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人人網(wǎng)借Facebook上市東風強勢反彈
 作者: Bill Powell    時間: 2012年02月09日    來源: 財富中文網(wǎng)
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Facebook宣布IPO之前的一周,中國版的Facebook——人人網(wǎng)股價大漲60%多,令網(wǎng)站首席執(zhí)行官陳一舟倍感輕松。且看他打算如何延續(xù)這樣的好勢頭?
轉(zhuǎn)貼到: 微信 新浪微博 關注騰訊微博 人人網(wǎng) 豆瓣

????Facebook的IPO計劃炒得沸沸揚揚。問及這一切對他一手創(chuàng)立和經(jīng)營的、所謂“中國的Facebook”——人人網(wǎng)意味著什么時,陳一舟低聲笑了,因為這個問題要遠比看上去復雜得多。

????Facebook確認計劃于今年晚些時候上市之前一周,人人網(wǎng)(Renren)股票(在紐約證交所交易的美國存托憑證)價格漲幅超過60%。這讓陳一舟倍感輕松,因為自從去年5月人人網(wǎng)上市初始即創(chuàng)下歷史高點24美元以來,該股總體處于加速下跌通道,上個月更是創(chuàng)下了52周低點的3.20美元。

????股價下跌是多重負面因素疊加的結果。不可否認,當初人人網(wǎng)進行IPO時,它自己的宣傳同樣有點過火。當你把“中國”和“Facebook”這兩個詞放在同一個句子中,用“的”連接起來,至少會吸引一部分投資者不問青紅皂白便立即買入。畢竟,中國擁有全球數(shù)量最多的互聯(lián)網(wǎng)用戶,國內(nèi)社交網(wǎng)站仍處于發(fā)展初期。根據(jù)美國互聯(lián)網(wǎng)流量監(jiān)測機構comScore Media Metrix的數(shù)據(jù),中國只有38.4%的互聯(lián)網(wǎng)用戶使用社交網(wǎng)站,低于全球的69.8%和美國的81.4%。顯然,中國社交網(wǎng)站存在巨大的發(fā)展空間。

????但去年,中國概念小盤股在美國股市遭遇重創(chuàng),主要是因為投資者越來越擔心這些公司公開財務披露的可靠性。就在人人網(wǎng)IPO之前幾天,備受空頭推崇的民間調(diào)查機構Citron Research發(fā)布了一份報告,質(zhì)疑一家公司公布的數(shù)據(jù),而該公司的首席財務官德雷克?帕拉舒克同時也是人人網(wǎng)董事會的成員,擔任人人網(wǎng)審計委員會主席。此事一出,帕拉舒克很快宣布辭去人人網(wǎng)董事會職務,此舉得到了人人網(wǎng)幾位風險投資者的歡迎。

????盡管如此,做空者日益關注中國概念小盤股,基本上導致了相關股票的全面暴跌,不管它們的數(shù)據(jù)是否應當受到質(zhì)疑。它們被不加區(qū)分地賣空,人人網(wǎng)也未能幸免。

????不過,除了投資者普遍對中國概念股存疑外,導致這些股價暴跌還有別的原因。其中當然也少不了對中國互聯(lián)網(wǎng)行業(yè),尤其是社交網(wǎng)站的普遍誤解。上周,42歲的陳一舟試圖借Facebook的IPO效應、進一步說明他的公司和業(yè)務情況。陳一舟和首席財務官黃輝強調(diào),外部人士首先要了解一點,即便眾所周知Facebook在中國被禁,這絕不意味著“中國的Facebook”沒有競爭。

????事實上,情況正好相反。中國的社交網(wǎng)站市場的分化遠比美國嚴重,大量互聯(lián)網(wǎng)公司都在進入這個領域,雖然它們也許并未自詡為“克隆版Facebook”。

????比如新浪(Sina),它擁有中國最知名的、號稱“中國版Twitter”的微博網(wǎng)站。還有以即時通訊服務QQ著稱的騰訊(Tencent)。騰訊還經(jīng)營著QQ空間(Qzone)。雖然分析人士質(zhì)疑騰訊所謂的“活躍”,但這家公司仍然自稱擁有4.81億“活躍用戶”。去年秋季,騰訊對另一家社交網(wǎng)站開心網(wǎng)(Kaixin001)注資(投資數(shù)額未予披露),希望藉此創(chuàng)建一個所謂的“實名”網(wǎng)站(即和人人網(wǎng)一樣,要求用戶實名注冊,不能用虛擬網(wǎng)名)。開心網(wǎng)用戶和人人網(wǎng)一樣,大多是居住在城市中受過良好教育的年輕用戶。因此,陳一舟說中國的社交網(wǎng)站市場比“美國競爭更激烈”,所言不虛。

????FORTUNE -- Joseph Chen chuckles a bit when asked what the hype surrounding Facebook's announced plans for an initial public offering means for the company he founded and runs, Renren Inc., the so called "Facebook of China." He chuckles because the question is more complicated than it seems.

