)展方向。研究咨詢公司弗雷斯特(Forrester)的分析師納溫·查布拉表示:“博通的經(jīng)營模式很像是私募股權(quán)公司,它會投資可以快速帶來回報的資產(chǎn)?!辈┩ā胺浅>?,它會投資能夠保持或增加收入的公司”,與此同時“可以將公司轉(zhuǎn)變成高利潤率的業(yè)務?!?/p>
證據(jù)一是博通去年11月收購云計算公司VMware的交易,這是該公司規(guī)模最大的一次收購。弗雷斯特的VMware客戶報告警告稱:“不要對漲價感到意外……在大多數(shù)情況下,客戶會發(fā)現(xiàn)他們收到的最新報價比以前支付的價格高出數(shù)倍?!?/p>
華爾街支持博通的變化。伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)分析師斯坦西·拉斯貢表示:“他們對VMware的收購似乎非常成功,VMware本季度的表現(xiàn)遠遠超出預期,而且似乎將持續(xù)增長?!?/p>
精明的收購和管理是博通增長的核心因素,但并不能完全解釋其市值的大幅增長。毫無疑問,另外一個關(guān)鍵因素是人工智能熱。博通最重要的業(yè)務之一是半導體(計算機芯片)設(shè)計,而在去年,半導體需求激增。據(jù)美銀證券(BofA Securities)的報告顯示,2023財年,博通的人工智能芯片銷售額為42億美元。博通預計,今年人工智能芯片銷售額將暴漲至121億美元,明年將達到169億美元。
博通在芯片領(lǐng)域的專長和VMware的成功,使其市值從2022年11月OpenAI發(fā)布ChatGPT時僅高于麥當勞(McDonald’s),達到了今天美股七雄的水平。
決定博通的成功及其未來的一個關(guān)鍵要素是其CEO陳福陽。2005年,安華高被拆分之后,便聘請了陳福陽擔任負責人。今年72歲的陳福陽出生于馬來西亞,取得了麻省理工學院(MIT)的工程學位和哈佛商學院(Harvard Business School)的MBA。他職業(yè)生涯的大部分時間都在科技公司度過,但他也曾在百事可樂(PepsiCo)和通用汽車(General Motors)擔任過財務崗位,因此可以說博通在科技和財務方面都很擅長。近幾年,陳福陽一直是美國薪酬最高的CEO;去年的薪酬為1.62億美元。對博通而言,接班人是一個突出的問題,但目前并沒有明確的人選。陳福陽表示,他至少會再經(jīng)營博通四年。
華爾街分析師大都看好博通。伯恩斯坦的拉斯貢表示:“從數(shù)據(jù)上來看,博通可能會持續(xù)增長。其估值變得日益有吸引力?!蹦Ω笸ǎ↗PMorgan)的哈倫·蘇爾表示,博通的股票“依舊是我們在半導體行業(yè)的首選”。
沒有哪棵樹能與天比高,但目前博通的前景一片光明。除此之外,唯一可以確定的是,博通再也不能保持低調(diào)了。(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
With hardly anyone noticing, a tech titan you’ve probably never heard of has booted Tesla out of the heavily hyped Magnificent Seven. Can it stay there?
The overlooked Magnificent Seventh is Broadcom, a tech company that produces both hardware and software. It’s well-known in the infotech world but unfamiliar beyond it. The Magnificent Seven, conceived as a group of stocks in early 2023, are the most valuable U.S. tech companies by market capitalization. In descending order they include Apple (recent market cap: $3.4 trillion), Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla (recent market cap: $768 billion). Yet Broadcom’s market cap slipped past Tesla’s last spring and has stayed ahead of the EV maker for most of the year. Its market cap is currently around $803 billion.
Broadcom is not guaranteed to stay ahead of Tesla, at least in the near term. Tesla’s stock is notoriously volatile, and its market cap could plausibly beat Broadcom’s for a time. But Broadcom’s long-term outlook is by far the sunnier of the two. Wall Street analysts on average expect its stock price to keep climbing, while they expect Tesla’s to continue to fall. Tesla’s stock has retreated to where it was almost four years ago, while Broadcom’s is up 290% since then.
So how did this quiet giant sneak into the highest reaches of tech royalty? Mostly by a combination of tech savvy and financial acumen. The company is a grandchild of Hewlett-Packard, which in 1999 spun off a company called Agilent Technologies, which in turn spun off a company called Avago to a pair of private equity firms in 2005. Avago began buying up semiconductor companies, in 2015 buying a big one called Broadcom and taking its name.
Broadcom’s PE ancestry has guided it ever since that spinoff. “Broadcom operates pretty much like a PE firm, where it invests in assets that can deliver quick returns,” says Naveen Chhabra, an analyst at the Forrester research and consulting firm. It’s “astute in terms of investing in firms where it can maintain or grow the revenue” and at the same time “can turn the company into a high margin business.”
Exhibit A is Broadcom’s biggest acquisition, the cloud-computing firm VMware, which it bought last November. A Forrester report for VMware customers warns them, “Don’t let the price jumps shock you…In most cases, customers will find the renewal quotes multiple times higher than what they paid in the past.”
Wall Street approves of Broadcom’s changes. “They appear to be killing it on VMware,” says Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, “which markedly exceeded expectations in the quarter and which seems poised to continue growing.”
Shrewd acquisitions and management are central to Broadcom’s growth but don’t fully explain the company’s phenomenally swelling market cap. The other crucial factor is, not surprisingly, the AI frenzy. One of Broadcom’s most important businesses is designing semiconductors—computer chips—and in the past year, demand has been sky-high. Broadcom’s sales of AI chips in fiscal 2023 were $4.2 billion, BofA Securities reports. The company expects AI chip sales will rocket to $12.1 billion this year and $16.9 billion next year.
Broadcom’s chip expertise along with VMware’s success has propelled Broadcom’s market cap from just above that of McDonald’s when OpenAI released ChatGPT in November 2022, to Magnificent Seven levels today.
A critical element of Broadcom’s success and its future is CEO Hock Tan, who was recruited to run the company when Avago was spun off in 2005. Now age 72, he was born in Malaysia and earned engineering degrees from MIT plus an MBA from the Harvard Business School. He has spent most of his career in tech companies, though he also held finance jobs at PepsiCo and General Motors—thus the company’s joint expertise in technology and finance. In recent years, Tan has been among the most highly paid U.S. CEOs; he made $162 million last year. Succession is an obvious issue for the company, but no successor is apparent. Tan has said he’ll continue to run the company for at least four more years.
Wall Street analysts are mostly cheering for Broadcom. “Numbers look likely to keep going up,” says Bernstein’s Rasgon. “And valuation is looking increasingly attractive.” JPMorgan’s Harlan Sur says the stock “remains our top pick in semiconductors.”
No tree grows to the sky, but for now the sun is shining brightly on this company. Beyond that, the only certainty is that Broadcom can’t be anonymous anymore.