????In the week prior to Facebook's confirmation that it was, in fact, going public later this year, Renren's (RENN) stock (its ADRs trade on the NYSE) leapt by more than 60%. That had to come as a relief to Chen, because ever since it went public last May -- when the stock hit a peak of $24 just after it's IPO -- it s been on an escalator ride straight down, hitting a 52-week low of just $3.20 last month.

????The stock price plunge was the result of a perfect storm. There was, let's face it, a bit of hype surrounding its own IPO. When you put the words "Facebook" and "China" together in the same sentence, separated by the word "of," at least a percentage of the investing universe is going to buy first and ask questions later. After all, there are more Internet users in China than anywhere else, and social networking sites are still in their infancy. According to comScore Media Metrix, 38.4% of Internet users in China engage in social networking, compared to 69.8% globally and 81.4% in the United States. Clearly, there is huge room for growth here.

????But small cap China stocks were savaged in U.S. markets last year, mainly because of growing concerns about the credibility of their public financial disclosures. Just days before Renren's IPO, Citron Research, whose work is widely read by short sellers, issued a report questioning the numbers of a company whose CFO was also serving on Renren's board as head of its audit committee. The executive, Derek Palaschuk, resigned from Renren's board, a move that several venture capitalist Renren investors welcomed.

????Nonetheless, the intensifying focus among short sellers on Chinese small caps has basically led to a rout in the market for them, whether their numbers are legitimately questionable or not. They've been beaten down indiscriminately, Renren among them.

????Still, there was more to the beat-down than just widespread nervousness over Chinese stocks. A misunderstanding of the Chinese Internet space in general, and social networking in particular, certainly played a part. Chen, 42, used the Facebook moment last week to try to explain his company and his business. The first thing outsiders need to understand, he and CFO Hui Huang stress, is that even though Facebook is famously blocked in China by the government, that doesn't mean the "Facebook of China" lacks competition.

????It's quite the opposite, in fact. China's market for social networking sites is much more fragmented than it is in the United States, with any number of companies not normally identified as "Facebook clones" trying to ease into the space.

????Sina.com (SINA), which runs China's pre-eminent micro-blogging site -- typically described as the "Twitter of China" -- is there. So too is Tencent, best known for its instant messaging service, QQ. It already operates a site called Qzone, which, it claims, has 481 million "active users" -- though analysts question what Tencent's definition of "active" is. Last fall, the company invested an undisclosed sum in another social networking site called Kaixin001, with which it intends to create a so-called "real name" site (which means, as with Renren, users are required to register using their real names, not some fake Internet handle). Kaixin's users, like Renren's, tend to be young, urban, and well educated. So when Chen says China's social networking market is "more competitive than the U.S.," he's right.







更多




最佳評論

@關子臨: 自信也許會壓倒聰明,演技的好壞也許會壓倒腦力的強弱,好領導就是循循善誘的人,不獨裁,而有見地,能讓人心悅誠服。    參加討論>>
@DuoDuopa:彼得原理,是美國學者勞倫斯彼得在對組織中人員晉升的相關現(xiàn)象研究后得出的一個結論:在各種組織中,由于習慣于對在某個等級上稱職的人員進行晉升提拔,因而雇員總是趨向于晉升到其不稱職的地位。    參加討論>>
@Bruce的森林:正念,應該可以解釋為專注當下的事情,而不去想過去這件事是怎么做的,這件事將來會怎樣。一方面,這種理念可以幫助員工排除雜念,把注意力集中在工作本身,減少壓力,提高創(chuàng)造力。另一方面,這不失為提高員工工作效率的好方法??赡芎笳呤歉鞔驜OSS們更看重的吧。    參加討論>>


Copyright ? 2012財富出版社有限公司。 版權所有,未經(jīng)書面許可,任何機構不得全部或部分轉(zhuǎn)載。
《財富》(中文版)及網(wǎng)站內(nèi)容的版權屬于時代公司(Time Inc.),并經(jīng)過時代公司許可由香港中詢有限公司出版和發(fā)布。
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